Related papers: Testing for the Minimum Mean-Variance Spanning Set
We consider the efficient use of an approximation within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), with subsequent importance sampling (IS) correction of the Markov chain inexact output, leading to asymptotically exact inference. We detail…
A lower bound on the minimum mean-squared error (MSE) in a Bayesian estimation problem is proposed in this paper. This bound utilizes a well-known connection to the deterministic estimation setting. Using the prior distribution, the bias…
Minimizing the Mean Squared Error (MSE) is a key objective in machine learning and is commonly used for imputing missing values. While this approach provides accurate point estimates, it introduces systematic biases in downstream analyses.…
Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…
Based on a recently proposed $q$-dependent detrended cross-correlation coefficient $\rho_q$, we generalize the concept of minimum spanning tree (MST) by introducing a family of $q$-dependent minimum spanning trees ($q$MST) that are…
The Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) method is a widely adopted tool for robust estimation and outlier detection. In this paper, we introduce MCD model selection based on the notion of stability. Our best subset method leverages prior…
${\rm CoVaR}$ is one of the most important measures of financial systemic risks. It is defined as the risk of a financial portfolio conditional on another financial portfolio being at risk. In this paper we first develop a Monte-Carlo…
Empirical causal claims depend on many analyst decisions, from selecting covariates to choosing estimators. Existing robustness tools summarize how results vary across these choices, but, to the best of our knowledge, do not answer:…
Diagnosis results are highly dependent on the volume of test set. To derive the most efficient test set, we propose several machine learning based methods to predict the minimum amount of test data that produces relatively accurate…
This paper proposes an estimation framework to assess the performance of sorting over perturbed/noisy data. In particular, the recovering accuracy is measured in terms of Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) between the values of the sorting…
In this paper, we study the form over the minimum spanning tree problem (MST) from which we will derive an intuitively generalized model and new methods with the upper bound of runtimes of logarithm. The new pattern we made has taken…
Determining risk contributions of unit exposures to portfolio-wide economic capital is an important task in financial risk management. Computing risk contributions involves difficulties caused by rare-event simulations. In this study, we…
A novel approach for non-intrusive uncertainty propagation is proposed. Our approach overcomes the limitation of many traditional methods, such as generalised polynomial chaos methods, which may lack sufficient accuracy when the quantity of…
Marginal Structural Models (MSM) are the most popular models for causal inference from time-series observational data. However, they have two main drawbacks: (a) they do not capture subject heterogeneity, and (b) they only consider fixed…
Robins 1997 introduced marginal structural models (MSMs), a general class of counterfactual models for the joint effects of time-varying treatment regimes in complex longitudinal studies subject to time-varying confounding. In his work,…
When the target parameter for inference is a real-valued, continuous function of probabilities in the $k$-sample multinomial problem, variance estimation may be challenging. In small samples or when the function is nondifferentiable at the…
Weighting methods are widely used to adjust for covariates in observational studies, sample surveys, and regression settings. In this paper, we study a class of recently proposed weighting methods which find the weights of minimum…
We use the martingale method to discuss the relationship between mean-variance (MV) and monotone mean-variance (MMV) portfolio selections. We propose a unified framework to discuss the relationship in general financial markets without any…
We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…
Distributed compressive sensing is a framework considering jointly sparsity within signal ensembles along with multiple measurement vectors (MMVs). The current theoretical bound of performance for MMVs, however, is derived to be the same…