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Data assimilation (DA) methods use priors arising from differential equations to robustly interpolate and extrapolate data. Popular techniques such as ensemble methods that handle high-dimensional, nonlinear PDE priors focus mostly on state…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Rafael Anderka , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Data assimilation (DA) is a key component of many forecasting models in science and engineering. DA allows one to estimate better initial conditions using an imperfect dynamical model of the system and noisy/sparse observations available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Eviatar Bach , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Reconstruction of turbulent flow based on data assimilation methods is of significant importance for improving the estimation of flow characteristics by incorporating limited observations. Existing works mainly focus on using only one…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-30 Xin-Lei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Guo-Wei He , Shi-Zhao Wang

Data Assimilation is a cornerstone of atmospheric system modeling, tasked with reconstructing system states by integrating sparse, noisy observations with prior estimation. While traditional approaches like variational and ensemble Kalman…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Hao Wang , Zixuan Weng , Jindong Han , Wei Fan , Hao Liu

Reliable prediction of turbulent flows is an important necessity across different fields of science and engineering. In Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations, the most common type of models are eddy viscosity models that are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-25 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

Understanding and predicting people flow in urban areas is useful for decision-making in urban planning and marketing strategies. Traditional methods for understanding people flow can be divided into measurement-based approaches and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Ryo Murata , Kenji Tanaka

Performing Data Assimilation (DA) at a low cost is of prime concern in Earth system modeling, particularly at the time of big data where huge quantities of observations are available. Capitalizing on the ability of Neural Networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Mathis Peyron , Anthony Fillion , Selime Gürol , Victor Marchais , Serge Gratton , Pierre Boudier , Gael Goret

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

We introduce a score-filter-enhanced data assimilation framework designed to reduce predictive uncertainty in machine learning (ML) models for data-driven dynamical system forecasting. Machine learning serves as an efficient numerical model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Jingqiao Tang , Ryan Bausback , Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Phuoc-Toan Huynh

We consider the problem of data-assisted forecasting of chaotic dynamical systems when the available data is in the form of noisy partial measurements of the past and present state of the dynamical system. Recently there have been several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Alexander Wikner , Jaideep Pathak , Brian R. Hunt , Istvan Szunyogh , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) nudges observational data into governing equations to recover the underlying flow and improve predictions. Existing rigorous CDA analyses focus primarily on incompressible flows, yet no physical flow is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang

We investigate the ability to discover data assimilation (DA) schemes meant for chaotic dynamics with deep learning. The focus is on learning the analysis step of sequential DA, from state trajectories and their observations, using a simple…

Machine-learning (ML) techniques provide a new and encouraging perspective for constructing turbulence models for Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) simulations. In this study, an iterative ML-RANS computational framework is proposed…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-27 Weishuo Liu , Jian Fang , Stefano Rolfo , Charles Moulinec , David R Emerson

Prediction of chaotic systems relies on a floating fusion of sensor data (observations) with a numerical model to decide on a good system trajectory and to compensate nonlinear feedback effects. Ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) is a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Sebastian Friedemann , Bruno Raffin

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

In this article, we provide a methodology to reconstruct high-Reynolds number turbulent mean-flows from few time-averaged measurements. A turbulent flow over a backward-facing step at Re = 28275 is considered to illustrate the potential of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-09-23 Lucas Franceschini , Denis Sipp , Olivier Marquet

IIn recent years, there has been a growing interest in applying data assimilation (DA) methods, originally designed for state estimation, to the model selection problem. In this setting, Carrassi et al. (2017) introduced the contextual…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-10 Sammy Metref , Alexis Hannart , Juan Ruiz , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi , Michael Ghil

Data assimilation (DA) combines model forecasts and observations to estimate the optimal state of the atmosphere with its uncertainty, providing initial conditions for weather prediction and reanalyses for climate research. Yet, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hang Fan , Juan Nathaniel , Yi Xiao , Ce Bian , Fenghua Ling , Ben Fei , Lei Bai , Pierre Gentine

Data assimilation algorithms are used to estimate the states of a dynamical system using partial and noisy observations. The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation scheme due to its simplicity and robustness for a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Gottfried Hastermann , Maria Reinhardt , Rupert Klein , Sebastian Reich