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We study a mutliscale jump process introduced in a work by Crudu, Debussche, Muller and Radulescu. Using an adequate coupling, we are able to prove the strong convergence, for the uniform topology, to a piecewise deterministic Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Baptiste Nicolas Huguet

In this paper we consider two related stochastic models. The first one is a branching system consisting of particles moving according to a Markov family in R^d and undergoing subcritical branching with a constant rate of V>0. New particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-27 Piotr Milos

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

Let $(X_{n,i})_{1\le i\le n,n\in\mathbb{N}}$ be a triangular array of row-wise stationary $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued random variables. We use a "blocks method" to define clusters of extreme values: the rows of $(X_{n,i})$ are divided into $m_n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Holger Drees , Holger Rootzén

We develop a central limit theorem (CLT) for a non-parametric estimator of the transition matrices in controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state-action spaces. Our results establish precise conditions on the logging policy under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan

Whereas classical Markov decision processes maximize the expected reward, we consider minimizing the risk. We propose to evaluate the risk associated to a given policy over a long-enough time horizon with the help of a central limit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Pengqian Yu , Jia Yuan Yu , Huan Xu

We study random compositions of transformations having certain uniform fiberwise properties and prove bounds which in combination with other results yield a quenched central limit theorem equipped with a convergence rate, also in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Olli Hella , Mikko Stenlund

The main result of this paper is a functional limit theorem for the sine-process. In particular, we study the limit distribution, in the space of trajectories, for the number of particles in a growing interval. The sine-process has the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Alexander I. Bufetov , Andrey V. Dymov

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the regular variation of the variance of partial sums of functionals of discrete and continuous-time stationary Markov processes with normal transition operators. We also construct a class…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 George Deligiannidis , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

Let $\{(X_t)_{t\geq 0}, \mathbb{P}_{\delta_x}, x\in E\}$ be a supercritical branching Markov process (which is not necessary symmetric) on a locally compact metric measure space $(E,\mu)$ with spatially dependent local branching mechanism.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Haojie Hou , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) establishes that sufficiently large sequences of independent and identically distributed random variables converge in probability to a normal distribution. This makes the CLT a fundamental building block of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Henning Basold , Oisín Flynn-Connolly , Chase Ford , Hao Wang

We provide an abstract multivariate central limit theorem with the Lindeberg-type error bounded in terms of Lipschitz functions (Wasserstein 1-distance) or functions with bounded second or third derivatives. The result is proved by means of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Martin Raič

We study the number of occurrences of any fixed vincular permutation pattern. We show that this statistics on uniform random permutations is asymptotically normal and describe the speed of convergence. To prove this central limit theorem,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Lisa Hofer

Let $\{Z_{m},m\geq 0\}$ be a critical branching process in random environment and $\{S_{m},m\geq 0\}$ be its associated random walk. Assuming that the increments distribution of the associated random walk belongs without centering to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We introduce a new framework that yields spectral bounds on norms of functions of transition maps for finite, homogeneous Markov chains. The techniques employed work for bounded semigroups, in particular for classical as well as for quantum…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-03-16 Oleg Szehr , David Reeb , Michael M. Wolf

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

Stein's method is used to prove limit theorems for random character ratios. Tools are developed for four types of structures: finite groups, Gelfand pairs, twisted Gelfand pairs, and association schemes. As one example an error term is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jason Fulman

The goal of this expository paper is to describe conditions which guarantee a central limit theorem for functionals of general state space Markov chains. This is done with a view towards Markov chain Monte Carlo settings and hence the focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Galin L. Jones

This paper provides a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for a process $\{\theta_n, n\geq 0\}$ satisfying a stochastic approximation (SA) equation of the form $\theta_{n+1} = \theta_n + \gamma_{n+1} H(\theta_n,X_{n+1})$; a CLT for the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Gersende Fort
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