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Asymptomatic individuals in the context of malarial disease refers to subjects who carry a parasite load but do not show clinical symptoms. A correct understanding of the influence of asymptomatic individuals on transmission dynamics will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jacob B. Aguilar , Juan B. Gutierrez

Medical statistics reveal a significant dependence of hospitalized dengue patient on the patient's age. To incorporate an age-dependence into a mathematical model, we extend the classical ODE system of disease dynamics to a PDE system. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-27 N. C. Ganegoda , T. Götz , K. P. Wijaya

Improved mobility not only contributes to more intensive human activities but also facilitates the spread of communicable disease, thus constituting a major threat to billions of urban commuters. In this study, we present a multi-city…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-11 Xinwu Qian , Lijun Sun , Satish V. Ukkusuri

The spread of one disease, in some cases, can stimulate the spreading of another infectious disease. Here, we treat analytically a symmetric coinfection model for spreading of two diseases on a two-layer multiplex network. We allow layer…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-20 N. Azimi-Tafreshi

We consider a threshold epidemic model on a clustered random graph with overlapping communities. In other words, our epidemic model is such that an individual becomes infected as soon as the proportion of her infected neighbors exceeds the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

We study the effect of motion on disease spreading in a system of random walkers which additionally perform long-distance jumps. A small percentage of jumps in the agent motion is sufficient to destroy the local correlations and to produce…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Arturo Buscarino , Luigi Fortuna , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora

The transmission of vector infectious diseases, which produces complex spatiotemporal patterns, is analyzed by a periodically forced two-dimensional cellular automata model. The system, which comprises three population levels, is introduced…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2008-10-03 L. B. L. Santos , M. C. Costa , S. T. R. Pinho , R. F. S. Andrade , F. R. Barreto , M. G. Teixeira , M. L. Barreto

We introduce a discrete-time quantum random walk (QRW) framework for spatial epidemic modelling on a two-dimensional square lattice and compare its dynamics to classical random-walk SIR models. In our model, each infected site spawns a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Sayan Manna , Nikhil Kowshik , Sudebkumar Prasant Pal

Consider stochastic models for the spread of an infection in a structured community, where this structured community is itself described by a random network model. Some common network models and transmission models are defined and large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-16 Tom Britton

The application of machine learning (ML) techniques span a vast spectrum ranging from speech, face and character recognition, medical diagnosis, anomaly detection in data to the general classification, prediction, and regression problems.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Richa Tripathi , Amit Reza , Dinesh Garg

Arboviruses represent a significant threat to human, animal, and plant health worldwide. To elucidate transmission, anticipate their spread and efficiently control them, mechanistic modelling has proven its usefulness. However, most models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 Léa Loisel , Vincent Raquin , Maxime Ratinier , Pauline Ezanno , Gaël Beaunée

We use a popular fictional disease, zombies, in order to introduce techniques used in modern epidemiology modelling, and ideas and techniques used in the numerical study of critical phenomena. We consider variants of zombie models, from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-14 Alexander A. Alemi , Matthew Bierbaum , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

Human diseases spread over networks of contacts between individuals and a substantial body of recent research has focused on the dynamics of the spreading process. Here we examine a model of two competing diseases spreading over the same…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

We propose a model for epidemic spreading on a finite complex network with a restriction to at most one contamination per time step. Because of a highly discrete character of the process, the analysis cannot use the continous approximation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-23 Wojciech Ganczarek

Epidemic outbreaks pose significant challenges to public health and socio-economic stability, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of disease transmission dynamics and effective control strategies. This article discusses the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-20 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan , Sujay Rastogi

Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

The spread of certain diseases can be promoted, in some cases substantially, by prior infection with another disease. One example is that of HIV, whose immunosuppressant effects significantly increase the chances of infection with other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-04 M. E. J. Newman , C. R. Ferrario

In this research, we study the propagation patterns of epidemic diseases such as the COVID-19 coronavirus, from a mathematical modeling perspective. The study is based on an extensions of the well-known susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Reza Sameni

We investigate the spread of an infection or other malfunction of cascading nature when a system component can recover only if it remains reachable from a functioning central component. We consider the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 L. Böttcher , O. Woolley-Meza , E. Goles , D. Helbing , H. J. Herrmann

During infectious disease outbreaks, estimates of time-varying pathogen transmissibility, such as the instantaneous reproduction number R(t) or epidemic growth rate r(t), are used to inform decision-making by public health authorities. For…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-30 Cathal Mills , Tarek Alrefae , William S. Hart , Moritz U. G. Kraemer , Kris V. Parag , Robin N. Thompson , Christl A. Donnelly , Ben Lambert