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Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

Poisson distributed measurements in inverse problems often stem from Poisson point processes that are observed through discretized or finite-resolution detectors, one of the most prominent examples being positron emission tomography (PET).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Marco Mauritz , Benedikt Wirth

We investigate an empirical Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian noise. We consider a class of Gaussian prior probability measures with covariance operator indexed by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

The behavior of many Bayesian models used in machine learning critically depends on the choice of prior distributions, controlled by some hyperparameters that are typically selected by Bayesian optimization or cross-validation. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-09 Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

Prompt isolated leptons are essential in many analyses in high-energy particle physics but are subject to fake-lepton background, i.e. objects that mimic the lepton signature. The fake-lepton background is difficult to estimate from…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-07-25 Johannes Erdmann , Cornelius Grunwald , Kevin Kröninger , Salvatore La Cagnina , Lars Röhrig , Erich Varnes

This paper deals with a method for solving Poisson Equation (PE) based on genetic algorithms and grammatical evolution. The method forms generations of solutions expressed in an analytical form. Several examples of PE are tested and in most…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Khalid Jebari , Mohammed Madiafi , Abdelaziz El Moujahid

Bayesian persuasion, a central model in information design, studies how a sender, who privately observes a state drawn from a prior distribution, strategically sends a signal to influence a receiver's action. A key assumption is that both…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Jingwu Tang , Jiahao Zhang , Fei Fang , Zhiwei Steven Wu

We provide a complete framework for performing infinite-dimensional Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification for image reconstruction with Poisson data. In particular, we address the following issues to make the Bayesian framework…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Qingping Zhou , Tengchao Yu , Xiaoqun Zhang , Jinglai Li

We explore Bayesian reasoning as a means to quantify uncertainty in neural networks for question answering. Starting with a multilayer perceptron on the Iris dataset, we show how posterior inference conveys confidence in predictions. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Riccardo Di Sipio

Given a multivariate function taking deterministic and uncertain inputs, we consider the problem of estimating a quantile set: a set of deterministic inputs for which the probability that the output belongs to a specific region remains…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-25 Romain Ait Abdelmalek-Lomenech , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

The past decades have seen enormous improvements in computational inference based on statistical models, with continual enhancement in a wide range of computational tools, in competition. In Bayesian inference, first and foremost, MCMC…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-12 Peter J. Green , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Marcelo Pereyra , Christian P. Robert

We study Bayesian methods for large-scale linear inverse problems, focusing on the challenging task of hyperparameter estimation. Typical hierarchical Bayesian formulations that follow a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach are possible for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Khalil A Hall-Hooper , Arvind K Saibaba , Julianne Chung , Scot M Miller

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Regularization of inverse problems is of paramount importance in computational imaging. The ability of neural networks to learn efficient image representations has been recently exploited to design powerful data-driven regularizers. While…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Maud Biquard , Marie Chabert , Florence Genin , Christophe Latry , Thomas Oberlin

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Empirical Bayes methods have been around for a long time and have a wide range of applications. These methods provide a way in which historical data can be aggregated to provide estimates of the posterior mean. This thesis revisits some of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-17 Xiuwen Duan

High-stakes applications require AI-generated models to be interpretable. Current algorithms for the synthesis of potentially interpretable models rely on objectives or regularization terms that represent interpretability only coarsely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Marco Virgolin , Andrea De Lorenzo , Francesca Randone , Eric Medvet , Mattias Wahde

Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and…

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