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Conditional forecasts, i.e. projections of a set of variables of interest on the future paths of some other variables, are used routinely by empirical macroeconomists in a number of applied settings. In spite of this, the existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Joshua C. C. Chan , Davide Pettenuzzo , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

A complete understanding of heterogeneous treatment effects involves characterizing the full conditional distribution of potential outcomes. To this end, we propose the Conditional Counterfactual Mean Embeddings (CCME), a framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Thatchanon Anancharoenkij , Donlapark Ponnoprat

Distributed nonconvex optimization underpins key functionalities of numerous distributed systems, ranging from power systems, smart buildings, cooperative robots, vehicle networks to sensor networks. Recently, it has also merged as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Yanan Bo , Yongqiang Wang

Quantization of a probability measure means representing it with a finite set of Dirac masses that approximates the input distribution well enough (in some metric space of probability measures). Various methods exists to do so, but the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Gabriel Turinici

Kernel conditional mean embeddings (CMEs) offer a powerful framework for representing conditional distribution, but they often face scalability and expressiveness challenges. In this work, we propose a new method that effectively combines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Eiki Shimizu , Kenji Fukumizu , Dino Sejdinovic

The Knowledge Tracing (KT) task plays a crucial role in personalized learning, and its purpose is to predict student responses based on their historical practice behavior sequence. However, the KT task suffers from data sparsity, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Moyu Zhang , Xinning Zhu , Chunhong Zhang , Feng Pan , Wenchen Qian , Hui Zhao

Causal learning has long concerned itself with the accurate recovery of underlying causal mechanisms. Such causal modelling enables better explanations of out-of-distribution data. Prior works on causal learning assume that the high-level…

Quantile regression (QR) is a statistical tool for distribution-free estimation of conditional quantiles of a target variable given explanatory features. QR is limited by the assumption that the target distribution is univariate and defined…

Neural processes are a family of probabilistic models that inherit the flexibility of neural networks to parameterize stochastic processes. Despite providing well-calibrated predictions, especially in regression problems, and quick…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Peiman Mohseni , Nick Duffield , Bani Mallick , Arman Hasanzadeh

Learning deep discrete latent presentations offers a promise of better symbolic and summarized abstractions that are more useful to subsequent downstream tasks. Inspired by the seminal Vector Quantized Variational Auto-Encoder (VQ-VAE),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Tung-Long Vuong , Trung Le , He Zhao , Chuanxia Zheng , Mehrtash Harandi , Jianfei Cai , Dinh Phung

Standard clustering techniques assume a common configuration for all features in a dataset. However, when dealing with multi-view or longitudinal data, the clusters' number, frequencies, and shapes may need to vary across features to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Beatrice Franzolini , Maria De Iorio , Johan Eriksson

It is often of interest to condition on a singular event given by a random variable, e.g. $\{Y=y\}$ for a continuous random variable $Y$. Conditional measures with respect to this event are usually derived as a special case of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Philipp Wacker

Enabling low precision implementations of deep learning models, without considerable performance degradation, is necessary in resource and latency constrained settings. Moreover, exploiting the differences in sensitivity to quantization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Ignacio Hounie , Juan Elenter , Alejandro Ribeiro

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

Learning conditional distributions is challenging because the desired outcome is not a single distribution but multiple distributions that correspond to multiple instances of the covariates. We introduce a novel neural entropic optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Bao Nguyen , Binh Nguyen , Hieu Trung Nguyen , Viet Anh Nguyen

We explore the performance of latent variable models for conditional text generation in the context of neural machine translation (NMT). Similar to Zhang et al., we augment the encoder-decoder NMT paradigm by introducing a continuous latent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Artidoro Pagnoni , Kevin Liu , Shangyan Li

Conditional modeling x \to y is a central problem in machine learning. A substantial research effort is devoted to such modeling when x is high dimensional. We consider, instead, the case of a high dimensional y, where x is either low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Guy Lebanon

Conditional diffusion models serve as the foundation of modern image synthesis and find extensive application in fields like computational biology and reinforcement learning. In these applications, conditional diffusion models incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Hengyu Fu , Zhuoran Yang , Mengdi Wang , Minshuo Chen

A novel variational inference based resampling framework is proposed to evaluate the robustness and generalization capability of deep learning models with respect to distribution shift. We use Auto Encoding Variational Bayes to find a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Xudong Sun , Alexej Gossmann , Yu Wang , Bernd Bischl

Causal representation learning has emerged as the center of action in causal machine learning research. In particular, multi-domain datasets present a natural opportunity for showcasing the advantages of causal representation learning over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Kartik Ahuja , Amin Mansouri , Yixin Wang
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