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Markov Chains with variable length are useful stochastic models for data compression that avoid the curse of dimensionality faced by that full Markov Chains. In this paper we introduce a Variable Length Markov Chain whose transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Seonjin Kim , Nancy Lopes Garcia

The deterministic dynamics of randomly connected neural networks are studied, where a state of binary neurons evolves according to a discreet-time synchronous update rule. We give a theoretical support that the overlap of systems' states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-10 Taro Toyoizumi , Haiping Huang

Here, a new two-dimensional process, discrete in time and space, that yields the results of both a random walk and a quantum random walk, is introduced. This model describes the population distribution of four coin states |1>,-|1>, |0> -|0>…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Arie Bar-Haim

In this research, two-state Markov switching models are proposed to study accident frequencies and severities. These models assume that there are two unobserved states of roadway safety, and that roadway entities (e.g., roadway segments)…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-09 Nataliya V. Malyshkina

The Markovian arrival process (MAP) has proven a versatile model for fitting dependent and non-exponential interarrival times, with a number of applications to queueing, teletraffic, reliability or finance. Despite theoretical properties of…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-15 Emilio Carrizosa , Pepa Ramírez-Cobo

We study a probabilistic variant of binary session types that relate to a class of Finite-State Markov Chains. The probability annotations in session types enable the reasoning on the probability that a session terminates successfully, for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Omar Inverso , Hernán Melgratti , Luca Padovani , Catia Trubiani , Emilio Tuosto

We develop some sufficient conditions for the stochastic ordering between hitting times, in a fixed state, for two Markov chains. In particular, we focus attention on the so called \emph{skip-free} case. In the analysis of such a case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Spizzichino

Product-form stationary distributions in Markov chains have been a foundational advance and driving force in our understanding of stochastic systems. In this paper, we introduce a new product-form relationship that we call "graph-based…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Céline Comte , Isaac Grosof

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

We study a large class of reversible Markov chains with discrete state space and transition matrix $P_N$. We define the notion of a set of {\it metastable points} as a subset of the state space $\G_N$ such that (i) this set is reached from…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Bovier , M. Eckhoff , V. Gayrard , M. Klein

The paper is concerned with approximating the distribution of a sum W of n integer valued random variables Y_i, whose distributions depend on the state of an underlying Markov chain X. The approximation is in terms of a translated Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 A. D. Barbour , Torgny Lindvall

There has been an increasing demand for formal methods in the design process of safety-critical synthetic genetic circuits. Probabilistic model checking techniques have demonstrated significant potential in analyzing the intrinsic…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Thakur Neupane , Zhen Zhang , Curtis Madsen , Hao Zheng , Chris J. Myers

This paper presents algorithms for identifying and reducing a dedicated set of controllable transition rates of a state-labelled continuous-time Markov chain model. The purpose of the reduction is to make states to satisfy a given…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-03 Bharath Siva Kumar Tati , Markus Siegle

We consider a simple discrete-time Markov chain with values in $[0,\infty)^{Z^d}$. The Markov chain describes various interesting examples such as oriented percolation, directed polymers in random environment, time discretizations of binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-26 Nobuo Yoshida

We study a model of a polling system, that is, a collection of $d$ queues with a single server that switches from queue to queue. The service time distribution and arrival rates change randomly every time a queue is emptied. This model is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Iain MacPhee , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Serguei Popov

A wide class of ``counting'' problems have been studied in Computer Science. Three typical examples are the estimation of - (i) the permanent of an $n\times n$ 0-1 matrix, (ii) the partition function of certain $n-$ particle Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ravi Kannan

A sequence of real numbers (x_n) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fraction parts in the floating-point representation of (x_n) are distributed logarithmically. Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-05 Bahar Kaynar , Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill , Ad Ridder

A possibly time-dependent transition intensity matrix or generator $(Q(t))$ characterizes the law of a Markov jump process (MP). For a time homogeneous MP, the transition probability matrix (TPM) can be expressed as a matrix exponential of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Dario Gasbarra , Sangita Kulathinal , Etienne Sebag

We introduce $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-bisimulation, a novel type of approximate probabilistic bisimulation for continuous-time Markov chains. In contrast to related notions, $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-bisimulation allows the use of different…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Timm Spork , Christel Baier , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Sascha Klüppelholz , Jakob Piribauer

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker