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The theory of causal emergence (CE) with effective information (EI) posits that complex systems can exhibit CE, where macro-dynamics show stronger causal effects than micro-dynamics. A key challenge of this theory is its dependence on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-12 Jiang Zhang , Ruyi Tao , Keng Hou Leong , Mingzhe Yang , Bing Yuan

After coarse-graining a complex system, the dynamics of its macro-state may exhibit more pronounced causal effects than those of its micro-state. This phenomenon, known as causal emergence, is quantified by the indicator of effective…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Kaiwei Liu , Bing Yuan , Jiang Zhang

Large-scale precision matrix estimation is of fundamental importance yet challenging in many contemporary applications for recovering Gaussian graphical models. In this paper, we suggest a new approach of innovated scalable efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

The classic studies of causal emergence have revealed that in some Markovian dynamical systems, far stronger causal connections can be found on the higher-level descriptions than the lower-level of the same systems if we coarse-grain the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Jiang Zhang , Kaiwei Liu

We propose a data-driven, coarse-graining formulation in the context of equilibrium statistical mechanics. In contrast to existing techniques which are based on a fine-to-coarse map, we adopt the opposite strategy by prescribing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Markus Schöberl , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Quantifying emergence and modeling emergent dynamics in a data-driven manner for complex dynamical systems is challenging due to the lack of direct observations at the micro-level. Thus, it's crucial to develop a framework to identify…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-16 Mingzhe Yang , Zhipeng Wang , Kaiwei Liu , Yingqi Rong , Bing Yuan , Jiang Zhang

Causal discovery is a data-driven paradigm for analyzing complex systems, while physics-based models, such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provide mechanistic structure for real-world dynamical processes. Integrating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jianhong Chen , Naichen Shi , Xubo Yue

Variational autoencoders (VAE) are a powerful and widely-used class of models to learn complex data distributions in an unsupervised fashion. One important limitation of VAEs is the prior assumption that latent sample representations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Francesco Paolo Casale , Adrian V Dalca , Luca Saglietti , Jennifer Listgarten , Nicolo Fusi

A general scheme, which includes constructions of coarse-grained (CG) models, weighted ensemble dynamics (WED) simulations and cluster analyses (CA) of stable states, is presented to detect dynamical and thermodynamical properties in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-04 Xin Zhou

Causal inference in observational studies with high-dimensional covariates presents significant challenges. We introduce CausalBGM, an AI-powered Bayesian generative modeling approach that captures the causal relationship among covariates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Qiao Liu , Wing Hung Wong

A novel stability-enhanced Gaussian process variational autoencoder (SEGP-VAE) is proposed for indirectly training a low-dimensional linear time invariant (LTI) system, using high-dimensional video data. The mean and covariance function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Carl R. Richardson , Jichen Zhang , Ethan King , Ján Drgoňa

Causal inference methods are widely applied in various decision-making domains such as precision medicine, optimal policy and economics. Central to causal inference is the treatment effect estimation of intervention strategies, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Tri Dung Duong , Qian Li , Guandong Xu

Endowing deep models with the ability to generalize in dynamic scenarios is of vital significance for real-world deployment, given the continuous and complex changes in data distribution. Recently, evolving domain generalization (EDG) has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Zhuo He , Shuang Li , Wenze Song , Longhui Yuan , Jian Liang , Han Li , Kun Gai

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

Causal excursion effect (CEE) characterizes the effect of an intervention under policies that deviate from the experimental policy. It is widely used to study the effect of time-varying interventions that have the potential to be frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Zhaoxi Cheng , Lauren Bell , Tianchen Qian

Coarse-graining is central to reducing dimensionality in molecular dynamics, and is typically characterized by a mapping which projects the full state of the system to a smaller class of variables. While extensive literature has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Frédéric Legoll , Tony Lelièvre , Upanshu Sharma

Bayesian causal discovery aims to infer the posterior distribution over causal models from observed data, quantifying epistemic uncertainty and benefiting downstream tasks. However, computational challenges arise due to joint inference over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Yashas Annadani , Nick Pawlowski , Joel Jennings , Stefan Bauer , Cheng Zhang , Wenbo Gong

We introduce the spatial disorder-generalized Langevin equation (SD-GLE), a data-driven method for constructing coarse-grained (CG) dynamics in heterogeneous systems. Unlike conventional CG approaches that rely on a mean-field potential,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Chuyi Liu , Yifeng Guan , Jingyuan Li , Mao Su

Causal disentanglement from soft interventions is identifiable under the assumptions of linear interventional faithfulness and availability of both observational and interventional data. Previous research has looked into this problem from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Jifan Zhang , Michelle M. Li , Elena Zheleva

Most existing methods that address out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization for node classification on graphs primarily focus on a specific type of data biases, such as label selection bias or structural bias. However, anticipating the type…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Guoxin Chen , Yongqing Wang , Fangda Guo , Qinglang Guo , Jiangli Shao , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng
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