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We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

Detecting abrupt changes in data streams is crucial because they are often triggered by events that have important consequences if left unattended. Quickest change point detection has become a vital sequential analysis primitive that aims…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Marco Fanizza , Christoph Hirche , John Calsamiglia

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the data generating distribution changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. In this paper we consider the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

In this paper, we consider the problem of (multiple) change-point detection in panel data. We propose the double CUSUM statistic which utilises the cross-sectional change-point structure by examining the cumulative sums of ordered CUSUMs at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

Sequential change point tests aim at giving an alarm as soon as possible after a structural break occurs while controlling the asymptotic false alarm error. For such tests it is of particular importance to understand how quickly a break is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-20 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

This work develops techniques for the sequential detection and location estimation of transient changes in the volatility (standard deviation) of time series data. In particular, we introduce a class of change detection algorithms based on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Alireza Ahrabian , Nazli Farajidavar , Clive Cheong-Took , Payam Barnaghi

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama

We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak

Multivariate time series may be subject to partial structural changes over certain frequency band, for instance, in neuroscience. We study the change point detection problem with high dimensional time series, within the framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

Consider the detection of a sparse change in high-dimensional time-series. We introduce Sparsity Likelihood-based (SL-based) score and the change-points detection procedure in multivariate normal model with general covariance structure.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Jingyan Huang

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

Detecting changes in high-dimensional vectors presents significant challenges, especially when the post-change distribution is unknown and time-varying. This paper introduces a novel robust algorithm for correlation change detection in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Assma Alghamdi , Taposh Banerjee , Jayant Rajgopal

The problem of quickest detection of a change in distribution is considered under the assumption that the pre-change distribution is known, and the post-change distribution is only known to belong to a family of distributions…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-30 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Change point detection aims to identify abrupt shifts occurring at multiple points within a data sequence. This task becomes particularly challenging in the online setting, where different types of changes can occur, including shifts in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Chengyuan Deng , Zhengzhang Chen , Xujiang Zhao , Haoyu Wang , Junxiang Wang , Haifeng Chen , Jie Gao

We propose a general framework of sequential testing procedures based on $U$-statistics which contains as an example a sequential CUSUM test based on differences in mean but also includes a robust sequential Wilcoxon change point procedure.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

We study sequential change-point detection procedures based on linear sketches of high-dimensional signal vectors using generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) statistics. The GLR statistics allow for an unknown post-change mean that represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Yang Cao , Andrew Thompson , Meng Wang , Yao Xie

As contemporary software-intensive systems reach increasingly large scale, it is imperative that failure detection schemes be developed to help prevent costly system downtimes. A promising direction towards the construction of such schemes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Alexey Artemov , Evgeny Burnaev

Detecting if and when objects change is difficult in passive sub-diffraction imaging of dynamic scenes. We consider the best possible tradeoff between responsivity and accuracy for detecting a change from one arbitrary object model to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-08-17 Michael R Grace , Saikat Guha , Zachary Dutton

We develop monitoring procedures for cointegrating regressions, testing the null of no breaks against the alternatives that there is either a change in the slope, or a change to non-cointegration. After observing the regression for a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-03-30 Lorenzo Trapani , Emily Whitehouse

As the complexity of production processes increases, the diversity of data types drives the development of network monitoring technology. This paper mainly focuses on an online algorithm to detect serially correlated directed networks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Miaomiao Yu , Yuhao Zhou , Fugee Tsung
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