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Volumetry is one of the principal downstream applications of 3D medical image segmentation, for example, to detect abnormal tissue growth or for surgery planning. Conformal Prediction is a promising framework for uncertainty quantification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Senan Doyle , Michel Dojat

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

One of the central themes in the classification task is the estimation of class posterior probability at a new point $\bf{x}$. The vast majority of classifiers output a score for $\bf{x}$, which is monotonically related to the posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-16 Georgi Nalbantov , Svetoslav Ivanov

We propose a new estimation procedure of the conditional density for independent and identically distributed data. Our procedure aims at using the data to select a function among arbitrary (at most countable) collections of candidates. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Mathieu Sart

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing density based on observations from the corresponding mixture is a challenging statistical problem. This paper surveys the literature on a fast, recursive estimator based on the predictive recursion…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Ryan Martin

Pre-trained language models have achieved noticeable performance on the intent detection task. However, due to assigning an identical weight to each sample, they suffer from the overfitting of simple samples and the failure to learn complex…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-08-25 Yantao Gong , Cao Liu , Jiazhen Yuan , Fan Yang , Xunliang Cai , Guanglu Wan , Jiansong Chen , Ruiyao Niu , Houfeng Wang

Characterizing the risk of operations is a fundamental requirement in robotics, and a crucial ingredient of safe planning. The problem is multifaceted, with multiple definitions arising in the vast recent literature fitting different…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Lorenzo Paiola , Giorgio Grioli , Antonio Bicchi

The goal of this paper is to provide theorems on convergence rates of posterior distributions that can be applied to obtain good convergence rates in the context of density estimation as well as regression. We show how to choose priors so…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Tzee-Ming Huang

Score matching is an estimation procedure that has been developed for statistical models whose probability density function is known up to proportionality but whose normalizing constant is intractable, so that maximum likelihood is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jiazhen Xu , Janice L. Scealy , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

High-dimensional statistical inference with general estimating equations are challenging and remain less explored. In this paper, we study two problems in the area: confidence set estimation for multiple components of the model parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen , Cheng Yong Tang , Tong Tong Wu

The first order derivative of a data density can be estimated efficiently by denoising score matching, and has become an important component in many applications, such as image generation and audio synthesis. Higher order derivatives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Chenlin Meng , Yang Song , Wenzhe Li , Stefano Ermon

We present alphaPDE, a new multivariate analysis technique for parameter estimation. The method is based on a direct construction of joint probability densities of known variables and the parameters to be estimated. We show how posterior…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 B. Knuteson , H. Miettinen , L. Holmstrom

Many policies hinge on a continuous variable exceeding a threshold, prompting strategic behavior by agents to stay on the favorable side. This creates density discontinuities at cutoffs, evident in contexts like taxable income, corporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Surya T Tokdar , Rik Sen , Haoliang Zheng , Shuangjie Zhang

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Cooperative spectrum sensing based on the limiting eigenvalue ratio of the covariance matrix offers superior detection performance and overcomes the noise uncertainty problem. While an exact expression exists, it is complex and multiple…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Fuhui Zhou , Norman C. Beaulieu

I consider two problems in machine learning and statistics: the problem of estimating the joint probability density of a collection of random variables, known as density estimation, and the problem of inferring model parameters when their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 George Papamakarios

We examine the non-asymptotic properties of robust density ratio estimation (DRE) in contaminated settings. Weighted DRE is the most promising among existing methods, exhibiting doubly strong robustness from an asymptotic perspective. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Ryosuke Nagumo , Hironori Fujisawa

Learning a distribution conditional on a set of discrete-valued features is a commonly encountered task. This becomes more challenging with a high-dimensional feature set when there is the possibility of interaction between the features. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-01 David C. Kessler , Jack Taylor , David B. Dunson

Regression problems are traditionally analyzed via univariate characteristics like the regression function, scale function and marginal density of regression errors. These characteristics are useful and informative whenever the association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

This paper addresses differential inference in time-varying parametric probabilistic models, like graphical models with changing structures. Instead of estimating a high-dimensional model at each time point and estimating changes later, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Daniel J. Williams , Leyang Wang , Qizhen Ying , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar