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Related papers: Words or Numbers? How Framing Uncertainties Affect…

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_Uncertainty expressions_ such as "probably" or "highly unlikely" are pervasive in human language. While prior work has established that there is population-level agreement in terms of how humans quantitatively interpret these expressions,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Catarina G Belem , Markelle Kelly , Mark Steyvers , Sameer Singh , Padhraic Smyth

Theoretically as well as experimentally it is investigated how people represent their knowledge in order to make decisions or to share their knowledge with others. Experiment 1 probes into the ways how people 6ather information about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alf C. Zimmer

Understanding and communicating data uncertainty is crucial for making informed decisions in sectors like finance and healthcare. Previous work has explored how to express uncertainty in various modes. For example, uncertainty can be…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Chase Stokes , Chelsea Sanker , Bridget Cogley , Vidya Setlur

People in the real world often possess vague knowledge of future payoffs, for which quantification is not feasible or desirable. We argue that language, with differing ability to convey vague information, plays an important but less-known…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-27 Kerry Xiao , Amy Zang

There is substantial variability in the expectations that communication partners bring into interactions, creating the potential for misunderstandings. To directly probe these gaps and our ability to overcome them, we propose a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Sonia K. Murthy , Thomas L. Griffiths , Robert D. Hawkins

As natural language becomes the default interface for human-AI interaction, there is a need for LMs to appropriately communicate uncertainties in downstream applications. In this work, we investigate how LMs incorporate confidence in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Kaitlyn Zhou , Jena D. Hwang , Xiang Ren , Maarten Sap

Human users increasingly communicate with large language models (LLMs), but LLMs suffer from frequent overconfidence in their output, even when its accuracy is questionable, which undermines their trustworthiness and perceived legitimacy.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Dennis Ulmer , Alexandra Lorson , Ivan Titov , Christian Hardmeier

Understanding and communicating data uncertainty is crucial for informed decision-making across various domains, including finance, healthcare, and public policy. This study investigates the impact of gender and acoustic variables on…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Chase Stokes , Chelsea Sanker , Bridget Cogley , Vidya Setlur

Many research explore how well computers are able to examine emotions displayed by humans and use that data to perform different tasks. However, there have been very few research which evaluate the computers ability to generate emotion…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Balaram Panda

There are two reasons why uncertainty may not be adequately described by Probability Theory. The first one is due to unique or nearly-unique events, that either never realized or occurred too seldom for frequencies to be reliably measured.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Florian Ellsaesser , Guido Fioretti , Gail E. James

Uncertainty of scientific findings are typically reported through statistical metrics such as $p$-values, confidence intervals, etc. The magnitude of this objective uncertainty is reflected in the language used by the authors to report…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Jamshid Sourati , Grace Shao

Typically, when evaluating Theory of Mind, we consider the beliefs of others to be binary: held or not held. But what if someone is unsure about their own beliefs? How can we quantify this uncertainty? We propose a new suite of tasks,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Anthony Sicilia , Malihe Alikhani

Effective interlocutors account for the uncertain goals, beliefs, and emotions of others. But even the best human conversationalist cannot perfectly anticipate the trajectory of a dialogue. How well can language models represent inherent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Anthony Sicilia , Hyunwoo Kim , Khyathi Raghavi Chandu , Malihe Alikhani , Jack Hessel

Spreadsheet users regularly deal with uncertainty in their data, for example due to errors and estimates. While an insight into data uncertainty can help in making better informed decisions, prior research suggests that people often use…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Judith Borghouts , Andrew D. Gordon , Advait Sarkar , Kenton P. O'Hara , Neil Toronto

Clear presentation of uncertainty is an exception rather than rule in media articles, data-driven reports, and consumer applications, despite proposed techniques for communicating sources of uncertainty in data. This work considers, Why do…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Jessica Hullman

LLMs often adopt an assertive language style also when making false claims. Such ``overconfident hallucinations'' mislead users and erode trust. Achieving the ability to express in language the actual degree of uncertainty around a claim is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Ziwei Ji , Lei Yu , Yeskendir Koishekenov , Yejin Bang , Anthony Hartshorn , Alan Schelten , Cheng Zhang , Pascale Fung , Nicola Cancedda

Widely deployed large language models (LLMs) can produce convincing yet incorrect outputs, potentially misleading users who may rely on them as if they were correct. To reduce such overreliance, there have been calls for LLMs to communicate…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Sunnie S. Y. Kim , Q. Vera Liao , Mihaela Vorvoreanu , Stephanie Ballard , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used as powerful tools for several high-stakes natural language processing (NLP) applications. Recent prompting works claim to elicit intermediate reasoning steps and key tokens that serve as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sree Harsha Tanneru , Chirag Agarwal , Himabindu Lakkaraju

When deciding how to act under uncertainty, agents may choose to act to reduce uncertainty or they may act despite that uncertainty. In communicative settings, an important way of reducing uncertainty is by asking clarification questions…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Polina Tsvilodub , Karl Mulligan , Todd Snider , Robert D. Hawkins , Michael Franke

Language Models (LMs) have shown promising performance in natural language generation. However, as LMs often generate incorrect or hallucinated responses, it is crucial to correctly quantify their uncertainty in responding to given inputs.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Xinmeng Huang , Shuo Li , Mengxin Yu , Matteo Sesia , Hamed Hassani , Insup Lee , Osbert Bastani , Edgar Dobriban
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