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Related papers: Capacity Expansion Planning under Uncertainty subj…

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We propose explicitly incorporating large-scale load siting into a stochastic nodal power system capacity expansion planning model that concurrently co-optimizes generation, transmission and storage expansion. The potential operational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Tomas Valencia Zuluaga , Simon Pang , Jean-Paul Watson

Solving large-scale capacity expansion problems (CEPs) is central to cost-effective decarbonization of regional-scale energy systems. To ensure the intended outcomes of CEPs, modeling uncertainty due to weather-dependent variable renewable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-18 Aron Brenner , Rahman Khorramfar , Dharik Mallapragada , Saurabh Amin

This work presents a methodology to incorporate reliability constraints in the optimal power systems expansion planning problem. Besides LOLP and EPNS, traditionally used in power systems, this work proposes the use of the risk measures VaR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Luiz Carlos da Costa , Fernanda Souza Thomé , Joaquim Dias Garcia , Mario V. F. Pereira

Capacity expansion models are frequently used to inform multi-billion dollar grid infrastructure decisions, a context in which there is significant uncertainty surrounding the future need for and performance of such infrastructure. However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Gabriel Mantegna , Emil Dimanchev , Filippo Pecci , Neha Patankar , Jesse Jenkins

We present a capacity expansion model for deciding the new electricity generation and transmission capacity to complement an existing hydroelectric reservoir system. The objective is to meet a forecast demand at least expected cost, namely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Jarand Hole , Andy Philpott , Oscar Dowson

This paper studies flexible multi-facility capacity expansion with risk aversion. In this setting, the decision maker can periodically expand the capacity of facilities given observations of uncertain demand. We model this situation as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Sixiang Zhao , William B. Haskell , Michel-Alexandre Cardin

Future greenhouse gas neutral energy systems will be dominated by renewable energy technologies providing variable supply subject to uncertain weather conditions. For this setting, we propose an algorithm for capacity expansion planning: We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Sebastian Kebrich , Felix Engelhardt , David Franzmann , Christina Büsing , Jochen Linßen , Heidi Heinrichs

Stochastic programming can be applied to consider uncertainties in energy system optimization models for capacity expansion planning. However, these models become increasingly large and time-consuming to solve, even without considering…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Shima Sasanpour , Manuel Wetzel , Karl-Kiên Cao , Hans Christian Gils , Andrés Ramos

In this paper, we consider a network capacity expansion problem in the context of telecommunication networks, where there is uncertainty associated with the expected traffic demand. We employ a distributionally robust stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Trivikram Dokka , Francis Garuba , Marc Goerigk , Peter Jacko

The effective management of stochastic characteristics of renewable power generations is vital for ensuring the stable and secure operation of power systems. This paper addresses the task of optimizing the chance-constrained…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-05 Yuanxi Wu , Zhi Wu , Yijun Xu , Huan Long , Wei Gu , Shu Zheng , Jingtao Zhao

In this paper, the problem of load uncertainty in compliance problems is addressed where the uncertainty is described in the form of a set of finitely many loading scenarios. Computationally more efficient methods are proposed to exactly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Mohamed Tarek , Tapabrata Ray

In power systems, large-scale optimisation problems are extensively used to plan for capacity expansion at the supra-national level. However, their cost-optimal solutions are often not exploitable by decision-makers who are preferably…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Antoine Dubois , Damien Ernst

Dispatchability of renewable energy sources and inflexible loads can be achieved using a volatility-compensating energy storage. However, as the future power outputs of the inflexible devices are uncertain, the computation of a dispatch…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-25 R. R. Appino , J. Á. González Ordiano , R. Mikut , V. Hagenmeyer , T. Faulwasser

Capacity expansion models used for policy support have increasingly represented both the variability and uncertainty of weather-dependent generation (wind and solar). However, although also uncertain, as demonstrated by the performance of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Kamran Forghani , Xiaoming Kan , Lina Reichenberg , Fredrik Hedenus

We consider a risk-averse stochastic capacity planning problem under uncertain demand in each period. Using a scenario tree representation of the uncertainty, we formulate a multistage stochastic integer program to adjust the capacity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

In this paper, we consider the service caching and the computing resource allocation in edge computing (EC) enabled networks. We introduce a random service caching design considering multiple types of latency sensitive services and the base…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Mingun Kim , Hewon Cho , Ying Cui , Jemin Lee

In networks, there are often more than one source of capacity. The capacities can be permanently or temporarily owned by the decision maker. Depending on the nature of sources, we identify the permanent capacity, spot market capacity and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-10 Majid Taghavi , Kai Huang

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby the worst-case operating cost is accounted for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Cristina Roldán , Roberto Mínguez , Raquel García-Bertrand , José Manuel Arroyo

Capacity expansion planning under uncertainty requires selecting a scenario count and representative operational horizon to estimate average production costs. Small choices risk unreliable plans, while large choices become intractable. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Taehyeon Kwon , Anirudh Subramanyam

The power networks are evolving with increased active components such as energy storage and flexibility derived from loads such as electric vehicles, heat pumps, industrial processes, etc. Better models are needed to accurately represent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-13 Md Umar Hashmi , Dirk Van Hertem , Aleen van der Meer , Andrew Keane
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