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The fusion of raw sensor data to create a Bird's Eye View (BEV) representation is critical for autonomous vehicle planning and control. Despite the growing interest in using deep learning models for BEV semantic segmentation, anticipating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Linlin Yu , Bowen Yang , Tianhao Wang , Kangshuo Li , Feng Chen

Model calibration aims to align confidence with prediction correctness. The Cross-Entropy (CE) loss is widely used for calibrator training, which enforces the model to increase confidence on the ground truth class. However, we find the CE…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Yuchi Liu , Lei Wang , Yuli Zou , James Zou , Liang Zheng

Uncertainty in probabilistic classifiers predictions is a key concern when models are used to support human decision making, in broader probabilistic pipelines or when sensitive automatic decisions have to be taken. Studies have shown that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Nicolas Posocco , Antoine Bonnefoy

This paper proposes a new machine learning based system for forest fire earlier detection in a low-cost and accurate manner. Accordingly, it is aimed to bring a new and definite perspective to visual detection in forest fires. A drone is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Ayşegül Yanık , Mehmet Serdar Güzel , Mertkan Yanık , Erkan Bostancı

This paper investigates novel classifier ensemble techniques for uncertainty calibration applied to various deep neural networks for image classification. We evaluate both accuracy and calibration metrics, focusing on Expected Calibration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Michael Schulze , Nikolas Ebert , Laurenz Reichardt , Oliver Wasenmüller

Quantifying prediction uncertainty when applying object detection models to new, unlabeled datasets is critical in applied machine learning. This study introduces an approach to estimate the performance of deep learning-based object…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Ni Li , Ryan Jacobs , Matthew Lynch , Vidit Agrawal , Kevin Field , Dane Morgan

Deep learning has achieved the state-of-the-art performance across medical imaging tasks; however, model calibration is often not considered. Uncalibrated models are potentially dangerous in high-risk applications since the user does not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Skylar E. Stolte , Kyle Volle , Aprinda Indahlastari , Alejandro Albizu , Adam J. Woods , Kevin Brink , Matthew Hale , Ruogu Fang

Deep learning has played a major role in the interpretation of dermoscopic images for detecting skin defects and abnormalities. However, current deep learning solutions for dermatological lesion analysis are typically limited in providing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Gun-Hee Lee , Han-Bin Ko , Seong-Whan Lee

Deep neural networks have been shown to be highly miscalibrated. often they tend to be overconfident in their predictions. It poses a significant challenge for safety-critical systems to utilise deep neural networks (DNNs), reliably. Many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Aditya Singh , Alessandro Bay , Biswa Sengupta , Andrea Mirabile

Reliable wildfire spread prediction is vital for risk-aware emergency planning, yet most deep learning models lack principled uncertainty quantification (UQ). Further, for boundary-sensitive cases like wildfire spread, evaluating models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jonas V. Funk

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) excel in various domains but face challenges in providing accurate uncertainty estimates, which are crucial for high-stakes applications. Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently emerged as powerful tools,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Han Liu , Yupeng Zhang , Bingning Wang , Weipeng Chen , Xiaolin Hu

Miscalibration in deep learning refers to there is a discrepancy between the predicted confidence and performance. This problem usually arises due to the overfitting problem, which is characterized by learning everything presented in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Zongbo Han , Yifeng Yang , Changqing Zhang , Linjun Zhang , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Qinghua Hu

Uncertainty estimation is crucial in safety-critical settings such as automated driving as it provides valuable information for several downstream tasks including high-level decision making and path planning. In this work, we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Monish R. Nallapareddy , Kshitij Sirohi , Paulo L. J. Drews-Jr , Wolfram Burgard , Chih-Hong Cheng , Abhinav Valada

Deep neural networks have shown exceptional performance in various tasks, but their lack of robustness, reliability, and tendency to be overconfident pose challenges for their deployment in safety-critical applications like autonomous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Steven Landgraf , Markus Hillemann , Kira Wursthorn , Markus Ulrich

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have enabled astounding progress in several vision-based problems. Despite showing high predictive accuracy, recently, several works have revealed that they tend to provide overconfident predictions and thus are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Muhammad Akhtar Munir , Muhammad Haris Khan , Salman Khan , Fahad Shahbaz Khan

To be considered reliable, a model must be calibrated so that its confidence in each decision closely reflects its true outcome. In this blogpost we'll take a look at the most commonly used definition for calibration and then dive into a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Maja Pavlovic

While in-context learning with large language models (LLMs) has shown impressive performance, we have discovered a unique miscalibration behavior where both correct and incorrect predictions are assigned the same level of confidence. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Wei Cheng , Tianlu Wang , Yanmin Ji , Fan Yang , Keren Tan , Yiyu Zheng

Firefighting is a dynamic activity, in which numerous operations occur simultaneously. Maintaining situational awareness (i.e., knowledge of current conditions and activities at the scene) is critical to the accurate decision-making…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Manish Bhattarai , Aura Rose Jensen-Curtis , Manel MartíNez-Ramón

The calibration of predictive distributions has been widely studied in deep learning, but the same cannot be said about the more specific epistemic uncertainty as produced by Deep Ensembles, Bayesian Deep Networks, or Evidential Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Mohammed Fellaji , Frédéric Pennerath , Brieuc Conan-Guez , Miguel Couceiro

Uncertainty quantification of machine learning and deep learning methods plays an important role in enhancing trust to the obtained result. In recent years, a numerous number of uncertainty quantification methods have been introduced. Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Afshar Shamsi , Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , AmirReza Tajally , Saeid Nahavandi , Henry Leung