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Hierarchical forecasting is a key problem in many practical multivariate forecasting applications - the goal is to simultaneously predict a large number of correlated time series that are arranged in a pre-specified aggregation hierarchy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Biswajit Paria , Rajat Sen , Amr Ahmed , Abhimanyu Das

Time series forecasting is an important and forefront task in many real-world applications. However, most of time series forecasting techniques assume that the training data is clean without anomalies. This assumption is unrealistic since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Hao Cheng , Qingsong Wen , Yang Liu , Liang Sun

Time series forecasting is a significant problem in many applications, e.g., financial predictions and business optimization. Modern datasets can have multiple correlated time series, which are often generated with global (shared)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Ling Chen , Weiqi Chen , Binqing Wu , Youdong Zhang , Bo Wen , Chenghu Yang

Data heterogeneity plays a pivotal role in determining the performance of machine learning (ML) systems. Traditional algorithms, which are typically designed to optimize average performance, often overlook the intrinsic diversity within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jiashuo Liu , Peng Cui

In the field of machine learning and artificial intelligence, time series forecasting plays a pivotal role across various domains such as finance, healthcare, and weather. However, the task of selecting the most suitable forecasting method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Anvitha Thirthapura Sreedhara , Joaquin Vanschoren

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

Social networks as a representation of relational data, often possess multiple types of dependency structures at the same time. There could be clustering (beyond homophily) at a macro level as well as transitivity (a friend's friend is more…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Ming Cao

An emerging number of modern applications involve forecasting time series data that exhibit both short-time dynamics and long-time seasonality. Specifically, time series with multiple seasonality is a difficult task with comparatively fewer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Tianyang Xie , Jie Ding

In this paper, we conduct a simulation study with subject-level data to evaluate conventional meta-regression approaches (study-level random, fixed, and mixed effects) against seven methodology specifications new to meta-regressions that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-18 Ali Habibnia , Jonathan Gendron

We propose Heterogeneous Swarms, an algorithm to design multi-LLM systems by jointly optimizing model roles and weights. We represent multi-LLM systems as directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) of LLMs with topological message passing for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Shangbin Feng , Zifeng Wang , Palash Goyal , Yike Wang , Weijia Shi , Huang Xia , Hamid Palangi , Luke Zettlemoyer , Yulia Tsvetkov , Chen-Yu Lee , Tomas Pfister

Time series forecasting is a critical first step in generating demand plans for supply chains. Experiments on time series models typically focus on demonstrating improvements in forecast accuracy over existing/baseline solutions, quantified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Steven Klee , Yuntian Xia

Time series forecasting (TSF) remains a challenging problem due to the intricate entanglement of intraperiod-fluctuations and interperiod-trends. While recent advances have attempted to reshape 1D sequences into 2D period-phase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Yixin Wang , Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Naiqi Li , Dai Tao , Shu-Tao Xia

Time series forecasting (TSF) is an essential branch of machine learning with various applications. Most methods for TSF focus on constructing different networks to extract better information and improve performance. However, practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Haoyu Xing , Hualong Yu , Qinghua Hu

Reliable forecasting is critical for early warning systems and adaptive drought management. Most previous deep learning approaches focus solely on homogeneous regions and rely on single-structured data. This paper presents a hybrid neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Julian Agudelo , Vincent Guigue , Cristina Manfredotti , Hadrien Piot

Time series forecasting, while vital in various applications, often employs complex models that are difficult for humans to understand. Effective explainable AI techniques are crucial to bridging the gap between model predictions and user…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Hongnan Ma , Kevin McAreavey , Weiru Liu

Score-based generative models (SGMs) are generative models that are in the spotlight these days. Time-series frequently occurs in our daily life, e.g., stock data, climate data, and so on. Especially, time-series forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Haksoo Lim , Minjung Kim , Sewon Park , Noseong Park

Time series modeling and forecasting has fundamental importance to various practical domains. Thus a lot of active research works is going on in this subject during several years. Many important models have been proposed in literature for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Time series data is a prevalent form of data found in various fields. It consists of a series of measurements taken over time. Forecasting is a crucial application of time series models, where future values are predicted based on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Sahar Koohfar , Wubeshet Woldemariam

Sequence labeling models often benefit from incorporating external knowledge. However, this practice introduces data heterogeneity and complicates the model with additional modules, leading to increased expenses for training a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Xuemei Tang , Jun Wang , Qi Su , Chu-ren Huang , Jinghang Gu

Time series analysis remains a major challenge due to its sparse characteristics, high dimensionality, and inconsistent data quality. Recent advancements in transformer-based techniques have enhanced capabilities in forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Robert Leppich , Vanessa Borst , Veronika Lesch , Samuel Kounev