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Sample size determination is crucial in experimental design, especially in traffic and transport research. Frequentist statistics require a fixed sample size determined by power analysis, which cannot be adjusted once the experiment starts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Xiaomi Yang , Carol Flannagan , Jonas Bärgman

The R package BayesPPD (Bayesian Power Prior Design) supports Bayesian power and type I error calculation and model fitting after incorporating historical data with the power prior and the normalized power prior for generalized linear…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-30 Yueqi Shen , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

Generative diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful strategy to perform stochastic sampling in Bayesian inverse problems, delivering remarkably accurate solutions for a wide range of challenging applications. However, diffusion…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Marcelo Pereyra , Luke Shaw , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Extrapolating treatment effects from related studies is a promising strategy for designing and analyzing clinical trials in situations where achieving an adequate sample size is challenging. Bayesian methods are well-suited for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Tristan Fauvel , Julien Tanniou , Pascal Godbillot , Marie Génin , Billy Amzal

High-dimensional mean vector testing problem for two or more groups remain a very active research area. In these setting, traditional tests are not applicable because they involve the inversion of rank deficient group covariance matrix. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Roger S Zoh , Fangzheng Xie

Bayes Factors, the Bayesian tool for hypothesis testing, are receiving increasing attention in the literature. Compared to their frequentist rivals ($p$-values or test statistics), Bayes Factors have the conceptual advantage of providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Stavros Nikolakopoulos , Björn Alfons Edmar , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Many Bayesian inference problems involve high dimensional models for which only a subset of the model variables are of actual interest. All other variables are just nuisance parameters that one would ideally like to integrate out…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-13 Fabián González , Víctor Elvira , Joaquín Miguez

Modern scientific technology has provided a new class of large-scale simultaneous inference problems, with thousands of hypothesis tests to consider at the same time. Microarrays epitomize this type of technology, but similar situations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Bradley Efron

We consider the problem of estimating a probability of failure $\alpha$, defined as the volume of the excursion set of a function $f:\mathbb{X} \subseteq \mathbb{R}^{d} \to \mathbb{R}$ above a given threshold, under a given probability…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-24 Julien Bect , Ling Li , Emmanuel Vazquez

In this paper, we consider a Bayesian bi-level variable selection problem in high-dimensional regressions. In many practical situations, it is natural to assign group membership to each predictor. Examples include that genetic variants can…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-29 Mingxuan Cai , Mingwei Dai , Jingsi Ming , Heng Peng , Jin Liu , Can Yang

Generalized Bayes posterior distributions are formed by putting a fractional power on the likelihood before combining with the prior via Bayes's formula. This fractional power, which is often viewed as a remedy for potential model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Pei-Shien Wu , Ryan Martin

In the context of Bayesian factor analysis, it is possible to compute mean plausible values, which might be used as covariates or predictors or in order to provide individual scores for the Bayesian latent variables. Previous simulation…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-21 André Beauducel , Norbert Hilger

The ratio of Bayesian evidences is a popular tool in cosmology to compare different models. There are however several issues with this method: Bayes' ratio depends on the prior even in the limit of non-informative priors, and Jeffrey's…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-16 Luca Amendola , Vrund Patel , Ziad Sakr , Elena Sellentin , Kevin Wolz

We look at the distribution of the Bayesian evidence for mock realizations of supernova and baryon acoustic oscillation data. The ratios of Bayesian evidences of different models are often used to perform model selection. The significance…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-20 Ryan E. Keeley , Arman Shafieloo

Bayesian statistics is a cornerstone of imaging sciences, underpinning many and varied approaches from Markov random fields to score-based denoising diffusion models. In addition to powerful image estimation methods, the Bayesian paradigm…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-15 David Y. W. Thong , Charlesquin Kemajou Mbakam , Marcelo Pereyra

Bayesian approaches to data analysis and machine learning are widespread and popular as they provide intuitive yet rigorous axioms for learning from data; see Bernardo and Smith (2004) and Bishop (2006). However, this rigour comes with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-31 Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

Businesses frequently run online controlled experiments (i.e., A/B tests) to learn about the effect of an intervention on multiple business metrics. To account for multiple hypothesis testing, multiple metrics are commonly aggregated into a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

This paper introduces and reviews some of the principles and methods used in Bayesian reliability. It specifically discusses methods used in the analysis of success/no-success data and then reminds the reader of a simple Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Carsten H. Botts
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