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Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models have been an ubiquitous, and controversial, part of macroeconomics for decades. In this paper, we approach DSGEs purely as statstical models. We do this by applying two common model…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-02 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

The paper discusses inference techniques for semiparametric models based on suitable versions of inference functions. The text contains two parts. In the first part, we review the optimality theory for non-parametric models based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Rodrigo Labouriau

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

We first describe a general class of optimization problems that describe many natural, economic, and statistical phenomena. After noting the existence of a conserved quantity in a transformed coordinate system, we outline several instances…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-03 David Rushing Dewhurst

To find efficient screening methods for high dimensional linear regression models, this paper studies the relationship between model fitting and screening performance. Under a sparsity assumption, we show that a subset that includes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-20 Shifeng Xiong

For a given statistical model, it often happens that it is necessary to intervene the model to reduce the variances of the output variables. In structural equation models, this can be done by changing the values of the path coefficients by…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-16 Kentaro Tanaka , Atsushi Yagishita , Masami Miyakawa

The mission of statistics is to provide adequate statistical hypotheses (models) for observed data. But what is an "adequate" model? To answer this question, one needs to use the notions of algorithmic information theory. It turns out that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-28 Nikolay Vereshchagin , Alexander Shen

Fusion and inference from multiple and massive disparate data sources - the requirement for our most challenging data analysis problems and the goal of our most ambitious statistical pattern recognition methodologies - -has many and varied…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-26 Carey E. Priebe , David J. Marchette , Zhiliang Ma , Sancar Adali

Quality assessment of Research Software Engineering (RSE) plays an important role in all scientific fields. From the canonical three criteria (reliability, validity, and objectivity) previous research has focussed on reliability and the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Julian Dehne

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski

Experimental comparisons of performance represent an important aspect of research on optimization algorithms. In this work we present a methodology for defining the required sample sizes for designing experiments with desired statistical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Felipe Campelo , Fernanda Takahashi

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) offer powerful and accessible mathematical models for capturing both deterministic and probabilistic aspects of dynamic behavior across a wide range of physical, financial, and social systems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Paromita Banerjee , Anirban Mondal

In high-dimensional prediction settings, it remains challenging to reliably estimate the test performance. To address this challenge, a novel performance estimation framework is presented. This framework, called Learn2Evaluate, is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Jeroen M. Goedhart , Thomas Klausch , Mark A. van de Wiel

Statistical modeling is a key component in the extraction of physical results from lattice field theory calculations. Although the general models used are often strongly motivated by physics, many model variations can frequently be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 William I. Jay , Ethan T. Neil

This paper develops a framework for the error analysis in nonparametric model fitting of fractional stochastic differential equations based on discrete observations. We identify and quantify the main error sources -- time discretization,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Mahdi Dehshiri , Kerlyns Martinez , Lauri Viitasaari

Simulation methods are among the most ubiquitous methodological tools in statistical science. In particular, statisticians often is simulation to explore properties of statistical functionals in models for which developed statistical theory…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Tyrel Stokes , Ian Shrier , Russell Steele

In this paper we address the complexity of solving linear programming problems with a set of differential equations that converge to a fixed point that represents the optimal solution. Assuming a probabilistic model, where the inputs are…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Asa Ben-Hur , Joshua Feinberg , Shmuel Fishman , Hava T. Siegelmann

We consider fits to two or more datasets for which results from the sa me experiment share a common systematic uncertainty in addition to their individ ual statistical errors. This is important in extracting the maximum information from a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-29 Roger John Barlow