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Optimal stopping is the problem of deciding when to stop a stochastic system to obtain the greatest reward, arising in numerous application areas such as finance, healthcare and marketing. State-of-the-art methods for high-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Dragos Florin Ciocan , Velibor V. Mišić

Decision tree optimization is notoriously difficult from a computational perspective but essential for the field of interpretable machine learning. Despite efforts over the past 40 years, only recently have optimization breakthroughs been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Jimmy Lin , Chudi Zhong , Diane Hu , Cynthia Rudin , Margo Seltzer

In this report we present two new ways of enforcing monotone constraints in regression and classification trees. One yields better results than the current LightGBM, and has a similar computation time. The other one yields even better…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Charles Auguste , Sean Malory , Ivan Smirnov

Tipping points have been actively studied in various applications as well as from a mathematical viewpoint. A main technique to theoretically understand early-warning signs for tipping points is to use the framework of fast-slow stochastic…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-08-29 Francesco Romano , Christian Kuehn

In order to speed-up classification models when facing a large number of categories, one usual approach consists in organizing the categories in a particular structure, this structure being then used as a way to speed-up the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-26 Aurélia Léon , Ludovic Denoyer

Previous algorithms for constructing regression tree models for longitudinal and multiresponse data have mostly followed the CART approach. Consequently, they inherit the same selection biases and computational difficulties as CART. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-28 Wei-Yin Loh , Wei Zheng

Sparse decision tree learning provides accurate and interpretable predictive models that are ideal for high-stakes applications by finding the single most accurate tree within a (soft) size limit. Rather than relying on a single "best"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Elif Arslan , Jacobus G. M. van der Linden , Serge Hoogendoorn , Marco Rinaldi , Emir Demirović

Large reasoning models (LRMs) achieve state-of-the-art performance by generating long chains-of-thought, but often waste computation on redundant reasoning after the correct answer has already been reached. We introduce Early-Stopping for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Junda Wang , Zhichao Yang , Dongxu Zhang , Sanjit Singh Batra , Robert E. Tillman

Generalized linear and additive models are very efficient regression tools but the selection of relevant terms becomes difficult if higher order interactions are needed. In contrast, tree-based methods also known as recursive partitioning…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Gerhard Tutz , Moritz Berger

In this note we propose a new approach towards solving numerically optimal stopping problems via reinforced regression based Monte Carlo algorithms. The main idea of the method is to reinforce standard linear regression algorithms in each…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers , Vladimir Spokoiny , Bakhyt Zharkynbay

Dual-tree algorithms are a widely used class of branch-and-bound algorithms. Unfortunately, developing dual-tree algorithms for use with different trees and problems is often complex and burdensome. We introduce a four-part logical split:…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-04-17 Ryan R. Curtin , William B. March , Parikshit Ram , David V. Anderson , Alexander G. Gray , Charles L. Isbell

We give an $n^{O(\log\log n)}$-time membership query algorithm for properly and agnostically learning decision trees under the uniform distribution over $\{\pm 1\}^n$. Even in the realizable setting, the previous fastest runtime was…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Guy Blanc , Jane Lange , Mingda Qiao , Li-Yang Tan

Decision trees with binary splits are popularly constructed using Classification and Regression Trees (CART) methodology. For binary classification and regression models, this approach recursively divides the data into two near-homogenous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Jason M. Klusowski

We consider the problem of learning decision rules for prediction with feature budget constraint. In particular, we are interested in pruning an ensemble of decision trees to reduce expected feature cost while maintaining high prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-06 Feng Nan , Joseph Wang , Venkatesh Saligrama

This paper investigates the estimation problem in a regression-type model. To be able to deal with potential high dimensions, we provide a procedure called LOL, for Learning Out of Leaders with no optimization step. LOL is an auto-driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-24 Mathilde Mougeot , Dominique Picard , Karine Tribouley

Integrating the outputs of multiple classifiers via combiners or meta-learners has led to substantial improvements in several difficult pattern recognition problems. In the typical setting investigated till now, each classifier is trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kagan Tumer , Joydeep Ghosh

Sparse residual tree (SRT) is an adaptive exploration method for multivariate scattered data approximation. It leads to sparse and stable approximations in areas where the data is sufficient or redundant, and points out the possible local…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Xin Xu , Xiaopeng Luo

Ensembles of classification and regression trees remain popular machine learning methods because they define flexible non-parametric models that predict well and are computationally efficient both during training and testing. During…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Sebastian Nowozin

Time-sensitive machine learning benefits from Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT), which provides an optimal stopping time for early classification of time series. However, in finite horizon scenarios, where input lengths are finite,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Akinori F. Ebihara , Taiki Miyagawa , Kazuyuki Sakurai , Hitoshi Imaoka

Many causal and structural parameters in economics can be identified and estimated by computing the value of an optimization program over all distributions consistent with the model and the data. Existing tools apply when the data is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Andrei Voronin