English
Related papers

Related papers: VQLTI: Long-Term Tropical Cyclone Intensity Foreca…

200 papers

Inland tropical cyclone (TC) impacts due to high winds and rainfall-induced flooding depend strongly on the evolution of the wind field and precipitation distribution after landfall. However, research has yet to test the detailed response…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Jie Chen , Daniel R. Chavas

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

Accurate traffic prediction is vital for effective traffic management during hurricane evacuation. This paper proposes a predictive modeling system that integrates Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Qinhua Jiang , Brian Yueshuai He , Changju Lee , Jiaqi Ma

Time series forecasting is critical across various domains, such as weather, finance and real estate forecasting, as accurate forecasts support informed decision-making and risk mitigation. While recent deep learning models have improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jianfei Wu , Wenmian Yang , Bingning Liu , Weijia Jia

Accurate prediction of tropical cyclones remains a major challenge for both numerical weather prediction and emerging artificial intelligence weather prediction systems. While recent global AI models have demonstrated strong skill in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-17 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Sirong Huang , Zhuo Wang , Mu Mu , Mengqi Yang , Xinhai Han , Haofei Sun , Zhaoyang Huo , Bo Qin

Accurate forecasts of extreme wind speeds are of high importance for many applications. Such forecasts are usually generated by ensembles of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, which however can be biased and have errors in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jakob Benjamin Wessel , Christopher A. T. Ferro , Gavin R. Evans , Frank Kwasniok

The prediction skill of a numerical model can be enhanced by calibrating the sensitive parameters that significantly influence the model forecast. The objective of the present study is to improve the prediction of surface wind speed and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-03 Harish Baki , Sandeep Chinta , C. Balaji , Balaji Srinivasan

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Accurate and efficient time-series forecasting remains a challenging problem for both classical and quantum neural architectures, particularly in multivariate environmental settings. This work adapts the Quantum Leaky Integrate-and-Fire…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Alberto Marchisio , Aayan Ebrahim , Nouhaila Innan , Muhammad Kashif , Muhammad Shafique

Mining time-frequency features is critical for time series forecasting. Existing research has predominantly focused on modeling low-frequency patterns, where most time series energy is concentrated. The overlooking of mid to high frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Boya Zhang , Shuaijie Yin , Huiwen Zhu , Xing He

This paper presents the official release of the Digital Typhoon dataset, the longest typhoon satellite image dataset for 40+ years aimed at benchmarking machine learning models for long-term spatio-temporal data. To build the dataset, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Asanobu Kitamoto , Jared Hwang , Bastien Vuillod , Lucas Gautier , Yingtao Tian , Tarin Clanuwat

Accurate and timely forecasting of heavy rainfall remains a critical challenge for modern society. Precipitation exhibits a highly imbalanced distribution: most observations record no or light rain, while heavy rainfall events are rare.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Zenghui Huang , Ting Shu , Zhonglei Wang , Yang Lu , Yan Yan , Wei Zhong , Hanzi Wang

As extreme heat events intensify due to climate change and urbanization, cities face increasing challenges in mitigating outdoor heat stress. While traditional physical models such as SOLWEIG and ENVI-met provide detailed assessments of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Shengao Yi , Xiaojiang Li , Wei Tu , Tianhong Zhao

As tropical cyclones become more intense due to climate change, the rise of Al-based modelling provides a more affordable and accessible approach compared to traditional methods based on mathematical models. This work leverages generative…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-31 Pritthijit Nath , Pancham Shukla , Shuai Wang , César Quilodrán-Casas

Reliable long-term forecasting of PM2.5 concentrations is critical for public health early-warning systems, yet existing deep learning approaches struggle to maintain prediction stability beyond 48 hours, especially in cities with sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Amirali Ataee Naeini , Arshia Ataee Naeini , Fatemeh Karami Mohammadi , Omid Ghaffarpasand

Determining the location of a tropical cyclone's (TC) surface circulation center -- "center-fixing" -- is a critical first step in the TC-forecasting process, affecting current/future estimates of track, intensity, and structure. Despite a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-13 Ryan Lagerquist , Galina Chirokova , Robert DeMaria , Mark DeMaria , Imme Ebert-Uphoff

Correlated time series (CTS) forecasting plays an essential role in many practical applications, such as traffic management and server load control. Many deep learning models have been proposed to improve the accuracy of CTS forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Zhichen Lai , Dalin Zhang , Huan Li , Christian S. Jensen , Hua Lu , Yan Zhao

The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) sounder-derived Wet Microburst Severity Index (WMSI) was originally developed and implemented to assess the potential magnitude of convective downbursts over the central and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kenneth Pryor