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This work presents a novel graph neural network (GNN) architecture, the Feature-specific Interpretable Graph Neural Network (FIGNN), designed to enhance the interpretability of deep learning surrogate models defined on unstructured grids in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Riddhiman Raut , Romit Maulik , Shivam Barwey

With the advent of artificial intelligence and machine learning, various domains of science and engineering communities have leveraged data-driven surrogates to model complex systems through fusing numerous sources of information (data)…

Theories of localised pattern formation are important to understand a broad range of natural patterns, but are less well-understood than more established mechanisms of domain-filling pattern formation. Here, we extend recent work on pattern…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-07-22 Andrew L. Krause , Václav Klika , Edgardo Villar-Sepúlveda , Alan R. Champneys , Eamonn A. Gaffney

The explainability of machine learning algorithms is crucial, and numerous methods have emerged recently. Local, post-hoc methods assign an attribution score to each feature, indicating its importance for the prediction. However, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Giorgio Visani , Vincenzo Stanzione , Damien Garreau

Spatial boundaries, such as ecological transitions or climatic regime interfaces, capture steep environmental gradients, and shifts in their structure can signal emerging environmental changes. Quantifying uncertainty in spatial boundary…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-18 Stephen Tivenan , Indranil Sahoo , Yanjun Qian

We propose employing a high-dimensional generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, regularized for dimension reduction and subsequently debiased to correct for shrinkage bias (referred to as a debiased-regularized estimator), for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-03 Victor Chernozhukov , Chen Huang , Weining Wang

Recent research has proven neural networks to be a powerful tool for performing hyperspectral imaging (HSI) target identification. However, many deep learning frameworks deliver a single material class prediction and operate on a per-pixel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Joshua R. Tempelman , Kevin Mitchell , Adam J. Wachtor , Eric B. Flynn

This paper deals with differentiable dynamical models congruent with neural process theories that cast brain function as the hierarchical refinement of an internal generative model explaining observations. Our work extends existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 André Ofner , Sebastian Stober

A main purpose of spatial data analysis is to predict the objective variable for the unobserved locations. Although Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is often used for this purpose, estimation instability proves to be an issue. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Toshiki Sakai , Jun Tsuchida , Hiroshi Yadohisa

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

When making inferences concerning the environment, ground truthed data will frequently be available as point referenced (geostatistical) observations that are clustered into multiple sites rather than uniformly spaced across the area of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-02 Benjamin R. Fitzpatrick , David W. Lamb , Kerrie Mengersen

The lack of interpretability and transparency are preventing economists from using advanced tools like neural networks in their empirical research. In this paper, we propose a class of interpretable neural network models that can achieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-01 Yucheng Yang , Zhong Zheng , Weinan E

Despite the remarkable strides made by AI-driven models in modern precipitation forecasting, these black-box models cannot inherently deepen the comprehension of underlying mechanisms. To address this limitation, we propose an AI-driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-12 Hao Xu , Yuntian Chen , Zhenzhong Zeng , Nina Li , Jian Li , Dongxiao Zhang

Motivated by the need for analysing large spatio-temporal panel data, we introduce a novel dimensionality reduction methodology for $n$-dimensional random fields observed across a number $S$ spatial locations and $T$ time periods. We call…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Matteo Barigozzi , Davide La Vecchia , Hang Liu

This study downscales the population and gross domestic product (GDP) scenarios given under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) into 0.5-degree grids. Our downscale approach has the following features: (i) it explicitly considers spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-14 Daisuke Murakami , Yoshiki Yamagata

The ability to interpret machine learning models has become increasingly important as their usage in data science continues to rise. Most current interpretability methods are optimized to work on either (\textit{i}) a global scale, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-11 Emily T. Winn-Nuñez , Maryclare Griffin , Lorin Crawford

Identifying the causal relationship among variables from observational data is an important yet challenging task. This work focuses on identifying the direct causes of an outcome and estimating their magnitude, i.e., learning the causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Zhenyu Wang , Yifan Hu , Peter Bühlmann , Zijian Guo

Model-agnostic tools for interpreting machine-learning models struggle to summarize the joint effects of strongly dependent features in high-dimensional feature spaces, which play an important role in pattern recognition, for example in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Alexander Brenning

Forecasting from partial observations is central to world modeling. Many recent methods represent the world through images, and reduce forecasting to stochastic video generation. Although such methods excel at realism and visual fidelity,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Gabrijel Boduljak , Yushi Lan , Christian Rupprecht , Andrea Vedaldi

Microclimate models are essential for linking climate to ecological processes, yet most physically based frameworks estimate temperature independently for each spatial unit and rely on simplified representations of lateral heat exchange. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Idan Sulami , Alon Itzkovitch , Michael R. Kearney , Moni Shahar , Ofir Levy
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