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A Data Assimilation (DA) strategy based on an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is used to enhance the predictive capabilities of scale resolving numerical tools for the analysis of flows exhibiting cyclic behaviour. More precisely, an ensemble…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-20 Lucas Villanueva , Karine Truffin , Jacques Borée , Marcello Meldi

The reconstruction of the dynamics of an observed physical system as a surrogate model has been brought to the fore by recent advances in machine learning. To deal with partial and noisy observations in that endeavor, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-06 Marc Bocquet , Alban Farchi , Quentin Malartic

A new ensemble filter that allows for the uncertainty in the prior distribution is proposed and tested. The filter relies on the conditional Gaussian distribution of the state given the model-error and predictability-error covariance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-19 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Alexander Rakitko

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

We propose an ensemble score filter (EnSF) for solving high-dimensional nonlinear filtering problems with superior accuracy. A major drawback of existing filtering methods, e.g., particle filters or ensemble Kalman filters, is the low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-14 Feng Bao , Zezhong Zhang , Guannan Zhang

Monitoring of electrocardiogram (ECG) provides vital information as well as any cardiovascular anomalies. Recent advances in the technology of wearable electronics have enabled compact devices to acquire personal physiological signals in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-26 Sadaf Sarafan , Hoang Vuong , Daniel Jilani , Samir Malhotra , Michael P. H. Lau , Manoj Vishwanath , Tadesse Ghirmai , Hung Cao

A square root approach is considered for the problem of accounting for model noise in the forecast step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and related algorithms. The primary aim is to replace the method of simulated, pseudo-random,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-23 Patrick N. Raanes , Alberto Carrassi , Laurent Bertino

We propose a new algorithm for an adaptive optics system control law which allows to reduce the computational burden in the case of an Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) and to deal with non-stationary behaviors of the turbulence. This…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Morgan Gray , Cyril Petit , Sergey Rodionov , Laurent Bertino , Marc Bocquet , Thierry Fusco

We design and analyse the performance of a multilevel ensemble Kalman filter method (MLEnKF) for filtering settings where the underlying state-space model is an infinite-dimensional spatio-temporal process. We consider underlying models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Alexey Chernov , Håkon Hoel , Kody J. H. Law , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

The proof of convergence of the standard ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) from Legland etal. (2011) is extended to non-Gaussian state space models. A density-based deterministic approximation of the mean-field limit EnKF (DMFEnKF) is proposed,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Kody J. H. Law , Hamidou Tembine , Raul Tempone

We propose a regularization method for ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) with elliptic observation operators. Commonly used EnKF regularization methods suppress state correlations at long distances. For observations described by elliptic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-04-24 Mathieu Le Provost , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk , Jeff D. Eldredge

The Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) is both the historical algorithm for multi-sensor fusion and still state of the art in numerous industrial applications. However, it may prove inconsistent in the presence of unobservability under a group of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Martin Brossard , Axel Barrau , Silvère Bonnabel

Complex systems are often described with competing models. Such divergence of interpretation on the system may stem from model fidelity, mathematical simplicity, and more generally, our limited knowledge of the underlying processes.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Lun Yang , Akil Narayan , Peng Wang

Working with a two-stage ice sheet model, we explore how statistical data assimilation methods can be used to improve predictions of glacier melt and relatedly, sea level rise. We find that the EnKF improves model runs initialized using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Emily Corcoran , Logan Knudsen , Talea Mayo , Hannah Park-Kaufmann , Alexander Robel

Ensemble data assimilation in flood forecasting depends strongly on the density, frequency and statistics of errors associated with the observation network. This work focuses on the assimilation of 2D flood extent data, expressed in terms…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-24 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Gwendoline Blanchet , Santiago Pena Luque , Peter Kettig

Continuously tracking the movement of a fluid or a plume in the subsurface is a challenge that is often encountered in applications, such as tracking a plume of injected CO$_2$ or of a hazardous substance. Advances in monitoring techniques…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Judith Y. Li , Sivaram Ambikasaran , Eric F. Darve , Peter K. Kitanidis

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter (EnGMF) is a non-linear filter suited to data assimilation of highly non-Gaussian and non-linear models that has practical utility in the case of a small number of samples, and theoretical convergence to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Andrey A. Popov , Enrico M. Zucchelli , Renato Zanetti

Ensemble Kalman inversion is a parallelizable derivative-free method to solve inverse problems. The method uses an ensemble that follows the Kalman update formula iteratively to solve an optimization problem. The ensemble size is crucial to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Yoonsang Lee

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter (EnGMF) is a powerful, convergent particle filter capable of medium-to-high dimensional non-linear filtering. The EnGMF relies on a resampling step that can generate physically unrealistic posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Zain Jabbar , Andrey A. Popov

We propose a method to account for model error due to unresolved scales in the context of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF). The approach extends to this class of algorithms the deterministic model error formulation recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Lewis Mitchell , Alberto Carrassi