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The issue of estimating residual variance in regression models has experienced relatively little attention in the machine learning community. However, the estimate is of primary interest in many practical applications, e.g. as a primary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Burim Ramosaj , Markus Pauly

Random Forests are widely claimed to capture interactions well. However, some simple examples suggest that they perform poorly in the presence of certain pure interactions that the conventional CART criterion struggles to capture during…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-04 Ricardo Blum , Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph Theo Meyer

Problem definition. In retailing, discrete choice models (DCMs) are commonly used to capture the choice behavior of customers when offered an assortment of products. When estimating DCMs using transaction data, flexible models (such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Ningyuan Chen , Guillermo Gallego , Zhuodong Tang

We address the problem of causal effect estimation where hidden confounders are present, with a focus on two settings: instrumental variable regression with additional observed confounders, and proxy causal learning. Our approach uses a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Haotian Sun , Antoine Moulin , Tongzheng Ren , Arthur Gretton , Bo Dai

Variable selection for high-dimensional linear models has received a lot of attention lately, mostly in the context of l1-regularization. Part of the attraction is the variable selection effect: parsimonious models are obtained, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-06-22 Nicolai Meinshausen

We introduce an exact distributed algorithm to train Random Forest models as well as other decision forest models without relying on approximating best split search. We explain the proposed algorithm and compare it to related approaches for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Mathieu Guillame-Bert , Olivier Teytaud

Decision forests, including Random Forests and Gradient Boosting Trees, have recently demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in a variety of machine learning settings. Decision forests are typically ensembles of axis-aligned decision…

Time series forecasting is a critical task in various domains, where accurate predictions can drive informed decision-making. Traditional forecasting methods often rely on current observations of variables to predict future outcomes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Wentao Gao , Xiaojing Du , Wenjun Yu , Xiongren Chen , Yifan Guo , Feiyu Yang

Age estimation from facial images is typically cast as a label distribution learning or regression problem, since aging is a gradual progress. Its main challenge is the facial feature space w.r.t. ages is inhomogeneous, due to the large…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-26 Wei Shen , Yilu Guo , Yan Wang , Kai Zhao , Bo Wang , Alan Yuille

In this article, we strengthen the proof methods of some previously weakly consistent variants of random forests into strongly consistent proof methods, and improve the data utilization of these variants, in order to obtain better…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-11 Junhao Chen , Xueli wang

The random forest algorithm, proposed by L. Breiman in 2001, has been extremely successful as a general-purpose classification and regression method. The approach, which combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Gérard Biau , Erwan Scornet

We consider the problem of sparse variable selection on high dimension heterogeneous data sets, which has been taking on renewed interest recently due to the growth of biological and medical data sets with complex, non-i.i.d. structures and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Hui Liu , Xiang Liu , Jing Diao , Wenting Ye , Xueling Liu , Dehui Wei

Big Data is one of the major challenges of statistical science and has numerous consequences from algorithmic and theoretical viewpoints. Big Data always involve massive data but they also often include online data and data heterogeneity.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-23 Robin Genuer , Jean-Michel Poggi , Christine Tuleau-Malot , Nathalie Villa-Vialaneix

Regression trees are a popular machine learning algorithm that fit piecewise constant models by recursively partitioning the predictor space. This paper focuses on statistical inference for a data-dependent model obtained from a fitted…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Soham Bakshi , Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

This paper tackles the problem of constructing a non-parametric predictor when the latent variables are given with incomplete information. The convenient predictor for this task is the random forest algorithm in conjunction to the so-called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-01 Irving Gómez-Méndez , Emilien Joly

Besides serving as prediction models, classification trees are useful for finding important predictor variables and identifying interesting subgroups in the data. These functions can be compromised by weak split selection algorithms that…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Wei-Yin Loh

Analysis of sample survey data often requires adjustments to account for missing data in the outcome variables of principal interest. Standard adjustment methods based on item imputation or on propensity weighting factors rely heavily on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-08 Wei-Yin Loh , John Eltinge , MoonJung Cho , Yuanzhi Li

Tree-based ensembles such as the Random Forest are modern classics among statistical learning methods. In particular, they are used for predicting univariate responses. In case of multiple outputs the question arises whether we separately…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-17 Lena Schmid , Alexander Gerharz , Andreas Groll , Markus Pauly

Random forests on the one hand, and neural networks on the other hand, have met great success in the machine learning community for their predictive performance. Combinations of both have been proposed in the literature, notably leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Ludovic Arnould , Claire Boyer , Erwan Scornet , Sorbonne Lpsm

We study the convergence of the predictive surface of regression trees and forests. To support our analysis we introduce a notion of adaptive concentration for regression trees. This approach breaks tree training into a model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Stefan Wager , Guenther Walther
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