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Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery

Indoor localization is critical for IoT applications, yet challenges such as non-Gaussian noise, environmental interference, and measurement outliers hinder the robustness of traditional methods. Existing approaches, including Kalman…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-14 Zhiyi Zhou , Dongzhuo Liu , Songtao Guo , Yuanyuan Yang

Materials under confinement can possess properties that deviate considerably from their bulk counterparts. Indeed, confinement makes all physical properties position-dependent and possibly anisotropic, and characterizing such spatial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-30 Tiago S. Domingues , Ronald Coifman , Amir Haji-Akbari

Normative and task-driven theories offer powerful top-down explanations for biological systems, yet the goals of quantitatively arbitrating between competing theories, and utilizing them as inductive biases to improve data-driven fits of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Bahti Zakirov , Gašper Tkačik

Neglecting small fragments in space debris evolutionary models can lead to a significant underestimation of the collision risk for operational satellites. However, when scaling down to the millimeter range, the debris population grows to…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-09-08 Lorenzo Giudici , Juan Luis Gonzalo , Camilla Colombo

Predicting the effects of chemical and genetic perturbations on quantitative cell states is a central challenge in computational biology, molecular medicine and drug discovery. Recent work has leveraged large-scale single-cell data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Michael Scholkemper , Sach Mukherjee

Congenital uterine anomalies (CUAs) can lead to infertility, miscarriage, preterm birth, and an increased risk of pregnancy complications. Compared to traditional 2D ultrasound (US), 3D US can reconstruct the coronal plane, providing a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Yuhao Huang , Yueyue Xu , Haoran Dou , Jiaxiao Deng , Xin Yang , Hongyu Zheng , Dong Ni

We consider the estimation of carbon dioxide flux at the ocean-atmosphere interface, given weighted averages of the mixing ratio in a vertical atmospheric column. In particular we examine the dependence of the posterior covariance on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Graham Cox

This paper develops a Bayesian framework for robust causal inference from longitudinal observational data. Many contemporary methods rely on structural assumptions, such as factor models, to adjust for unobserved confounding, but they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Angelos Alexopoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

Existing spatio-temporal Hawkes process models typically rely on either parametric or semiparametric assumptions, limiting the model's ability to capture complex endogenous and exogenous event dynamics. We propose a fully Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Wenqing Liu , Xenia Miscouridou , Déborah Sulem

Topology can extract the structural information in a dataset efficiently. In this paper, we attempt to incorporate topological information into a multiple output Gaussian process model for transfer learning purposes. To achieve this goal,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Hengrui Luo , Jisu Kim , Alice Patania , Mikael Vejdemo-Johansson

In this study, a scalable online kernel learning framework is proposed for estimating bidirectional causal effects in systems characterized by mutual dependence and heteroskedasticity. Traditional causal inference often focuses on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-24 Masahiro Tanaka

High-fidelity spectrum cartography is pivotal for spectrum management and wireless situational awareness, yet it remains a challenging ill-posed inverse problem due to the sparsity and irregularity of observations. Furthermore, existing…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Yuntong Gu , Xiangming meng , Zhiyuan Lin , Sheng Wu , Linling Kuang

A platform trial is an innovative clinical trial design that enables simultaneous and continuous evaluation of multiple treatments within a single master protocol. Existing robust methods restrict analyses to concurrently randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Yuhan Qian , Yu Du , Jingning Zhang , Yanyao Yi , Patrick J. Heagerty , Ting Ye

Geoneutrino observations, first achieved by KamLAND in 2005 and followed by Borexino in 2010, have accumulated statistics and improved sensitivity for more than ten years. The uncertainty of the geoneutrino flux at the surface is now…

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient method and has been widely used for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Recently, there has been a considerable interest in BO literature in optimizing functions that are affected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Xiaobin Huang , Lei Song , Ke Xue , Chao Qian

Model-based geostatistical design involves the selection of locations to collect data to minimise an expected loss function over a set of all possible locations. The loss function is specified to reflect the aim of data collection, which,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-03 S. G. Jagath Senarathne , Werner G. Müller , James M. McGree

Accurate and efficient prediction of aeroengine performance is of paramount importance for engine design, maintenance, and optimization endeavours. However, existing methodologies often struggle to strike an optimal balance among predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Tong Mo , Shiran Dai , An Fu , Xiaomeng Zhu , Shuxiao Li

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Under covariate shift, training (source) data and testing (target) data differ in input space distribution, but share the same conditional label distribution. This poses a challenging machine learning task. Robust Bias-Aware (RBA)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Anqi Liu , Rizal Fathony , Brian D. Ziebart
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