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This paper presents a fast methodology, called ROBOUT, to identify outliers in a response variable conditional on a set of linearly related predictors, retrieved from a large granular dataset. ROBOUT is shown to be effective and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 Matteo Farnè , Angelos Vouldis

We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any underlying model and (unknown) data-generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Emmanuel J. Candès , Michael I. Jordan , Lihua Lei

Often the challenge associated with tasks like fraud and spam detection[1] is the lack of all likely patterns needed to train suitable supervised learning models. In order to overcome this limitation, such tasks are attempted as outlier or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-22 Utkarsh Porwal , Smruthi Mukund

The requirement of uncertainty quantification for anomaly detection systems has become increasingly important. In this context, effectively controlling Type I error rates ($\alpha$) without compromising the statistical power ($1-\beta$) of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Oliver Hennhöfer , Christine Preisach

Large datasets are often affected by cell-wise outliers in the form of missing or erroneous data. However, discarding any samples containing outliers may result in a dataset that is too small to accurately estimate the covariance matrix.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Karim Lounici , Grégoire Pacreau

In many applications, when building linear regression models, it is important to account for the presence of outliers, i.e., corrupted input data points. Such problems can be formulated as mixed-integer optimization problems involving cubic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Andrés Gómez , José Neto

Time series anomaly detection is instrumental in maintaining system availability in various domains. Current work in this research line mainly focuses on learning data normality deeply and comprehensively by devising advanced neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Hongzuo Xu , Yijie Wang , Songlei Jian , Qing Liao , Yongjun Wang , Guansong Pang

Obtaining high-quality labels for large datasets is expensive, requiring massive annotations from human experts. While AI models offer a cost-effective alternative by predicting labels, their label quality is compromised by the unavoidable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Huipeng Huang , Wenbo Liao , Huajun Xi , Hao Zeng , Mengchen Zhao , Hongxin Wei

We consider offline Imitation Learning from corrupted demonstrations where a constant fraction of data can be noise or even arbitrary outliers. Classical approaches such as Behavior Cloning assumes that demonstrations are collected by an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Liu Liu , Ziyang Tang , Lanqing Li , Dijun Luo

Outlier detection is a fundamental task in data mining and has many applications including detecting errors in databases. While there has been extensive prior work on methods for outlier detection, modern datasets often have sizes that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-01 Laure Berti-Equille , Ji Meng Loh , Saravanan Thirumuruganathan

Most deep anomaly detection models are based on learning normality from datasets due to the difficulty of defining abnormality by its diverse and inconsistent nature. Therefore, it has been a common practice to learn normality under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Minkyung Kim , Jongmin Yu , Junsik Kim , Tae-Hyun Oh , Jun Kyun Choi

This paper develops novel conformal methods to test whether a new observation was sampled from the same distribution as a reference set. Blending inductive and transductive conformal inference in an innovative way, the described methods can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Ziyi Liang , Matteo Sesia , Wenguang Sun

Anomaly detection (AD) tasks have been solved using machine learning algorithms in various domains and applications. The great majority of these algorithms use normal data to train a residual-based model and assign anomaly scores to unseen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Markus Ulmer , Jannik Zgraggen , Lilach Goren Huber

Adversarial training instances can severely distort a model's behavior. This work investigates certified regression defenses, which provide guaranteed limits on how much a regressor's prediction may change under a poisoning attack. Our key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Zayd Hammoudeh , Daniel Lowd

The classical tests in the instrumental variable model can behave arbitrarily if the data is contaminated. For instance, one outlying observation can be enough to change the outcome of a test. We develop a framework to construct testing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-26 Jens Klooster , Mikhail Zhelonkin

Time series data occurs widely, and outlier detection is a fundamental problem in data mining, which has numerous applications. Existing autoencoder-based approaches deliver state-of-the-art performance on challenging real-world data but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Tung Kieu , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen , Yan Zhao , Feiteng Huang , Kai Zheng

Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

Conformal prediction is a powerful tool to generate uncertainty sets with guaranteed coverage using any predictive model, under the assumption that the training and test data are i.i.d.. Recently, it has been shown that adversarial examples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Ge Yan , Yaniv Romano , Tsui-Wei Weng

Classical semiparametric inference with missing outcome data is not robust to contamination of the observed data and a single observation can have arbitrarily large influence on estimation of a parameter of interest. This sensitivity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Eva Cantoni , Xavier de Luna

Data poisoning is a training-time attack that undermines the trustworthiness of learned models. In a targeted data poisoning attack, an adversary manipulates the training dataset to alter the classification of a targeted test point. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Nakshatra Gupta , Sumanth Prabhu , Supratik Chakraborty , R Venkatesh