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Related papers: Solar Cycles: Can They Be Predicted?

200 papers

Sunspots and the plethora of other phenomena occuring in the course of the 11-year cycle of solar activity are a consequence of the emergence of magnetic flux at the solar surface. The observed orientations of bipolar sunspot groups imply…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Robert Cameron , Manfred Schüssler

The Sun provides the energy necessary to sustain our existence. While the Sun provides for us, it is also capable of taking away. The weather and climatic scales of solar evolution and the Sun-Earth connection are not well understood. There…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Scott W. McIntosh , Robert J. Leamon

Solar irradiance is considered one of the main natural factors affecting terrestrial climate, and its variations are included in most numerical models estimating the effects of natural versus anthropogenic factors for climate change. Solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-25 Katya Georgieva , Yury Nagovitsyn , Boian Kirov

Despite the known general properties of the solar cycles, a reliable forecast of the 11-year sunspot number variations is still a problem. The difficulties are caused by the apparent chaotic behavior of the sunspot numbers from cycle to…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 I. N. Kitiashvili , A. G. Kosovichev

We examine the temporal changes in both solar polar magnetic field (PMF) at latitudes $\ge$ $45^{\circ}$ and heliospheric magnetic field (HMF) at 1 AU during solar cycles 21--24 with emphasis on the recent activity changes after July 2015,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-05 Susanta Kumar Bisoi , P. Janardhan , S. Ananthakrishnan

The calling card of solar magnetism is the sunspot cycle, during which sunspots regularly reverse their polarity sense every 11 years. However, a number of more complicated time-dependent behaviors have also been identified. In particular,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-06 Loren Matilsky , Juri Toomre

The mainstream dynamo models predict that the sunspot cycle is non-stationary and stochastic. The official Solar Cycle Prediction Panel forecasts only the ongoing sunspot cycle because any forecast beyond one cycle is considered impossible.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-14 Lauri Jetsu

It has been argued that the solar magnetic cycle consists of two main periodic components: a low-frequency component (Hale's 22-year cycle) and a high-frequency component (quasi-biennial cycle). The existence of the double magnetic cycle on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 E. E. Benevolenskaya

The solar polar fields reverse because magnetic flux from decaying sunspots moves towards the poles, with a preponderance of flux from the trailing spots. Let us assume that there is a strong asymmetry in the sense that all activity is in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Leif Svalgaard , Yohsuke Kamide

Long observational series for bipolar active regions (ARs) provide significant information about the mutual transformation of the poloidal and toroidal components of the global solar magnetic field. The direction of the toroidal field…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-14 A. Zhukova , A. Khlystova , V. Abramenko , D. Sokoloff

We present the assessment of a diffusion-dominated mean field axisymmetric dynamo model in reproducing historical solar activity and forecast for solar cycle 25. Previous studies point to the Sun's polar magnetic field as an important proxy…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-29 Alejandro Macario-Rojas , Katharine L. Smith , Peter C. E. Roberts

Rotation of the large scale solar magnetic field has a great importance for the understanding of solar dynamic, for the search of longitidinal structure and for the study of solar-terrestrial relations. 30-year long observations taken at…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-08 E. A. Gavryuseva

Observations of the sun suggest that solar activities systematically create north-south hemispheric asymmetries. For instance, the hemisphere in which the sunspot activity is more active tends to switch after the early half of each solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-12 D. Syukuya , K. Kusano

The flux transport dynamo, in which the poloidal magnetic field is generated by the Babcock--Leighton mechanism and the meridional circulation plays a crucial role, has emerged as an attractive model for the solar cycle. Based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-05 Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Solar cycle is modeled as a forced and damped harmonic oscillator and the amplitudes, frequencies, phases and decay factors of such a harmonic oscillator are estimated by non-linear fitting the equation of sinusoidal and transient parts to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-12 K M Hiremath

The study of variations in solar activity is important for understanding the underlying mechanism of solar activity and for predicting the level of activity in view of the activity impact on space weather and global climate. Here we have…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 J. Javaraiah

The solar magnetic activity cycle causes changes in the Sun on timescales that are relevant to human lifetimes. The minimum in solar activity that preceded the current solar cycle (cycle 24) was deeper and quieter than any other recent…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Sarbani Basu , Anne-Marie Broomhall , William J. Chaplin , Yvonne Elsworth

The most promising model for explaining the origin of solar magnetism is the flux transport dynamo model, in which the toroidal field is produced by differential rotation in the tachocline, the poloidal field is produced by the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Arnab Rai Choudhuri

The Sun provides the energy required to sustain life on Earth and drive our planet's atmospheric circulation. However, establishing a solid physical connection between solar and tropospheric variability has posed a considerable challenge…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-06 Robert J Leamon , Scott W. McIntosh , Daniel R. Marsh

Forecasting the solar cycle amplitude is important for a better understanding of the solar dynamo as well as for many space weather applications. We demonstrated a steady relationship between the maximal growth rate of sunspot activity in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Tatiana Podladchikova , Shantanu Jain , Astrid M. Veronig , Olga Sutyrina , Mateja Dumbovic , Frederic Clette , Werner Poetzi