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Neural Processes combine the strengths of neural networks and Gaussian processes to achieve both flexible learning and fast prediction in stochastic processes. However, a large class of problems comprises underlying temporal dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Gautam Singh , Jaesik Yoon , Youngsung Son , Sungjin Ahn

With advancements in GPS, remote sensing, and computational simulation, an enormous volume of spatiotemporal data is being collected at an increasing speed from various application domains, spanning Earth sciences, agriculture, smart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Zhe Jiang

Many events occur in the world. Some event types are stochastically excited or inhibited---in the sense of having their probabilities elevated or decreased---by patterns in the sequence of previous events. Discovering such patterns can help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Hongyuan Mei , Jason Eisner

This work investigates the problem of learning temporal interaction networks. A temporal interaction network consists of a series of chronological interactions between users and items. Previous methods tackle this problem by using different…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Jiangxia Cao , Xixun Lin , Xin Cong , Shu Guo , Hengzhu Tang , Tingwen Liu , Bin Wang

Events in spatiotemporal domains arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering event relationships and enabling accurate prediction are central challenges. Classical Poisson and Hawkes processes rely on restrictive parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Zhitong Xu , Qiwei Yuan , Yinghao Chen , Yan Sun , Bin Shen , Shandian Zhe

Graph Neural Networks have gained huge interest in the past few years. These powerful algorithms expanded deep learning models to non-Euclidean space and were able to achieve state of art performance in various applications including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Zahraa Al Sahili , Mariette Awad

Self-exciting spatio-temporal point process models predict the rate of events as a function of space, time, and the previous history of events. These models naturally capture triggering and clustering behavior, and have been widely used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Alex Reinhart

Temporal point process (TPP) is an important tool for modeling and predicting irregularly timed events across various domains. Recently, the recurrent neural network (RNN)-based TPPs have shown practical advantages over traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Zhiheng Chen , Guanhua Fang , Wen Yu

Temporal point processes (TPPs) are crucial for analyzing events over time and are widely used in fields such as finance, healthcare, and social systems. These processes are particularly valuable for understanding how events unfold over…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Lili Chen , Wensheng Gan , Shuang Liang , Philip S. Yu

Time series, spatial data, and images are natural applications of Neural Processes. However, when such data exhibit strong periodicity and quasi-periodicity, existing methods often suffer from underfitting and generalise poorly beyond the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xianhe Chen , Hao Chen , Yingzhen Li

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) hold a pivotal role in modeling event sequences across diverse domains, including social networking and e-commerce, and have significantly contributed to the advancement of recommendation systems and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Maolin Wang , Yu Pan , Zenglin Xu , Ruocheng Guo , Xiangyu Zhao , Wanyu Wang , Yiqi Wang , Zitao Liu , Langming Liu

Human motion prediction (HMP) has emerged as a popular research topic due to its diverse applications, but it remains a challenging task due to the stochastic and aperiodic nature of future poses. Traditional methods rely on hand-crafted…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Jiexin Wang , Yujie Zhou , Wenwen Qiang , Ying Ba , Bing Su , Ji-Rong Wen

Multi-class event streams arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering structured, interpretable inter-event relationships, together with accurate prediction, remains a central challenge. Existing neural point process models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zhitong Xu , Qiwei Yuan , Yinghao Chen , Shandian Zhe , Bin Shen

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are elegant probabilistic models of repulsion that arise in quantum physics and random matrix theory. In contrast to traditional structured models like Markov random fields, which become intractable and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-11 Alex Kulesza , Ben Taskar

Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Marin Biloš , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

The classical temporal point process (TPP) constructs an intensity function by taking the occurrence times into account. Nevertheless, occurrence time may not be the only relevant factor, other contextual data, termed covariates, may also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Zizhuo Meng , Boyu Li , Xuhui Fan , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang , Fang Chen , Feng Zhou

Event sequences can be modeled by temporal point processes (TPPs) to capture their asynchronous and probabilistic nature. We propose an intensity-free framework that directly models the point process distribution by utilizing normalizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Nazanin Mehrasa , Ruizhi Deng , Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Bo Chang , Jiawei He , Thibaut Durand , Marcus Brubaker , Greg Mori

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari