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Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

We consider a stochastic epidemic model with sideward contact tracing. We assume that infection is driven by interactions within mixing events (gatherings of two or more individuals). Once an infective is diagnosed, each individual who was…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-28 Dongni Zhang , Martina Favero

Recently, methods that represent data as a graph, such as graph neural networks (GNNs) have been successfully used to learn data representations and structures to solve classification and link prediction problems. The applications of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Usman Mahmood , Zening Fu , Vince Calhoun , Sergey Plis

Reconstructing who infected whom is a central challenge in analysing epidemiological data. Recently, advances in sequencing technology have led to increasing interest in Bayesian approaches to inferring who infected whom using genetic data…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-30 Michelle Kendall , Diepreye Ayabina , Caroline Colijn

We consider real-time timely tracking of infection status (e.g., covid-19) of individuals in a population. In this work, a health care provider wants to detect infected people as well as people who have recovered from the disease as quickly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Melih Bastopcu , Sennur Ulukus

This paper deals with the statistical signal pro- cessing over graphs for tracking infection diffusion in social networks. Infection (or Information) diffusion is modeled using the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model. Mean field…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Sujay Bhatt , Tavis Pedersen

Mitigation strategies that remove infectious individuals from the greater population have to balance their efficacy with the economic effects associated with quarantine and have to contend with the limited resources available to the public…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-09 Ted Londner , Jonathan Saunders , Dieter W. Schuldt , Bill Streilein

Virus transmission from person to person is an emergency event facing the global public. Early detection and isolation of potentially susceptible crowds can effectively control the epidemic of its disease. Existing metrics can not correctly…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Huajun He , Ruiyuan Li , Rubin Wang , Jie Bao , Yu Zheng , Tianrui Li

We couple a multi-type stochastic epidemic process with a directed random graph, where edges have random lengths. This random graph representation is used to characterise the fractions of individuals infected by the different types of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , Pieter Trapman

We present a method aimed to compute the communicability (broadcast and receive) of nodes through causal paths in temporal networks. The method considers all possible combinations of chronologically ordered products of adjacency matrices of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-07 Agostino Funel

Modelling long-range dependencies is critical for scene understanding tasks in computer vision. Although convolution neural networks (CNNs) have excelled in many vision tasks, they are still limited in capturing long-range structured…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Li Zhang , Mohan Chen , Anurag Arnab , Xiangyang Xue , Philip H. S. Torr

Although great advances in the analysis of neuroimaging data have been made, a major challenge is a lack of training data. This is less problematic in tasks such as diagnosis, where much data exists, but particularly prevalent in harder…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-26 Thomas Screven , Andras Necz , Jason Smucny , Ian Davidson

We consider the problem of learning the weighted edges of a graph by observing the noisy times of infection for multiple epidemic cascades on this graph. Past work has considered this problem when the cascade information, i.e., infection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Jessica Hoffmann , Constantine Caramanis

I study the spreading of infectious diseases on heterogeneous populations. I represent the population structure by a contact-graph where vertices represent agents and edges represent disease transmission channels among them. The population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Alexei Vazquez

Viral information like rumors or fake news is spread over a communication network like a virus infection in a unidirectional manner: entity $i$ conveys information to a neighbor $j$, resulting in two equally informed (infected) parties.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Chinthaka Dinesh , Gene Cheung , Fei Chen , Yuejiang Li , H. Vicky Zhao

Network models are increasingly used to study infectious disease spread. Exponential Random Graph models have a history in this area, with scalable inference methods now available. An alternative approach uses mechanistic network models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Octavious Smiley , Till Hoffmann , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

A wide range of approaches have been applied to manage the spread of global pandemic events such as COVID-19, which have met with varying degrees of success. Given the large-scale social and economic impact coupled with the increasing time…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Rachit Agarwal , Abhik Banerjee

Intuitively, sampling is likely to be more efficient for prevalence estimation, if the cases (or positives) have a relatively higher representation in the sample than in the population. In case the virus is transmitted via personal…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-18 Li-Chun Zhang

When an unprecedented infectious disease with high mortality and transmissibility emerges, immediate usage of vaccines or medicines is hardly available. Thus, many health authorities rely on non-pharmaceutical interventions through…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-21 Minsuk Kim , Soon-Hyung Yook