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The anomaly detection method presented by this paper has a special feature: it does not only indicate whether an observation is anomalous or not but also tells what exactly makes an anomalous observation unusual. Hence, it provides support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Gábor Horváth , Edith Kovács , Roland Molontay , Szabolcs Nováczki

Understanding and predicting environmental phenomena often requires the construction of spatio-temporal statistical models, which are typically Gaussian processes. A common assumption made on Gaussian processes is that of covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Stephen J. Chuter

Change point methods are used to divide a sequence of observations into segments with different behaviour. Often, the distributional form of the observations is unknown, but the changes of interest are likely to involve shifts in location,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Gordon J. Ross

Multi-dimensional functional data arises in numerous modern scientific experimental and observational studies. In this paper we focus on longitudinal functional data, a structured form of multidimensional functional data. Operating within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-20 John Shamshoian , Damla Senturk , Shafali Jeste , Donatello Telesca

This paper introduces variational design methods that are novel to Geophysics, and discusses their benefits and limitations in the context of geophysical applications and more established design methods. Variational methods rely on…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-24 Dominik Strutz , Andrew Curtis

We propose an algorithmic framework, that employs active subspace techniques, for scalable global optimization of functions with low effective dimension (also referred to as low-rank functions). This proposal replaces the original…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-01 Coralia Cartis , Xinzhu Liang , Estelle Massart , Adilet Otemissov

In spatio-temporal analysis, we often record data at specific time intervals but with varying spatial locations between these timepoints. We propose a conditional model to analyze such spatio-temporal data that accommodates the dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Subhrajyoty Roy , Soudeep Deb , Sayar Karmakar , Rishideep Roy

We propose a new method for functional nonparametric regression with a predictor that resides on a finite-dimensional manifold but is only observable in an infinite-dimensional space. Contamination of the predictor due to discrete/noisy…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-08 Zhenhua Lin , Fang Yao

Functional data analysis offers a diverse toolkit of statistical methods tailored for analyzing samples of real-valued random functions. Recently, samples of time-varying random objects, such as time-varying networks, have been increasingly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

Stochastic epidemic models which incorporate interactions between space and human mobility are a key tool to inform prioritisation of outbreak control to appropriate locations. However, methods for fitting such models to national-level…

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

We propose a flexible and robust nonparametric framework for testing spatial dependence in two- and three-dimensional random fields. Our approach involves converting spatial data into one-dimensional time series using space-filling Hilbert…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Christian H. Weiß , Philipp Adämmer

Detecting spatial patterns is fundamental to scientific discovery, yet current methods lack statistical consensus and face computational barriers when applied to large-scale spatial omics datasets. We unify major approaches through a single…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-04 Jiayu Su , Jun Hou Fung , Haoyu Wang , Dian Yang , David A. Knowles , Raul Rabadan

Predicting the response at an unobserved location is a fundamental problem in spatial statistics. Given the difficulty in modeling spatial dependence, especially in non-stationary cases, model-based prediction intervals are at risk of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Huiying Mao , Ryan Martin , Brian Reich

We present results of a long-term team collaboration of mathematicians and biologists. We focus on building a mathematical framework for the shape space constituted by a collection of homologous bones or teeth from many species. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Shira Faigenbaum-Golovin , Ingrid Daubechies

This paper presents a novel approach to the analysis of spatial behavior distribution, utilizing weighted Voronoi diagrams. The objective is to map and understand how an experimental subject moves and spends time in various areas of a given…

Extracted event data from information systems often contain a variety of process executions making the data complex and difficult to comprehend. Unlike current research which only identifies the variability over time, we focus on other…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Ali Norouzifar , Majid Rafiei , Marcus Dees , Wil van der Aalst

The conceptualization of space is crucial for comprehending the processes that shape geographic phenomena. Functional space exhibits asymmetric spatial separations, which deviate from the symmetry axiom of metric space commonly adopted as a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-03 Bin Liu , Zhaoya Gong , Jean-Claude Thill

We investigate the unsupervised learning of non-invertible observation functions in nonlinear state-space models. Assuming abundant data of the observation process along with the distribution of the state process, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Qingci An , Yannis Kevrekidis , Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni
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