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Adaptive robust optimization (ARO) extends static robust optimization by allowing decisions to depend on the realized uncertainty - weakly dominating static solutions within the modeled uncertainty set. However, ARO makes previous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Karl Zhu , Dimitris Bertsimas

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

In this work, we study how to ensure probabilistic safety for nonlinear systems under distributional ambiguity. Our approach builds on a backup-based safety filtering framework that switches between a high-performance nominal policy and a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Daniel M. Cherenson , Haejoon Lee , Taekyung Kim , Dimitra Panagou

Advanced persistent threats (APTs) pose significant challenges for organizations, leading to data breaches, financial losses, and reputational damage. Existing provenance-based approaches for APT detection often struggle with high false…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Yonatan Amaru , Prasanna Wudali , Yuval Elovici , Asaf Shabtai

In safety-critical applications of machine learning, it is often important to abstain from making predictions on low confidence examples. Standard abstention methods tend to be focused on optimizing top-k accuracy, but in many applications,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Amr M. Alexandari , Anshul Kundaje , Avanti Shrikumar

We introduce $\textit{Backward Conformal Prediction}$, a method that guarantees conformal coverage while providing flexible control over the size of prediction sets. Unlike standard conformal prediction, which fixes the coverage level and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Etienne Gauthier , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

Ensuring the safety of real-world systems is challenging, especially when they rely on learned perception modules to infer the system state from high-dimensional sensor data. These perception modules are vulnerable to epistemic uncertainty,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Kai S. Yun , Navid Azizan

In this paper, a novel online, output-feedback, critic-only, model-based reinforcement learning framework is developed for safety-critical control systems operating in complex environments. The developed framework ensures system stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-28 Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Muzaffar Qureshi , Zachary I. Bell , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Measurements and state estimates are often imperfect in control practice, posing challenges for safety-critical applications, where safety guarantees rely on accurate state information. In the presence of estimation errors, several prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Ersin Das , Rahal Nanayakkara , Xiao Tan , Ryan M. Bena , Joel W. Burdick , Paulo Tabuada , Aaron D. Ames

Conformal prediction methods provide statistically rigorous marginal coverage guarantees for machine learning models, but such guarantees fail to account for algorithmic biases, thereby undermining fairness and trust. This paper introduces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Senrong Xu , Yanke Zhou , Yuhao Tan , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

In critical decision support systems based on medical imaging, the reliability of AI-assisted decision-making is as relevant as predictive accuracy. Although deep learning models have demonstrated significant accuracy, they frequently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Hua Xu , Julián D. Arias-Londoño , Juan I. Godino-Llorente

Accurately and promptly predicting accidents among surrounding traffic agents from camera footage is crucial for the safety of autonomous vehicles (AVs). This task presents substantial challenges stemming from the unpredictable nature of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Haicheng Liao , Haoyu Sun , Huanming Shen , Chengyue Wang , Kahou Tam , Chunlin Tian , Li Li , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

Hybrid approaches that combine data-driven learning with physics-based insight have shown promise for improving the reliability of industrial condition monitoring. This work develops a hybrid condition monitoring framework that integrates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Maryam Ahang , Todd Charter , Masoud Jalayer , Homayoun Najjaran

End-to-end engineering design pipelines, in which designs are evaluated using concurrently defined optimal controllers, are becoming increasingly common in practice. To discover designs that perform well even under the misspecification of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-10 Yash Patel , Sahana Rayan , Ambuj Tewari

We construct confidence sets for the regression function in nonparametric binary regression with an unknown design density. These confidence sets are adaptive in $L^2$ loss over a continuous class of Sobolev type spaces. Adaptation holds in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-04 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

This work proposes a new adaptive-robust control (ARC) architecture for a class of uncertain Euler-Lagrange (EL) systems where the upper bound of the uncertainty satisfies linear in parameters (LIP) structure. Conventional ARC strategies…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-10 Spandan Roy , Sayan Basu Roy , Indra Narayan Kar

A unified system integrating a compact object detector and a surrounding environmental condition classifier for enhancing the robustness of object detection scheme in advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) is proposed in this paper. ADAS…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-05 Le-Anh Tran , Truong-Dong Do , Dong-Chul Park , My-Ha Le

Predicting T-cell receptor (TCR)--peptide-MHC (pMHC) binding is central to vaccine design and T-cell therapy, yet deployed models frequently encounter epitopes unseen during training, causing silent overconfidence and unreliable…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Arman Bekov , Timur Bekzhanov , Bekzat Sadykov

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification with finite-sample coverage guarantees. While recent work has extended conformal prediction to online and sequential settings, existing methods typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Ambuj Tewari