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The paper deals with numerical discretizations of separable nonlinear Hamiltonian systems with additive noise. For such problems, the expected value of the total energy, along the exact solution, drifts linearly with time. We present and…
We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…
Given a stochastic structure with a filtration $\mathbb{F}$, the class of all random times whose conditional distribution functions are differentiable with respect to some $\mathbb{F}$ adapted non decreasing processes is considered. The…
We construct the conditional version of $k$ independent and identically distributed random walks on $\R$ given that they stay in strict order at all times. This is a generalisation of so-called non-colliding or non-intersecting random…
We prove large deviations principles in large time, for the Brownian occupation time in random scenery. The random scenery is constant on unit cubes, and consist of i.i.d. bounded variables, independent of the Brownian motion. This model is…
We consider the problem of determining the arrival statistics of unbiased planar random walkers to complex target configurations. In contrast to problems posed in finite domains, simple moments of the distribution, such as the mean (MFPT)…
We consider the response of a dynamical system driven by external adiabatic fluctuations. Based on the `adiabatic following approximation' we have made a systematic separation of time-scales to carry out an expansion in $\alpha |\mu|^{-1}$,…
Estimating the expectation of a Bernoulli random variable based on N independent trials is a classical problem in statistics, typically addressed using Binomial Proportion Confidence Intervals (BPCI). In the control systems community, many…
In this article, the following results are obtained: the process of a randomly wandering particle having a size and a continuous trajectory of motion is considered; (b) based on the study of this probabilistic process, a derivation of the…
In this work we study drawdowns and drawups of general diffusion processes. The drawdown process is defined as the current drop of the process from its running maximum, while the drawup process is defined as the current increase over its…
The partial differential equation of Gaussian diffusion is generalized by using the time-fractional derivative of distributed order between 0 and 1, in both the Riemann-Liouville (R-L) and the Caputo (C) sense. For a general distribution of…
We address the counting of level crossings for inertial stochastic processes. We review Rice's approach to the problem and generalize the classical Rice formula to include all Gaussian processes in their most general form. We apply the…
In this paper we introduce non-decreasing jump processes with independent and time non-homogeneous increments. Although they are not L\'evy processes, they somehow generalize subordinators in the sense that their Laplace exponents are…
In this paper we present multivariate space-time fractional Poisson processes by considering common random time-changes of a (finite-dimensional) vector of independent classical (non-fractional) Poisson processes. In some cases we also…
In this paper, we introduce the concept of random time changes in dynamical systems. The sub- ordination principle may be applied to study the long time behavior of the random time systems. We show, under certain assumptions on the class of…
By appealing to renewal theory we determine the equations that the mean exit time of a continuous-time random walk with drift satisfies both when the present coincides with a jump instant or when it does not. Particular attention is paid to…
$N$-Brownian bees is a branching-selection particle system in $\mathbb{R}^d$ in which $N$ particles behave as independent binary branching Brownian motions, and where at each branching event, we remove the particle furthest from the origin.…
Conformal prediction (CP) constructs prediction sets with marginal coverage guarantees under the assumption that the calibration and test distributions are identical. However, under distribution shift, existing approaches primarily align…
In the last years, many authors studied a class of continuous time semi-Markov processes obtained by time-changing Markov processes by hitting times of independent subordinators. Such processes are governed by integro-differential…
Within a high-frequency framework, we propose a non-parametric approach to estimate a family of copulas associated to a time-changed Brownian motion. We show that our estimator is consistent and asymptotically mixed-Gaussian. Furthermore,…