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Identifying undocumented or potential future interactions among species is a challenge facing modern ecologists. Recent link prediction methods rely on trait data, however large species interaction databases are typically sparse and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Mohamad Elmasri , Maxwell J. Farrell , T. Jonathan Davies , David A. Stephens

The inference of phylogenetic networks, which model complex evolutionary processes including hybridization and gene flow, remains a central challenge in evolutionary biology. Until now, statistically consistent inference methods have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-14 Niels Holtgrefe , Elizabeth S. Allman , Hector Baños , Leo van Iersel , Vincent Moulton , John A. Rhodes , Kristina Wicke

Phylogenetics is a classical methodology in computational biology that today has become highly relevant for medical investigation of single-cell data, e.g., in the context of cancer development. The exponential size of the tree space is,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-25 Hazal Koptagel , Oskar Kviman , Harald Melin , Negar Safinianaini , Jens Lagergren

It is shown that a consistent application of Bayesian updating from a prior probability density to a posterior using evidence in the form of expectation constraints leads to exactly the same results as the application of the maximum entropy…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-02 Sergio Davis

Phylogenetic networks extend phylogenetic trees to model non-vertical inheritance, by which a lineage inherits material from multiple parents. The computational complexity of estimating phylogenetic networks from genome-wide data with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-28 Jingcheng Xu , Cécile Ané

Ancestral sequence reconstruction is a key task in computational biology. It consists in inferring a molecular sequence at an ancestral species of a known phylogeny, given descendant sequences at the tip of the tree. In addition to its many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Brandon Legried , Sebastien Roch

Evolutionary relationships between species are usually inferred through phylogenetic analysis, which provides phylogenetic trees computed from allelic profiles built by sequencing specific regions of the sequences and abstracting them to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Luana Silva

We describe an "embarrassingly parallel" method for Bayesian phylogenetic inference, annealed Sequential Monte Carlo, based on recent advances in the Sequential Monte Carlo literature such as adaptive determination of annealing parameters.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-15 Liangliang Wang , Shijia Wang , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté

Rate variation among the sites of a molecular sequence is commonly found in applications of phylogenetic inference. Several approaches exist to account for this feature but they do not usually enable the investigator to pinpoint the sites…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-23 Elisa Loza-Reyes , Merrilee Hurn , Tony Robinson

Reconstructing evolutionary trees from molecular sequence data is a fundamental problem in computational biology. Stochastic models of sequence evolution are closely related to spin systems that have been extensively studied in statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Sebastien Roch , Allan Sly

Bayesian optimal experimental design provides a principled framework for selecting experimental settings that maximize obtained information. In this work, we focus on estimating the expected information gain in the setting where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-02 Chuntao Chen , Tapio Helin , Nuutti Hyvönen , Yuya Suzuki

Phylogenetics is now fundamental in life sciences, providing insights into the earliest branches of life and the origins and spread of epidemics. However, finding suitable phylogenies from the vast space of possible trees remains…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-24 Matthew J Penn , Neil Scheidwasser , Joseph Penn , Christl A Donnelly , David A Duchêne , Samir Bhatt

Bayesian inference methods are useful in infectious diseases modeling due to their capability to propagate uncertainty, manage sparse data, incorporate latent structures, and address high-dimensional parameter spaces. However, parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Xiahui Li , Fergus Chadwick , Ben Swallow

The total-evidence approach to divergence-time dating uses molecular and morphological data from extant and fossil species to infer phylogenetic relationships, species divergence times, and macroevolutionary parameters in a single coherent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-25 Alexandra Gavryushkina , Tracy A. Heath , Daniel T. Ksepka , Tanja Stadler , David Welch , Alexei J. Drummond

In many interesting cases the reconstruction of a correct phylogeny is blurred by high mutation rates and/or horizontal transfer events. As a consequence a divergence arises between the true evolutionary distances and the differences…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-02-08 F. Tria , E. Caglioti , V. Loreto , A. Pagnani

Phylogenetic inference can potentially result in a more accurate tree using data from multiple loci. However, if the loci are incongruent--due to events such as incomplete lineage sorting or horizontal gene transfer--it can be misleading to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-10 Kevin Gori , Tomasz Suchan , Nadir Alvarez , Nick Goldman , Christophe Dessimoz

The advances in variational inference are providing promising paths in Bayesian estimation problems. These advances make variational phylogenetic inference an alternative approach to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-12 Amine M. Remita , Golrokh Vitae , Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo

The advent of accessible ancient DNA technology now allows the direct ascertainment of allele frequencies in ancestral populations, thereby enabling the use of allele frequency time series to detect and estimate natural selection. Such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-21 Joshua G. Schraiber , Steven N. Evans , Montgomery Slatkin

Bayesian inference plays an important role in advancing machine learning, but faces computational challenges when applied to complex models such as deep neural networks. Variational inference circumvents these challenges by formulating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Didrik Nielsen

Phylogenetic networks are necessary to represent the tree of life expanded by edges to represent events such as horizontal gene transfers, hybridizations or gene flow. Not all species follow the paradigm of vertical inheritance of their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-15 Claudia Solís-Lemus , Cécile Ané