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Several Earth system components are at a high risk of undergoing rapid and irreversible qualitative changes or `tipping', due to increasing climate warming. Potential tipping elements include Arctic sea-ice, Atlantic meridional overturning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-25 Parvathi Kooloth , Jian Lu , Craig Bakker , Derek DeSantis , Adam Rupe

In recent years, the climate change research community has become highly interested in describing the anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, commonly termed "event attribution." Limitations in the observational record and in…

Anomaly detecting as an important technical in cloud computing is applied to support smooth running of the cloud platform. Traditional detecting methods based on statistic, analysis, etc. lead to the high false-alarm rate due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Jing Zhang

We revisit a recent claim that the Earth's climate system is characterized by sensitive dependence to parameters; in particular, that the system exhibits an asymmetric, large-amplitude response to normally distributed feedback forcing. Such…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-01-13 Ilya Zaliapin , Michael Ghil

Perhaps the most iconic feature of melting Arctic sea ice is the formation of distinctive, complex ponds on its surface during late spring. The evolution of melt ponds and their geometrical characteristics determines the albedo of sea ice,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-11 Yi-Ping Ma , Ivan Sudakov , Courtenay Strong , Kenneth M. Golden

Numerical climate models are used to project future climate change due to both anthropogenic and natural causes. Differences between projections from different climate models are a major source of uncertainty about future climate. Emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Thomas J. Bracegirdle

Climate change demands effective legislative action to mitigate its impacts. This study explores the application of machine learning (ML) to understand the progression of climate policy from announcement to adoption, focusing on policies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Patricia West , Michelle WL Wan , Alexander Hepburn , Edwin Simpson , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Jeffrey N Clark

The CMIP global climate models (GCMs) assess that nearly 100% of global surface warming observed between 1850-1900 and 2011-2020 is attributable to anthropogenic drivers like greenhouse gas emissions. These models also generate future…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-18 Nicola Scafetta

Surface mass balance (SMB) is an important factor in the estimation of sea level change, and data are collected to estimate models for prediction of SMB over the Antarctic ice sheets. Using a quality-controlled aggregate dataset of SMB…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-13 Philip A. White , C. Shane Reese , William F. Christensen , Summer Rupper

The generation of initial conditions via accurate data assimilation is crucial for weather forecasting and climate modeling. We propose DiffDA as a denoising diffusion model capable of assimilating atmospheric variables using predicted…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Langwen Huang , Lukas Gianinazzi , Yuejiang Yu , Peter D. Dueben , Torsten Hoefler

The importance of snow cover and ice extent in the Northern Hemisphere was recognized by various authors leading to a positive feedback of surface reflectivity on climate. In fact, the retreat of Arctic sea ice is accompanied by enhanced…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-06-20 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

Global warming presents an unprecedented challenge to our planet however comprehensive understanding remains hindered by geographical biases temporal limitations and lack of standardization in existing research. An end to end visual…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-19 Meihua Zhou , Nan Wan , Tianlong Zheng , Hanwen Xu , Li Yang , Tingting Wang

Earth System Models (ESMs) are the primary tools for investigating future Earth system states at time scales from decades to centuries, especially in response to anthropogenic greenhouse gas release. State-of-the-art ESMs can reproduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Maximilian Gelbrecht , Alistair White , Sebastian Bathiany , Niklas Boers

Earth's temperature variability can be partitioned into internal and externally-forced components. Yet, underlying mechanisms and their relative contributions remain insufficiently understood, especially on decadal to centennial timescales.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-01 Maybritt Schillinger , Beatrice Ellerhoff , Robert Scheichl , Kira Rehfeld

Policy targets evolve faster than the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project cycles, complicating adaptation and mitigation planning that must often contend with outdated projections. Climate model output emulators address this gap by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Shahine Bouabid , Andre Nogueira Souza , Raffaele Ferrari

Climate change and global warming have been trending topics worldwide since the Eco-92 conference. However, little progress has been made in reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs). The problems and challenges related to emissions are complex and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Victor de A. Xavier , Felipe M. G. França , Priscila M. V. Lima

Reanalysis products such as the ERA5 reanalysis are commonly used as proxies for observed atmospheric conditions. These products are convenient to use due to their global coverage, the large number of available atmospheric variables and the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-03 Silius M. Vandeskog , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Alex Lenkoski

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

This paper explores the use of Topological Data Analysis (TDA) to investigate patterns in zonal-mean zonal winds of the Arctic, which make up the polar vortex, in order to better explain polar vortex dynamics. We demonstrate how TDA reveals…

Understanding how sea ice melts is critical to climate projections. In the Arctic, melt ponds that develop on the surface of sea ice floes during the late spring and summer largely determine their albedo -- a key parameter in climate…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-11-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , Kenneth M. Golden