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We study whether a multivariate L\'evy-driven moving average process can shadow arbitrarily closely any continuous path, starting from the present value of the process, with positive conditional probability, which we call the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Mikko S. Pakkanen , Tommi Sottinen , Adil Yazigi

We analytically describe the decay to equilibrium of generic observables of a non-integrable system after a perturbation in the form of a random matrix. We further obtain an analytic form for the time-averaged fluctuations of an observable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-06-05 Charlie Nation , Diego Porras

We investigate the concept of cylindrical Wiener process subordinated to a strictly $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process, with $\alpha\in\left(0,1\right)$, in an infinite dimensional, separable Hilbert space, and consider the related stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Alessandro Bondi

The cutoff phenomenon is an abrupt transition from out of equilibrium to equilibrium undergone by certain Markov processes in the limit where the size of the state space tends to infinity: instead of decaying gradually over time, their…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Justin Salez

This paper provides several statistical estimators for the drift and volatility parameters of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by fractional Brownian motion, whose observations can be made either continuously or at discrete time…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-29 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Hongjuan Zhou

For the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter is totally different in the stable, unstable, and explosive cases. Notwithstanding of this trichotomy, we investigate…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-28 Bernard Bercu , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Savy

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

In Chen and Zhou 2021, they consider an inference problem for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a general one-dimensional centered Gaussian process $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$. The second order mixed partial derivative of the covariance function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Yong Chen , Xiangmeng Gu , Ying Li

In this work, we study the class of stochastic process that generalizes the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, hereafter called by \emph{Generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Type Process} and denoted by GOU type process. We consider them driven by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 J. Stein , S. R. C. Lopes , A. V. Medino

We consider a stochastic differential equation with additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, and a non-linear drift depending on an unknown parameter. We show the Local Asymptotic Normality property (LAN) of this parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Yanghui Liu , Eulalia Nualart , Samy Tindel

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

Based on a version of Dudley's Wiener process on the mass shell in the momentum Minkowski space of a massive point particle, a model of a relativistic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process is constructed by addition of a specific drift term. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-03-22 Jürgen Potthoff , Robert Schrader

Shot noise processes have been extensively studied due to their mathematical properties and their relevance in several applications. Here, we consider nonnegative shot noise processes and prove their weak convergence to L\'evy-driven…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Massimiliano Tamborrino , Petr Lansky

The Gaussian mixed-effects model driven by a stationary integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process has been used for analyzing longitudinal data having an explicit and simple serial-correlation structure in each individual. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Takumi Imamura , Hiroki Masuda , Hayato Tajima

In finite dimension, the long-time and metastable behavior of a gradient flow perturbated by a small Brownian noise is well understood. A similar situation arises when a Wasserstein gradient flow over a space of probability measure is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Pierre Monmarché

Assuming that a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck state process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate all drift and diffusion parameters via the celebrated ergodic theorem. With the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

Active Matter models commonly consider particles with overdamped dynamics subject to a force (speed) with constant modulus and random direction. Some models include also random noise in particle displacement (Wiener process) resulting in a…

We study the problem of parameter estimation for the homogenization limit of multiscale systems involving fractional dynamics. In the case of stochastic multiscale systems driven by Brownian motion, it has been shown that in order for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Pablo Ramses Alonso-Martin , Horatio Boedihardjo , Anastasia Papavasiliou

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

In this paper we consider a branching particle system consisting of particles moving according to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in $\Rd$ and undergoing a binary, supercritical branching with a constant rate $\lambda>0$. This system is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-23 Radosław Adamczak , Piotr Miłoś