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Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

We consider a generic system operating under non-equilibrium conditions. Explicitly, we consider an inertial classical Brownian particle dwelling a periodic structure with a spatially broken reflection symmetry. The particle is coupled to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-15 P. Hänggi , J. Łuczka , J. Spiechowicz

Two distinct features of anthropogenic climate change, warming in the tropical upper troposphere and warming at the Arctic surface, have competing effects on the mid-latitude jet stream's latitudinal position, often referred to as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-03 Charlotte Connolly , Elizabeth A. Barnes , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Mike Pritchard

Having established the fact that interacting classical kicked rotor systems exhibit long-lived prethermal phase with quasi-conserved average Hamiltonian before entering into chaotic heating regime, we use spatio-temporal fluctuation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-01 Aritra Kundu , Atanu Rajak , Tanay Nag

Many natural and technological systems fail to adapt to changing external conditions and move to a different state if the conditions vary too fast. Such "non-adiabatic" processes are ubiquitous, but little understood. We identify these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Clare Perryman , Sebastian Wieczorek

A number of brown dwarfs are now known to be variable with observed amplitudes as large as 10-30% at some wavelengths. While spatial inhomogeneities in cloud coverage and thickness are likely responsible for much of the observed…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-04-24 Tyler D. Robinson , Mark S. Marley

Compositional convection is atmospheric mixing driven by density variations caused by compositional gradients. Previous studies have suggested that compositional gradients of atmospheric trace species within planetary atmospheres can impact…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-18 Namrah Habib , Raymond T. Pierrehumbert

The spreading of a cloud of independent Brownian particles typically proceeds more effectively at higher temperatures, as it derives from the commonly known Sutherland-Einstein relation for systems in thermal equilibrium. Here, we report on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-20 Jakub Spiechowicz , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi , Jerzy Łuczka

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti

In contrast to the Earth, where frictional heating is typically negligible, we show that drag mechanisms could act as an important heat source in the strongly-forced atmospheres of some exoplanets, with the potential to alter the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Emily Rauscher , Kristen Menou

Ultra-hot Jupiters, an extreme class of planets not found in our solar system, provide a unique window into atmospheric processes. The extreme temperature contrasts between their day- and night-sides pose a fundamental climate puzzle: how…

The full-phase infrared light curves of low-eccentricity hot Jupiters show a trend of increasing dayside-to-nightside brightness temperature difference with increasing equilibrium temperature. Here we present a three-dimensional model that…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-17 Thaddeus D. Komacek , Adam P. Showman

We introduce and analyze a model for the transport of particles or energy in extended lattice systems. The dynamics of the model acts on a discrete phase space at discrete times but has nonetheless some of the characteristic properties of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Raphael Lefevere

We suggest a way of rationalizing an intra-seasonal oscillations (IOs) of the Earth atmospheric flow as four meteorological relevant triads of interacting planetary waves, isolated from the system of all the rest planetary waves. Our model…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Elena Kartashova , Victor S. L'vov

The thermal ratchets model toggles a spatially periodic asymmetric potential to rectify random walks and achieve transport of diffusing particles. We numerically solve the governing equation for the full dynamics of an infinite 1D ratchet…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-18 Abhranil Das , Soumitro Banerjee

Due to climate change, heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, with western Europe experiencing the strongest trends in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. Part of the temperature trends are caused by circulation changes, which…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-22 Tamara Happé , Jasper Wijnands , Paolo Scussolini , Peter Pfleiderer , Dim Coumou

We are concerned with the persistence of both predator and prey in a diffusive predator-prey system with a climate change effect, which is modeled by a spatial-temporal heterogeneity depending on a moving variable. Moreover, we consider…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-10 Wonhyung Choi , Thomas Giletti , Jong-Shenq Guo

In many practical applications, evaluating the joint impact of combinations of environmental variables is important for risk management and structural design analysis. When such variables are considered simultaneously, non-stationarity can…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth

We present a study of a delay differential equation (DDE) model for the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (MPT). We investigate the behavior of the model when subjected to periodic forcing. The unforced model has a bistable region consisting of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Courtney Quinn , Jan Sieber , Anna von der Heydt

A model is proposed to explain the observed correlation between monthly fluctuations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations and temperatures. The model relies on the oceans being in a temperature-dependent equilibrium with the atmosphere. When…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-22 Francois Ouellette
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