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Related papers: Progress in Artificial Intelligence and its Determ…

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Artificial intelligence (AI) raises expectations of substantial increases in rates of technological and scientific progress, but such anticipations are often not connected to detailed ground-level studies of AI use in innovation processes.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-21 John P. Nelson , Olajide Olugbade , Philip Shapira , Justin B. Biddle

Governing artificial intelligence (AI) inventions is a major policy concern, yet definitions and measurement remain contested. We compare four patent-based approaches reflecting distinct understandings of AI. Using US patents (1990-2019),…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-16 Kerstin Hötte , Taheya Tarannum , Vilhelm Verendel , Lauren Bennett

Artificial intelligence has changed our day to day life in multitude ways. AI technology is rearing itself as a driving force to be reckoned with in the largest industries in the world. AI has already engulfed our educational system, our…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Muneer Ahmad , Dr M Sadik Batcha , S Roselin Jahina

Three factors drive the advance of AI: algorithmic innovation, data, and the amount of compute available for training. Algorithmic progress has traditionally been more difficult to quantify than compute and data. In this work, we argue that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Danny Hernandez , Tom B. Brown

We develop a high-precision classifier to measure artificial intelligence (AI) patents by fine-tuning PatentSBERTa on manually labeled data from the USPTO's AI Patent Dataset. Our classifier substantially improves the existing USPTO…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-14 Hanming Fang , Xian Gu , Hanyin Yan , Wu Zhu

Participants in recent discussions of AI-related issues ranging from intelligence explosion to technological unemployment have made diverse claims about the nature, pace, and drivers of progress in AI. However, these theories are rarely…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Miles Brundage

There is a common wisdom according to which many technologies can progress according to some exponential law like the empirical Moore's law that was validated for over half a century with the growth of transistors number in chipsets. As a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-29 Olivier Ezratty

Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Bela Nagy , J. Doyne Farmer , Quan M. Bui , Jessika E. Trancik

This work presents a large-scale analysis of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) references within news articles and scientific publications between 2011 and 2019. We implement word association measurements that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Autumn Toney

Artificial Intelligence is now recognized as a general-purpose technology with ample impact on human life. This work aims at understanding the evolution of AI and, in particular Machine learning, from the perspective of researchers'…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Rafael B. Audibert , Henrique Lemos , Pedro Avelar , Anderson R. Tavares , Luís C. Lamb

State-of-the-Art (SOTA) claims pervade Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) research. These claims rest on benchmark evaluations, where models are ranked by aggregate scores across tasks. Public benchmarks or leaderboards…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 YongKyung Oh

Compute, data, and algorithmic advances are the three fundamental factors that guide the progress of modern Machine Learning (ML). In this paper we study trends in the most readily quantified factor - compute. We show that before 2010…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Jaime Sevilla , Lennart Heim , Anson Ho , Tamay Besiroglu , Marius Hobbhahn , Pablo Villalobos

As large-scale AI models expand, training becomes costlier and sustaining progress grows harder. Classical scaling laws (e.g., Kaplan et al. (2020), Hoffmann et al. (2022)) predict training loss from a static compute budget yet neglect time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Chien-Ping Lu

Papers published in top conferences contribute influential discoveries that are reshaping the landscape of modern Artificial Intelligence (AI). We analyzed 87,137 papers from 11 AI conferences to examine publication trends over the past…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Ariful Azad , Afeefa Banu

Development in Artificial Intelligence (AI) has accelerated scientific discovery. Alongside recent AI-oriented Nobel prizes, these trends establish the role of AI tools in science. This advancement raises questions about the potential…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Qianyue Hao , Fengli Xu , Yong Li , James Evans

In this study, I employ a multifaceted comprehensive scientometric approach to explore the intellectual underpinnings of AI and ML in financial research by examining the publication patterns of articles, journals, authors, institutions, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Vijaya Kanaparthi

This paper studies the impact of artificial intelligence on innovation, exploiting the randomized introduction of a new materials discovery technology to 1,018 scientists in the R&D lab of a large U.S. firm. AI-assisted researchers discover…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-21 Aidan Toner-Rodgers

Understanding the emergence, co-evolution, and convergence of science and technology (S&T) areas offers competitive intelligence for researchers, managers, policy makers, and others. The resulting data-driven decision support helps set…

Innovations in artificial intelligence (AI) are occurring at speeds faster than ever witnessed before. However, few studies have managed to measure or depict this increasing velocity of innovations in the field of AI. In this paper, we…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Xuli Tang , Xin Li , Ying Ding , Min Song , Yi Bu

Although AI drafting tools have gained prominence in patent writing, the systematic evaluation of AI-generated patent content quality represents a significant research gap. To address this gap, We propose to evaluate patents using…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Yuqian Chai , Chaochao Wang , Weilei Wang
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