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This paper develops a method to detect model structural changes by applying a Corrected Kernel Principal Component Analysis (CKPCA) to construct the so-called central distribution deviation subspaces. This approach can efficiently identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Luoyao Yu , Lixing Zhu , Ruoqing Zhu , Xuehu Zhu

Machine learning of partial differential equations from data is a potential breakthrough to solve the lack of physical equations in complex dynamic systems, but because numerical differentiation is ill-posed to noise data, noise has become…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-19 Wenbo Cao , Weiwei Zhang

This paper addresses a fundamental but largely unexplored challenge in sequential changepoint analysis: conducting inference following a detected change. We develop a very general framework to construct confidence sets for the unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Aytijhya Saha , Aaditya Ramdas

Evolution in its course found a variety of solutions to the same optimisation problem. The advent of high-throughput genomic sequencing has made available extensive data from which, in principle, one can infer the underlying structure on…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-12 Silvia Grigolon , Silvio Franz , Matteo Marsili

One of the main challenges in identifying structural changes in stochastic processes is to carry out analysis for time series with dependency structure in a computationally tractable way. Another challenge is that the number of true change…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 Jie Ding , Yu Xiang , Lu Shen , Vahid Tarokh

We consider a change-point detection problem for a simple class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A continuous-time PDMP is observed in discrete time and through noise, and the aim is to propose a numerical method to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta

Accurate spectrum prediction is crucial for dynamic spectrum access (DSA) and resource allocation. However, due to the unique characteristics of spectrum data, existing methods based on the time or frequency domain often struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yanghao Qin , Bo Zhou , Guangliang Pan , Qihui Wu , Meixia Tao

The extension of traditional data mining methods to time series has been effectively applied to a wide range of domains such as finance, econometrics, biology, security, and medicine. Many existing mining methods deal with the task of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Fabrizio Albertetti , Lionel Grossrieder , Olivier Ribaux , Kilian Stoffel

Recently, we have demonstrated that our approach is a highly effective tool while analysing complex phenomena existing in networks of coupled nonlinear systems. In the present article we present the results of our investigations into a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-04 Volodymyr Denysenko , Artur Dabrowski

We propose a two-stage approach Spec PC-CP to identify change points in multivariate time series. In the first stage, we obtain a low-dimensional summary of the high-dimensional time series by Spectral Principal Component Analysis…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Shuhao Jiao , Tong Shen , Zhaoxia Yu , Hernando Ombao

When applying principal component analysis (PCA) for dimension reduction, the most varying projections are usually used in order to retain most of the information. For the purpose of anomaly and change detection, however, the least varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-07 Martin Tveten , Ingrid K. Glad

Time-frequency analysis is often used to study non stationary multicomponent signals, which can be viewed as the surperimposition of modes, associated with ridges in the TF plane. To understand such signals, it is essential to identify…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-06 Nils Laurent , Sylvain Meignen

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

The change-point detection problem seeks to identify distributional changes at an unknown change-point k* in a stream of data. This problem appears in many important practical settings involving personal data, including biosurveillance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Rachel Cummings , Sara Krehbiel , Yajun Mei , Rui Tuo , Wanrong Zhang

How can we detect traffic disturbances from international flight transportation logs or changes to collaboration dynamics in academic networks? These problems can be formulated as detecting anomalous change points in a dynamic graph.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Shenyang Huang , Jacob Danovitch , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification in change point regressions, where the signal can be piecewise polynomial of arbitrary but fixed degree. That is we seek disjoint intervals which, uniformly at a given confidence level,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-12 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Piotr Fryzlewicz

We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

We consider inference problems for high-dimensional (HD) functional data with a dense number (T) of repeated measurements taken for a large number of p variables from a small number of n experimental units. The spatial and temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Shawn Santo , Ping-Shou Zhong
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