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In the real world, long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF) is needed in many cases, such as power consumption prediction and air quality prediction.Multi-dimensional long time series model has more strict requirements on the model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ning Wang

As irregularly structured data representations, graphs have received a large amount of attention in recent years and have been widely applied to various real-world scenarios such as social, traffic, and energy settings. Compared to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-12 Yi Yan , Jiacheng Hou , Zhenjie Song , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

We present a unified pipeline for univariate time series classification via complex networks and persistent homology. A time series is mapped to a graph through one of five constructions across three families (visibility (natural and…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-05-05 İsmail Güzel

This thesis studies two problems in modern statistics. First, we study selective inference, or inference for hypothesis that are chosen after looking at the data. The motiving application is inference for regression coefficients selected by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-02 Jason D. Lee

This paper introduces a new latent variable generative model able to handle high dimensional longitudinal data and relying on variational inference. The time dependency between the observations of an input sequence is modelled using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Clément Chadebec , Stéphanie Allassonnière

Data-driven soft sensors help in process operations by providing real-time estimates of otherwise hard- to-measure process quantities, e.g., viscosities or product concentrations. Currently, soft sensors need to be developed individually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Maximilian F. Theisen , Gabrie M. H. Meesters , Artur M. Schweidtmann

Accurate electricity demand forecasting is essential for several reasons, especially as the integration of renewable energy sources and the transition to a decentralized network paradigm introduce greater complexity and uncertainty. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Eloi Campagne , Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Yannig Goude , Argyris Kalogeratos

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Over the past few years, research on deep graph learning has shifted from static graphs to temporal graphs in response to real-world complex systems that exhibit dynamic behaviors. In practice, temporal graphs are formalized as an ordered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Jintang Li , Ruofan Wu , Xinzhou Jin , Boqun Ma , Liang Chen , Zibin Zheng

The recent extension of permutation entropy and its derivatives to graph signals has opened up new horizons for the analysis of complex, high-dimensional systems evolving on networks. However, these measures are all fundamentally rooted in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-08 Mei-San Maggie Lei , John Stewart Fabila Carrasco , Javier Escudero

One of the most crucial challenges in graph signal processing is the sampling of bandlimited graph signals, i.e., signals that are sparse in a well-defined graph Fourier domain. So far, the prior art is mostly focused on (sub)sampling…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-10-22 Elvin Isufi , Paolo Banelli , Paolo Di Lorenzo , Geert Leus

Understanding and interacting with everyday physical scenes requires rich knowledge about the structure of the world, represented either implicitly in a value or policy function, or explicitly in a transition model. Here we introduce a new…

Dynamic networks models describe a growing number of important scientific processes, from cell biology and epidemiology to sociology and finance. There are many aspects of dynamical networks that require statistical considerations. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-15 E. C. Wit , A. Abbruzzo

Given discrete time observations over a growing time interval, we consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the L\'evy density of a L\'evy process belonging to a flexible class of infinite activity subordinators. Posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 Robert S. MacKay

Network data are often sampled with auxiliary information or collected through the observation of a complex system over time, leading to multiple network snapshots indexed by a continuous variable. Many methods in statistical network…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Peter W. MacDonald , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri

Persistence diagrams offer a way to summarize topological and geometric properties latent in datasets. While several methods have been developed that utilize persistence diagrams in statistical inference, a full Bayesian treatment remains…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-08 Vasileios Maroulas , Farzana Nasrin , Christopher Oballe
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