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In this paper we establish Functional Limit Theorems for the range of random walks in $\mathbb{Z}^d$ that are in the domain of attraction of a non-degenerate $\beta$-stable process in the weakly transient and recurrent regimes. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Maxence Baccara

In this paper, we study precise deviations including precise large deviations and moderate deviations for discrete marked Hawkes processes for large time asymptotics by using mod-$\phi$ convergence theory.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Yingli Wang , Ping He

The Ewens-Pitman model defines a distribution on random partitions of $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, with parameters $\alpha \in [0,1)$ and $\theta > -\alpha$; the case $\alpha=0$ reduces to the classical Ewens model from population genetics. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Bernard Bercu , Claudia Contardi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

This is a survey of recent results on central and non-central limit theorems for quadratic functionals of stationary processes. The underlying processes are Gaussian, linear or L\'evy-driven linear processes with memory, and are defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-02 Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Murad S. Taqqu

General Central limit theorem deals with weak limits (in type) of sums of row-elements of array random variables. In some situations as in the invariance principle problem, the sums may include only parts of the row-elements. For strictly…

We consider the asymptotics of various estimators based on a large sample of branching trees from a critical multi-type Galton-Watson process, as the sample size increases to infinity. The asymptotics of additive functions of trees, such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhiyi Chi

In this paper we present some limit theorems for power variation of L\'evy semi-stationary processes in the setting of infill asymptotics. L\'evy semi-stationary processes, which are a one-dimensional analogue of ambit fields, are moving…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Claudio Heinrich , Mark Podolskij

We prove a law of large numbers in terms of complete convergence of independent random variables taking values in increments of monotone functions, with convergence uniform both in the initial and the final time. The result holds also for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-30 Tetsuya Hattori

In this paper, we focus on studying central limit theorems for functionals of some specific stationary random processes. In classical probability theory, it is well-known that for non-linear functionals of stationary Gaussian sequences, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Zhichao Wang

Hawkes processes have seen a number of applications in finance, due to their ability to capture event clustering behaviour typically observed in financial systems. Given a calibrated Hawkes process, of concern is the statistical fit to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-18 Roger Martins , Dieter Hendricks

In this paper we present some new asymptotic results for high frequency statistics of Brownian semi-stationary processes. More precisely, we will show that singularities in the weight function, which is one of the ingredients of a BSS…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Kerstin Gaertner , Mark Podolskij

We provide probabilistic and computational results on Markovian multivariate Hawkes processes and induced population processes. By applying the Markov property, we characterize in closed form a joint transform, bijective to the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 R. S. Karim , R. J. A. Laeven , M , M. Mandjes

We observe the actions of a $K$ sub-sample of $N$ individuals up to time $t$ for some large $K\le N$. We model the relationships of individuals by i.i.d. Bernoulli($p$)-random variables, where $p\in (0,1]$ is an unknown parameter. The rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-20 Chenguang Liu

We obtain limit theorems for a class of nonlinear discrete-time processes $X(n)$ called the $k$-th order Volterra processes of order $k$. These are moving average $k$-th order polynomial forms: \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu

Consider a branching random walk in which the offspring distribution and the moving law both depend on an independent and identically distributed random environment indexed by the time.For the normalised counting measure of the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 Zhi-Qiang Gao , Quansheng Liu

We construct a probability model seemingly unrelated to the considered stochastic process of coagulation and fragmentation. By proving for this model the local limit theorem, we establish the asymptotic formula for the partition function of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Gregory Freiman , Boris Granovsky

This paper presents the asymptotic theory for nondegenerate $U$-statistics of high frequency observations of continuous It\^{o} semimartingales. We prove uniform convergence in probability and show a functional stable central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Mark Podolskij , Christian Schmidt , Johanna F. Ziegel

Many statistical applications require establishing central limit theorems for sums, integrals, or for quadratic forms of functions of a stationary process. A particularly important case is that of Appell polynomials, since the Appell…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Florin Avram , Nikolai Leonenko , Ludmila Sakhno

Using Stein's method, we prove an abstract result that yields multivariate central limit theorems with a rate of convergence for time-dependent dynamical systems. As examples we study a model of expanding circle maps and a quasistatic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Olli Hella

Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on social media platforms, and order book dynamics. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang
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