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Existing risk-aware multi-armed bandit models typically focus on risk measures of individual options such as variance. As a result, they cannot be directly applied to important real-world online decision making problems with correlated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Yihan Du , Siwei Wang , Zhixuan Fang , Longbo Huang

The fields of quantum non-locality in physics, and causal discovery in machine learning, both face the problem of deciding whether observed data is compatible with a presumed causal relationship between the variables (for example a local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-06-02 Rafael Chaves , Lukas Luft , David Gross

Statistical inference of the high-dimensional regression coefficients is challenging because the uncertainty introduced by the model selection procedure is hard to account for. A critical question remains unsettled; that is, is it possible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-06 Xiaorui Zhu , Yichen Qin , Peng Wang

Belief propagation is known to perform extremely well in many practical statistical inference and learning problems using graphical models, even in the presence of multiple loops. The iterative use of belief propagation algorithm on loopy…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-13 Xiangqiong Shi , Dan Schonfeld , Daniela Tuninetti

Simulating limit order books (LOBs) has important applications across forecasting and backtesting for financial market data. However, deep generative models struggle in this context due to the high noise and complexity of the data. Previous…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Alfred Backhouse , Kang Li , Jakob Foerster , Anisoara Calinescu , Stefan Zohren

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands in deconvolution when the error distribution is unknown. We mainly focus on the baseline setting where an auxiliary sample from the error distribution is available and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

Covariance regression offers an effective way to model the large covariance matrix with the auxiliary similarity matrices. In this work, we propose a sparse covariance regression (SCR) approach to handle the potentially high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-17 Yuan Gao , Zhiyuan Zhang , Zhanrui Cai , Xuening Zhu , Tao Zou , Hansheng Wang

The errors-in-variables (EIV) regression model, being more realistic by accounting for measurement errors in both the dependent and the independent variables, is widely adopted in applied sciences. The traditional EIV model estimators,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-13 Hao Han , Wei Zhu

When studying the causal effect of $x$ on $y$, researchers may conduct regression and report a confidence interval for the slope coefficient $\beta_{x}$. This common confidence interval provides an assessment of uncertainty from sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Mark Abramson

In epidemiology, some have argued that multiple comparison corrections are not necessary as there is rarely interest in the universal null hypothesis. From a parameter estimation perspective, epidemiologists may still be interested in…

We present an alternative way of solving the steerable kernel constraint that appears in the design of steerable equivariant convolutional neural networks. We find explicit real and complex bases which are ready to use, for different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Alan Garbarz

We study the numerical integration of functions from isotropic Sobolev spaces $W_p^s([0,1]^d)$ using finitely many function evaluations within randomized algorithms, aiming for the smallest possible probabilistic error guarantee…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Robert J. Kunsch

The Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have achieved excellent results in node classification tasks, but the model's performance at low label rates is still unsatisfactory. Previous studies in Semi-Supervised Learning (SSL) for graph have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Shuhao Shi , Jian Chen , Kai Qiao , Shuai Yang , Linyuan Wang , Bin Yan

Load-sharing systems arise in many different reliability applications, for instance, when modeling tensile strength of fibrous composites in textile industry or lifetimes of redundant technical systems in engineering. Sequential order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Stefan Bedbur , Johann Köhne , Fabian Mies

As statistical classifiers become integrated into real-world applications, it is important to consider not only their accuracy but also their robustness to changes in the data distribution. In this paper, we consider the case where there is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Virgile Landeiro , Aron Culotta

Recent research in ultra-reliable and low latency communications (URLLC) for future wireless systems has spurred interest in short block-length codes. In this context, we analyze arbitrary harmonic bandwidth (BW) expansions for a class of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Anders M. Buvarp , Robert M. Taylor , Kumar Vijay Mishra , Lamine M. Mili , Amir I. Zaghloul

Parameter estimation is a fundamental problem in science and engineering. In many safety-critical applications, one is not only interested in a {\it point} estimator, but also the uncertainty bound that can self-assess the accuracy of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Qin Lu , Yaakov Bar-Shalom , Peter Willett

Uncertainty quantification approaches have been more critical in large language models (LLMs), particularly high-risk applications requiring reliable outputs. However, traditional methods for uncertainty quantification, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Ferhat Ozgur Catak , Murat Kuzlu

Designing models that are both expressive and preserve known invariances of tasks is an increasingly hard problem. Existing solutions tradeoff invariance for computational or memory resources. In this work, we show how to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Leonardo Cotta , Gal Yehuda , Assaf Schuster , Chris J. Maddison