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The quasi likelihood analysis is generalized to the partial quasi likelihood analysis. Limit theorems for the quasi likelihood estimators, especially the quasi Bayesian estimator, are derived in the situation where existence of a slow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Nakahiro Yoshida

Markov models lie at the interface between statistical independence in a probability distribution and graph separation properties. We review model selection and estimation in directed and undirected Markov models with Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

We propose a framework for fitting fractional polynomials models as special cases of Bayesian Generalized Nonlinear Models, applying an adapted version of the Genetically Modified Mode Jumping Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Aliaksandr Hubin , Georg Heinze , Riccardo De Bin

We study a category of probability spaces and measure-preserving Markov kernels up to almost sure equality. This category contains, among its isomorphisms, mod-zero isomorphisms of probability spaces. It also gives an isomorphism between…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Noé Ensarguet , Paolo Perrone

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference with a supervised version of the Gaussian process latent variable model. The framework overcomes the high correlations between latent variables and hyperparameters by using an unbiased pseudo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-29 Charles Gadd , Sara Wade , Akeel Shah , Dimitris Grammatopoulos

This work presents a conceptual synthesis of causal discovery and inference frameworks, with a focus on how foundational assumptions -- causal sufficiency, causal faithfulness, and the causal Markov condition -- are formalized and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Hannah E. Correia

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

This article analyses a new class of advanced particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms recently introduced by Andrieu, Doucet, and Holenstein (2010). We present a natural interpretation of these methods in terms of well known…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 P. Del Moral , R. Kohn , F. Patras

We formulate Bayesian updates in Markov processes by means of path integral techniques and derive the imaginary-time Schr\"{o}dinger equation with likelihood to direct the inference incorporated as a potential for the posterior probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Toshiyuki Fujii , Noriyuki Hatakenaka

We work out the theory of fractional isomorphism of graphons as a generalization to the classical theory of fractional isomorphism of finite graphs. The generalization is given in terms of homomorphism densities of finite trees and it is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-02-05 Jan Grebík , Israel Rocha

This brief article gives an overview of quantum mechanics as a {\em quantum probability theory}. It begins with a review of the basic operator-algebraic elements that connect probability theory with quantum probability theory. Then quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-02-04 Hendra I. Nurdin

We introduce the notion of (co-)filtered sheaves on quotients of moment graphs by a group action. We then introduce a (co-)filtered version of the canonical sheaves of Braden and MacPherson and show that their global sections are the…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Peter Fiebig , Martina Lanini

We introduce a notion of complexity of diagrams (and in particular of objects and morphisms) in an arbitrary category, as well as a notion of complexity of functors between categories equipped with complexity functions. We discuss several…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Saugata Basu , M. Umut Isik

This paper reviews recent advances in Bayesian nonparametric techniques for constructing and performing inference in infinite hidden Markov models. We focus on variants of Bayesian nonparametric hidden Markov models that enhance a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-02 Jonathan H. Huggins , Frank Wood

Inference for partially observed Markov process models has been a longstanding methodological challenge with many scientific and engineering applications. Iterated filtering algorithms maximize the likelihood function for partially observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Edward L. Ionides , Anindya Bhadra , Yves Atchadé , Aaron King

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

Empirical processes for stationary, causal sequences are considered. We establish empirical central limit theorems for classes of indicators of left half lines, absolutely continuous functions and piecewise differentiable functions. Sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu

We consider refined versions of Markov chains related to juggling introduced by Warrington. We further generalize the construction to juggling with arbitrary heights as well as infinitely many balls, which are expressed more succinctly in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Arvind Ayyer , Jérémie Bouttier , Sylvie Corteel , François Nunzi

A new notion of typicality for arbitrary probability measures on standard Borel spaces is proposed, which encompasses the classical notions of weak and strong typicality as special cases. Useful lemmas about strong typical sets, including…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Junekey Jeon