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Many natural systems undergo critical transitions, i.e. sudden shifts from one dynamical regime to another. In the climate system, the atmospheric boundary layer can experience sudden transitions between fully turbulent states and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Amandine Kaiser , Davide Faranda , Sebastian Krumscheid , Danijel Belušić , Nikki Vercauteren

A deterministic excitation (DE) paradigm is formulated, according to which the late Pleistocene glacial terminations correspond to the excitation, by the orbital forcing, of nonlinear relaxation oscillations (ROs) internal to the climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-22 Stefano Pierini

The stability of a discrete time crystal against thermal fluctuations has been studied numerically by solving a stochastic Landau-Lifshitz-Gilbert equation of a periodically-driven classical system composed of interacting spins, each of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-24 Mingxi Yue , Xiaoqin Yang , Zi Cai

A paradigm for isothermal, mechanical rectification of stochastic fluctuations is introduced in this paper. The central idea is to transform energy injected by random perturbations into rigid-body rotational kinetic energy. The prototype…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-18 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Houman Owhadi

Glacial-interglacial cycles are large variations in continental ice mass and greenhouse gases, which have dominated climate variability over the Quaternary. The dominant periodicity of the cycles is $\sim $40 kyr before the so-called middle…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-16 Takahito Mitsui , Michel Crucifix , Kazuyuki Aihara

Earth's climate can be understood as a dynamical system that changes due to external forcing and internal couplings. Essential climate variables, such as surface air temperature, describe this dynamics. Our current interglacial, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-24 Beatrice Ellerhoff , Kira Rehfeld

We analyze and model the stochastic behavior of paleoclimate time series and assess the implications for the coupling of climate variables during the Pleistocene glacial cycles. We examine 800 kyr of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-02-16 N. D. B. Keyes , L. T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer

This paper aims to better understand why there was a global warming pause in 2000-2015 and why the global mean surface temperature (GMST) has risen again in recent years. We present and statistically analyze substantial time-series observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing-Bin Lu

While one can unequivocally identify past climate transitions, we lack comprehensive knowledge about their underlying mechanisms and timescales. Our study employs a dimensional analysis of benthic stable isotope records to uncover, across…

This thesis is dedicated to the study of stochastic processes; non-deterministic physical phenomena that can be well described by classical physics. The stochastic processes we are interested in are akin to Brownian Motion and can be…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-06 Ashley Wilkins

The winter climate of the East/Japan Sea (EJS) is strongly affected by the Arctic Oscillation (AO), yet how AO polarity reshapes the memory, coupling patterns, and predictability of sea-surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) remains poorly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-12 Gyuchang Lim , JongJin Park

The effect caused by the presence of a number of distinct time scales in a simple stochastic model for the Earth's atmosphere temperature fluctuations is studied. The model is described by a dissipative dynamics consisting of a set of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arturo Berrones

Using a recent conceptual model of the glacial-interglacial cycles we present more evidence of Milankovitch cycles being the trigger for retreat and forming of ice sheets in the cycles. This model is based on a finite approximation of an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-11-20 Shiv Priyam Raghuraman

We consider the evolution of an isentropic thermal instability in the atomic zone of a photodissociation region (PDR). In this zone, gas heating and cooling are associated mainly with photoelectric emission from dust grains and…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-12-13 K. V. Krasnobaev , R. R. Tagirova

The transport of sea ice over the polar oceans plays an important role in climate. This transport is driven predominantly by turbulent winds, leading to stochastic motion of ice floes. Observed diffusivities and velocity distributions of…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-26 Bryan Shaddy , P. Alex Greaney , Bhargav Rallabandi

It is commonly accepted that the variations of Earth's orbit and obliquity control the timing of Pleistocene glacial-interglacial cycles. Evidence comes from power spectrum analysis of palaeoclimate records and from inspection of the timing…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Michel Crucifix

The Late Pleistocene Antarctic temperature variation curve is decomposed into two parts: cyclic and stochastic. These two parts represent different but tightly interconnected processes and also represent two different types of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-05-20 Lev A. Maslov

A model of the premelting fluctuations is proposed, based on the Landau mean field theory applied to a first-order phase transition. Using the thermodynamic potential, the nonlinear Langevin equation for the order parameter is formulated,…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2020-03-24 Pavel Golovinski

We present a model for variations in atmospheric temperature from time scales of one day to one million years based on a stochastic diffusion (random walk) model of the turbulent transport of heat energy vertically in a coupled…

ao-sci · Physics 2008-02-03 Jon D. Pelletier

Climate models project that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) will weaken in the 21st century, but the magnitude is highly uncertain. Some of this uncertainty is structural, as most climate models neglect increasing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Oliver Mehling , Henk A. Dijkstra
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