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In this work we present a detailed analysis using the Markov chain theory of some versions of the truel game in which three players try to eliminate each other in a series of one-to-one competitions, using the rules of the game. Besides…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 R. Toral , P. Amengual

The goal of this project is to predict the opponent's configuration in a RoboCup SSL environment. For simplicity, a Markov model assumption is made such that the predicted formation of the opponent team only depends on its current…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Selene Baez

This paper aims to reduce randomness in football by analysing the role of lineups in final scores using machine learning prediction models we have developed. Football clubs invest millions of dollars on lineups and knowing how individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 George Peters , Diogo Pacheco

Is there a joint distribution of $n$ random variables over the natural numbers, such that they always form an increasing sequence and whenever you take two subsets of the set of random variables of the same cardinality, their distribution…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-02-13 Sune K. Jakobsen

Tennis is a popular sport worldwide, boasting millions of fans and numerous national and international tournaments. Like many sports, tennis has benefitted from the popularity of rigorous record-keeping of game and player information, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Zijian Gao , Amanda Kowalczyk

We use the Markov chain approximation method to construct approximations for the solution of the mean field game (MFG) with reflecting barriers studied in Bayraktar, Budhiraja, and Cohen (2017). The MFG is formulated in terms of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Erhan Bayraktar , Amarjit Budhiraja , Asaf Cohen

We consider a scenario where $N$ users send packets to a common access point. The receiver decodes the message of each user by treating the other user's signals as noise. Associated with each user is its channel state and a finite queue…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-02 Prashant Narayanan , Lakshmi Narasimhan Theagarajan

In the theory of algorithmic randomness, several notions of random sequence are defined via a game-theoretic approach, and the notions that received most attention are perhaps Martin-Loef randomness and computable randomness. The latter…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2009-07-15 Laurent Bienvenu , Rupert Hoelzl , Thorsten Kraling , Wolfgang Merkle

Forecasting sporting events encapsulate a compelling intellectual endeavor, underscored by the substantial financial activity of an estimated $80 billion wagered in global sports betting during 2022, a trend that grows yearly. Motivated by…

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

Understanding the strategic behavior of miners in a blockchain is of great importance for its proper operation. A common model for mining games considers an infinite time horizon, with players optimizing asymptotic average objectives.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Alejandro Jofré , Angel Pardo , David Salas , Victor Verdugo , José Verschae

Stochastic games are a natural model for the synthesis of controllers confronted to adversarial and/or random actions. In particular, $\omega$-regular games of infinite length can represent reactive systems which are not expected to reach a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-02-17 Florian Horn

Markov random fields area popular model for high-dimensional probability distributions. Over the years, many mathematical, statistical and algorithmic problems on them have been studied. Until recently, the only known algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-01 Linus Hamilton , Frederic Koehler , Ankur Moitra

We introduce the use of conservation laws to develop strategies in multi-player consensus games. First, basic well posedness results provide a reliable analytic setting. Then, a general non anticipative strategy is proposed through its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello

A decision maker observes the evolving state of the world while constantly trying to predict the next state given the history of past states. The ability to benefit from such predictions depends not only on the ability to recognize patters…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-09-17 Gilad Bavly , Ron Peretz

In this work, a machine learning approach is developed for predicting the outcomes of football matches. The novelty of this research lies in the utilisation of the Kelly Index to first classify matches into categories where each one denotes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Yiming Ren , Teo Susnjak

We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

Data-driven prediction is becoming increasingly widespread as the volume of data available grows and as algorithmic development matches this growth. The nature of the predictions made, and the manner in which they should be interpreted,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Dmitry Burov , Dimitrios Giannakis , Krithika Manohar , Andrew Stuart

Traditional coding theory guarantees valid decoding only if a minority of symbols are adversarially manipulated. In contrast, the game of coding framework ensures reliable decoding, even in the presence of an adversarial majority. This…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Hanzaleh Akbari Nodehi , Parsa Moradi , Soheil Mohajer , Mohammad Ali Maddah-Ali

Quantum Decision Theory, advanced earlier by the authors, and illustrated for lotteries with gains, is generalized to the games containing lotteries with gains as well as losses. The mathematical structure of the approach is based on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-20 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette
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