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Sampling multiple responses improves language model reasoning, but uniform compute allocation is inefficient: easy questions are over-sampled while hard questions remain under-explored. We propose Uncertainty-Aware Budget Allocation (UAB),…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Manh Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Hung Le

Adaptive designs for multi-armed clinical trials have become increasingly popular recently in many areas of medical research because of their potential to shorten development times and to increase patient response. However, developing…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam Smith , Sofia S. Villar

Power grid expansion planning requires making large investment decisions in the present that will impact the future cost and reliability of a system exposed to wide-ranging uncertainties. Extreme temperatures can pose significant challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Ramsey Rossmann , Mihai Anitescu , Julie Bessac , Michael Ferris , Mitchell Krock , James Luedtke , Line Roald

Load side participation can provide support to the power network by appropriately adapting the demand when required. In addition, it enables an economically improved power allocation. In this study, we consider the problem of providing an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-10 Andreas Kasis , Stelios Timotheou , Marios Polycarpou

Influence maximization is a prototypical problem enabling applications in various domains, and it has been extensively studied in the past decade. The classic influence maximization problem explores the strategies for deploying seed users…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-15 Guangmo Tong , Ruiqi Wang

Estimating the probability of the binomial distribution is a basic problem, which appears in almost all introductory statistics courses and is performed frequently in various studies. In some cases, the parameter of interest is a difference…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-21 Almog Peer , David Azriel

This research considers the ranking and selection (R&S) problem of selecting the optimal subset from a finite set of alternative designs. Given the total simulation budget constraint, we aim to maximize the probability of correctly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Fei Gao , Zhongshun Shi , Siyang Gao , Hui Xiao

Response-adaptive randomization (RAR) can increase participant benefit in clinical trials, but also complicates statistical analysis. The burn-in period (a non-adaptive initial stage) is commonly used to mitigate this disadvantage, yet…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Edwin Y. N. Tang , Stef Baas , Daniel Kaddaj , Lukas Pin , David S. Robertson , Sofía S. Villar

Imbalanced data is a frequently encountered problem in machine learning. Despite a vast amount of literature on sampling techniques for imbalanced data, there is a limited number of studies that address the issue of the optimal sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Firuz Kamalov , Amir F. Atiya , Dina Elreedy

We examine the problem of allocating a given total storage budget in a distributed storage system for maximum reliability. A source has a single data object that is to be coded and stored over a set of storage nodes; it is allowed to store…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Derek Leong , Alexandros G. Dimakis , Tracey Ho

We consider the problem of designing experiments for the comparison of two regression curves describing the relation between a predictor and a response in two groups, where the data between and within the group may be dependent. In order to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Kirsten Schorning , Holger Dette

Class imbalance problems widely exist in the medical field and heavily deteriorates performance of clinical predictive models. Most techniques to alleviate the problem rebalance class proportions and they predominantly assume the rebalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Yinan Liu , Xinyu Dong , Weimin Lyu , Richard N. Rosenthal , Rachel Wong , Tengfei Ma , Fusheng Wang

Longitudinal cluster randomized trials (L-CRTs) are increasingly used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of healthcare interventions across multiple assessment periods, yet design methods for powering these trials remain underdeveloped.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Hao Wang , Jingxia Liu , Drew B. Cameron , Jiaqi Tong , Donna Spiegelman , Daniella Meeker , Fan Li

We propose information-directed sampling -- a new approach to online optimization problems in which a decision-maker must balance between exploration and exploitation while learning from partial feedback. Each action is sampled in a manner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-10 Daniel Russo , Benjamin Van Roy

We investigate how to improve efficiency using regression adjustments with covariates in covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) with imperfect subject compliance. Our regression-adjusted estimators, which are based on the doubly robust…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-19 Liang Jiang , Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang , Yichong Zhang

Two-phase designs involve measuring extra variables on a subset of the cohort where some variables are already measured. The goal of two-phase designs is to choose a subsample of individuals from the cohort and analyse that subsample…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-12 Tong Chen , Thomas Lumley

The assessment of binary classifier performance traditionally centers on discriminative ability using metrics, such as accuracy. However, these metrics often disregard the model's inherent uncertainty, especially when dealing with sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Agathe Fernandes Machado , Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire , Ewen Gallic , François Hu

The NEXT Generation Health study investigates the dating violence of adolescents using a survey questionnaire. Each student is asked to affirm or deny multiple instances of violence in his/her dating relationship. There is, however,…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-02 Kara A. Fulton , Danping Liu , Denise L. Haynie , Paul S. Albert

The F-measure, which has originally been introduced in information retrieval, is nowadays routinely used as a performance metric for problems such as binary classification, multi-label classification, and structured output prediction.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-09 Willem Waegeman , Krzysztof Dembczynski , Arkadiusz Jachnik , Weiwei Cheng , Eyke Hullermeier

This paper discusses the problem of determining optimal designs for regression models, when the observations are dependent and taken on an interval. A complete solution of this challenging optimal design problem is given for a broad class…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-25 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky
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