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We summarized both common and novel predictive models used for stock price prediction and combined them with technical indices, fundamental characteristics and text-based sentiment data to predict S&P stock prices. A 66.18% accuracy in S&P…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-30 Shan Zhong , David B. Hitchcock

This paper presents price prediction models using Machine Learning algorithms augmented with Superforecasters predictions, aimed at enhancing investment decisions. Five Machine Learning models are built, including Bidirectional LSTM, ARIMA,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-03 Anishka Chauhan , Pratham Mayur , Yeshwanth Sai Gokarakonda , Pooriya Jamie , Naman Mehrotra

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Han Gui

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

The prediction of stock prices is an important task in economics, investment and making financial decisions. This has, for decades, spurred the interest of many researchers to make focused contributions to the design of accurate stock price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-08 Bradley J. Pillay , Absalom E. Ezugwu

This research aims to leverage machine learning to improve stock price prediction and support informed investment decisions related to buying, selling, and holding assets. Specifically, this work investigates transformer-based models for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Marie Soehl Coolsaet , Roberto Gallardo , Zhen Gao

Mid-price movement prediction based on limit order book (LOB) data is a challenging task due to the complexity and dynamics of the LOB. So far, there have been very limited attempts for extracting relevant features based on LOB data. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-11 Adamantios Ntakaris , Giorgio Mirone , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

We investigated the use of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) combined with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM), feature engineering and machine learning algorithms to optimize trading decisions. We used five, two, and one year samples of hourly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Gabriel R. Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

Advances in deep neural network (DNN) architectures have enabled new prediction techniques for stock market data. Unlike other multivariate time-series data, stock markets show two unique characteristics: (i) \emph{multi-order dynamics}, as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-28 Thanh Trung Huynh , Minh Hieu Nguyen , Thanh Tam Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Matthias Weidlich , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Karl Aberer

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 David Noel

In this bachelor thesis, we show how four different machine learning methods (Long Short-Term Memory, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine Regression, and k-Nearest Neighbor) perform compared to already successfully applied trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-16 Danijel Jevtic , Romain Deleze , Joerg Osterrieder

In the realm of financial decision-making, predicting stock prices is pivotal. Artificial intelligence techniques such as long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), support-vector machines (SVMs), and natural language processing (NLP) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kevin Taylor , Jerry Ng

This article aims to propose and apply a machine learning method to analyze the direction of returns from Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) using the historical return data of its components, helping to make investment strategy decisions through…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Raphael P. B. Piovezan , Pedro Paulo de Andrade Junior

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

This paper considers a portfolio trading strategy formulated by algorithms in the field of machine learning. The profitability of the strategy is measured by the algorithm's capability to consistently and accurately identify stock indices…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 James Brofos

Algorithmic trading, due to its inherent nature, is a difficult problem to tackle; there are too many variables involved in the real world which make it almost impossible to have reliable algorithms for automated stock trading. The lack of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Abhishek Nan , Anandh Perumal , Osmar R. Zaiane

We have proposed to develop a global hybrid deep learning framework to predict the daily prices in the stock market. With representation learning, we derived an embedding called Stock2Vec, which gives us insight for the relationship among…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Xing Wang , Yijun Wang , Bin Weng , Aleksandr Vinel
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