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Approximate Bayesian computing is a powerful likelihood-free method that has grown increasingly popular since early applications in population genetics. However, complications arise in the theoretical justification for Bayesian inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-03 Suzanne Thornton , Wentao Li , Min-ge Xie

A Bayesian data assimilation scheme is formulated for advection-dominated or hyperbolic evolutionary problems, and observations. The method is referred to as the dynamic likelihood filter because it exploits the model physics to dynamically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Juan M. Restrepo

Until recently, the use of Bayesian inference in population genetics was limited to a few cases because for many realistic population genetic models the likelihood function cannot be calculated analytically . The situation changed with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-16 Christoph Leuenberger Daniel Wegmann Laurent Excoffier

We derive tractable criteria for the consistency of Bayesian tree reconstruction procedures, which constitute a central class of algorithms for inferring common ancestry among DNA sequence samples in phylogenetics. Our results encompass…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Alisa Kirichenko , Luke J. Kelly , Jere Koskela

Understanding the relative contributions of environmental, spatial, and temporal processes in shaping species distribution is a central objective in ecology. Bayesian species distribution models (SDMs) offer a flexible framework for this…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-11 Luisa Ferrari , Massimo Ventrucci , Alex Laini

The presence of uncommon taxa in high-throughput sequenced ecological samples pose challenges to the microbial ecologist, bioinformatician and statistician. It is rarely certain whether these taxa are truly present in the sample or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-12 Amy Willis

Species-sampling problems (SSPs) refer to a vast class of statistical problems calling for the estimation of (discrete) functionals of the unknown species composition of an unobservable population. A common feature of SSPs is their…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Cecilia Balocchi , Federico Camerlenghi , Stefano Favaro

The advances of next-generation sequencing technology have accelerated study of the microbiome and stimulated the high throughput profiling of metagenomes. The large volume of sequenced data has encouraged the rise of various studies for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Qiwei Li , Shuang Jiang , Andrew Y. Koh , Guanghua Xiao , Xiaowei Zhan

We study fragmentation trees of Gibbs type. In the binary case, we identify the most general Gibbs-type fragmentation tree with Aldous' beta-splitting model, which has an extended parameter range $\beta>-2$ with respect to the ${\rm…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Peter McCullagh , Jim Pitman , Matthias Winkel

A Bayesian nonparametric method of James, Lijoi \& Prunster (2009) used to predict future values of observations from normalized random measures with independent increments is modified to a class of models based on negative binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Robert C. Griffiths , Ross A. Maller , Soudabeh Shemehsavar

We present a method that models the evolution of an unbounded number of time series clusters by switching among an unknown number of regimes with linear dynamics. We develop a Bayesian non-parametric approach using a hierarchical Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Adrián Pérez-Herrero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , Carl Henrik Ek

Prior distributions elicited for modelling the natural fluctuations or the uncertainty on parameters of Bayesian fishery population models, can be chosen among a vast range of statistical laws. Since the statistical framework is defined by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Nicolas Bousquet

In biodiversity conservation it is often necessary to prioritize the species to conserve. Existing approaches to prioritization, e.g. the Fair Proportion Index and the Shapley Value, are based on phylogenetic trees and rank species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-07 Kristina Wicke , Mareike Fischer

When dealing with Bayesian inference the choice of the prior often remains a debatable question. Empirical Bayes methods offer a data-driven solution to this problem by estimating the prior itself from an ensemble of data. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-13 Ilja Klebanov , Alexander Sikorski , Christof Schütte , Susanna Röblitz

We consider the estimation of the total number $N$ of species based on the abundances of species that have been observed. We adopt a non parametric approach where the true abundance distribution $p$ is only supposed to be convex. From this…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-21 Cécile Durot , Sylvie Huet , François Koladjo , Stéphane Robin

Many modern data analysis problems involve inferences from streaming data. However, streaming data is not easily amenable to the standard probabilistic modeling approaches, which assume that we condition on finite data. We develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-23 James McInerney , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Tree-based priors for probability distributions are usually specified using a predetermined, data-independent collection of candidate recursive partitions of the sample space. To characterize an unknown target density in detail over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Li Ma , Benedetta Bruni

Near the beginning of the century, Wright and Fisher devised an elegant, mathematically tractable model of gene reproduction and replacement that laid the foundation for contemporary population genetics. The Wright-Fisher model and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Todd L. Parsons

Few problems in statistics are as perplexing as variable selection in the presence of very many redundant covariates. The variable selection problem is most familiar in parametric environments such as the linear model or additive variants…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-25 Yi Liu , Veronika Ročková , Yuexi Wang

Asymptotic behaviour of conditional $\alpha$ diversity for the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet partition model and for the normalized generalized Gamma model has been recently investigated in Favaro et al. (2009, 2011) with a view to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Annalisa Cerquetti