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This paper proposes a novel hybrid model, termed GARCH-FIS, for recursive rolling multi-step forecasting of financial time series. It integrates a Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) with a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Wen-Jing Li , Da-Qing Zhang

Urban Traffic Networks are characterized by high dynamics of traffic flow and increased travel time, including waiting times. This leads to more complex road traffic management. The present research paper suggests an innovative advanced…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Mariam Zouari , Nesrine Baklouti , Javier Sanchez Medina , Mounir Ben Ayed , Adel M. Alimi

The rough-set theory proposed by Pawlak, has been widely used in dealing with data classification problems. The original rough-set model is, however, quite sensitive to noisy data. Tzung thus proposed deals with the problem of producing a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-04-09 Ali Soltan Mohammadi , L. Asadzadeh , D. D. Rezaee

Distributed fuzzy neural networks (DFNNs) have attracted increasing attention recently due to their learning abilities in handling data uncertainties in distributed scenarios. However, it is challenging for DFNNs to handle cases in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Leijie Zhang , Ye Shi , Yu-Cheng Chang , Chin-Teng Lin

Significant advancements in the development of machine learning (ML) models for weather forecasting have produced remarkable results. State-of-the-art ML-based weather forecast models, such as FuXi, have demonstrated superior statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Jun Liu , Chensen Lin , Yuan Qi , Hao Li

Risk specialists are trying to understand risk better and use complex models for risk assessment, while many risks are not yet well understood. The lack of empirical data and complex causal and outcome relationships make it difficult to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Hengameh Fakhravar

Driving styles summarize different driving behaviors that reflect in the movements of the vehicles. These behaviors may indicate a tendency to perform riskier maneuvers, consume more fuel or energy, break traffic rules, or drive carefully.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Iago Pachêco Gomes , Denis Fernando Wolf

Time series analysis is used to understand and predict dynamic processes, including evolving demands in business, weather, markets, and biological rhythms. Exponential smoothing is used in all these domains to obtain simple interpretable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-02 Avner Abrami , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Younghun Kim

Reliability assessment of distribution system, based on historical data and probabilistic methods, leads to an unreliable estimation of reliability indices since the data for the distribution components are usually inaccurate or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Ahmad Shokrollahi , Hossein Sangrody , Mahdi Motalleb , Mandana Rezaeiahari , Elham Foruzan , Fattah Hassanzadeh

Rule-based models are essential for high-stakes decision-making due to their transparency and interpretability, but their discrete nature creates challenges for optimization and scalability. In this work, we present the Fuzzy Rule-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Javier Fumanal-Idocin , Raquel Fernandez-Peralta , Javier Andreu-Perez

In this paper we propose a novel approach for learning from data using rule based fuzzy inference systems where the model parameters are estimated using Bayesian inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. We show the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Indranil Pan , Dirk Bester

In the last two decades, a number of methods have been proposed for forecasting based on fuzzy time series. Most of the fuzzy time series methods are presented for forecasting of car road accidents. However, the forecasting accuracy rates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-05-25 G. Arutchelvan , S. K. Srivatsa , R. Jagannathan

Aiming at the group decision - making problem with multi - objective attributes, this study proposes a group decision - making system that integrates fuzzy inference and Bayesian network. A fuzzy rule base is constructed by combining…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Shui-jin Rong , Wei Guo , Da-qing Zhang

We introduce and study a new class of partial differential equations (PDEs) with hybrid fuzzy-stochastic parameters, coined fuzzy-stochastic PDEs. Compared to purely stochastic PDEs or purely fuzzy PDEs, fuzzy-stochastic PDEs offer powerful…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Mohammad Motamed

GARCH-type time series (characterized by Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) exhibit pronounced volatility, autocorrelation, and heteroskedasticity. To address these challenges and enhance predictive accuracy, this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-28 Hongpei Shao , Da-Qing Zhang , Feilong Lu

The prediction of residential power usage is essential in assisting a smart grid to manage and preserve energy to ensure efficient use. An accurate energy forecasting at the customer level will reflect directly into efficiency improvements…

Reinforcement Learning (RL) is an emerging approach to control many dynamical systems for which classical control approaches are not applicable or insufficient. However, the resultant policies may not generalize to variations in the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Abdel Gafoor Haddad , Mohammed B. Mohiuddin , Igor Boiko , Yahya Zweiri

This paper addressed with the quantized dissipative uncertain problem for delayed fractional T_S Fuzzy system for event_triggered networked systems (E_NS), where the extended dissipativity analysis combines the H infinity, dissipativity, L2…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Muhammad Shamrooz Aslam , Hazrat Bilal , Sumeera Shamrooz

The integration of different learning paradigms has long been a focus of machine learning research, aimed at overcoming the inherent limitations of individual methods. Fuzzy rule-based models excel in interpretability and have seen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Jinbo Li , Peng Liu , Long Chen , Witold Pedrycz , Weiping Ding

This paper introduces FANTF (Fuzzy Attention Network-Based Transformers), a novel approach that integrates fuzzy logic with existing transformer architectures to advance time series forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection tasks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Sanjay Chakraborty , Fredrik Heintz