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The current explosion in machine learning for climate has led to skilled, computationally cheap emulators for the atmosphere. However, the research for ocean emulators remains nascent despite the large potential for accelerating coupled…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-08 Adam Subel , Laure Zanna

With the success of machine learning (ML) applied to climate reaching further every day, emulators have begun to show promise not only for weather but for multi-year time scales in the atmosphere. Similar work for the ocean remains nascent,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-05 Surya Dheeshjith , Adam Subel , Shubham Gupta , Alistair Adcroft , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Julius Busecke , Laure Zanna

Physical motion models offer interpretable predictions for the motion of vehicles. However, some model parameters, such as those related to aero- and hydrodynamics, are expensive to measure and are often only roughly approximated reducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Alexandra Baier , Zeyd Boukhers , Steffen Staab

Deep generative vision models are now able to synthesize realistic-looking satellite imagery. But, the possibility of hallucinations prevents their adoption for risk-sensitive applications, such as generating materials for communicating…

In numerical modeling of the Earth System, many processes remain unknown or ill represented (let us quote sub-grid processes, the dependence to unknown latent variables or the non-inclusion of complex dynamics in numerical models) but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-19 Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Jérôme Sirven

Global ocean modeling is vital for climate science but struggles to balance computational efficiency with accuracy. Traditional numerical solvers are accurate but computationally expensive, while pure deep learning approaches, though fast,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Ruiqi Shu , Xiaohui Zhong , Qiusheng Huang , Ruijian Gou , Tianrun Gao , Hao Li , Xiaomeng Huang

We make the first steps towards diffusion models for unconditional generation of multivariate and Arctic-wide sea-ice states. While targeting to reduce the computational costs by diffusion in latent space, latent diffusion models also offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Tobias Sebastian Finn , Charlotte Durand , Alban Farchi , Marc Bocquet , Julien Brajard

We consider the use of Deep Learning methods for modeling complex phenomena like those occurring in natural physical processes. With the large amount of data gathered on these phenomena the data intensive paradigm could begin to challenge…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Emmanuel de Bezenac , Arthur Pajot , Patrick Gallinari

Accurate and efficient climate simulations are crucial for understanding Earth's evolving climate. However, current general circulation models (GCMs) face challenges in capturing unresolved physical processes, such as cloud and convection.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-27 Xin Wang , Jianda Chen , Juntao Yang , Jeff Adie , Simon See , Kalli Furtado , Chen Chen , Troy Arcomano , Romit Maulik , Wei Xue , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Accurately reconstructing the global ocean deoxygenation over a century is crucial for assessing and protecting marine ecosystem. Existing expert-dominated numerical simulations fail to catch up with the dynamic variation caused by global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Bin Lu , Ze Zhao , Luyu Han , Xiaoying Gan , Yuntao Zhou , Lei Zhou , Luoyi Fu , Xinbing Wang , Chenghu Zhou , Jing Zhang

Global deep-learning weather prediction models have recently been shown to produce forecasts that rival those from physics-based models run at operational centers. It is unclear whether these models have encoded atmospheric dynamics, or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-21 Gregory J. Hakim , Sanjit Masanam

The carbon pump of the world's ocean plays a vital role in the biosphere and climate of the earth, urging improved understanding of the functions and influences of the ocean for climate change analyses. State-of-the-art techniques are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Taco de Wolff , Hugo Carrillo , Luis Martí , Nayat Sanchez-Pi

Climate simulations, at all grid resolutions, rely on approximations that encapsulate the forcing due to unresolved processes on resolved variables, known as parameterizations. Parameterizations often lead to inaccuracies in climate models,…

AI emulators for forecasting have emerged as powerful tools that can outperform conventional numerical predictions. The next frontier is to build emulators for long climate simulations with skill across a range of spatiotemporal scales, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-03 Surya Dheeshjith , Adam Subel , Alistair Adcroft , Julius Busecke , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Shubham Gupta , Laure Zanna

A global hybrid coupled model is developed, with the aim of studying the effects of ocean-atmosphere feedbacks on the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. The model includes a global ocean general circulation model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-17 Andrea A. Cimatoribus , Sybren S. Drijfhout , Henk A. Dijkstra

Modern weather and climate models share a common heritage, and often even components, however they are used in different ways to answer fundamentally different questions. As such, attempts to emulate them using machine learning should…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Duncan Watson-Parris

Accurate and computationally-viable representations of clouds and turbulence are a long-standing challenge for climate model development. Traditional parameterizations that crudely but efficiently approximate these processes are a leading…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-05 Jerry Lin , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Tom Beucler , Sungduk Yu , Michael Pritchard

Among the most relevant processes in the Earth system for human habitability are quasi-periodic, ocean-driven multi-year events whose dynamics are currently incompletely characterized by physical models, and hence poorly predictable. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-09 Matthew Bonas , Christopher K. Wikle , Stefano Castruccio

Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and…

The representation of nonlinear sub-grid processes, especially clouds, has been a major source of uncertainty in climate models for decades. Cloud-resolving models better represent many of these processes and can now be run globally but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-08 Stephan Rasp , Michael S. Pritchard , Pierre Gentine
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