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Omitted variables are one of the most important threats to the identification of causal effects. Several widely used methods assess the impact of omitted variables on empirical conclusions by comparing measures of selection on observables…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-05 Paul Diegert , Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

Despite their impressive performance on a wide variety of tasks, modern language models remain susceptible to distribution shifts, exhibiting brittle behavior when evaluated on data that differs in distribution from their training data. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Victoria Lin , Louis-Philippe Morency , Eli Ben-Michael

We develop a general theory of omitted variable bias for a wide range of common causal parameters, including (but not limited to) averages of potential outcomes, average treatment effects, average causal derivatives, and policy effects from…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-28 Victor Chernozhukov , Carlos Cinelli , Whitney Newey , Amit Sharma , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Researchers often delve into the connections between different factors derived from the historical data of software projects. For example, scholars have devoted their endeavors to the exploration of associations among these factors.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Mikel Robredo , Nyyti Saarimaki , Rafael Penaloza , Valentina Lenarduzzi

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

Bayesian data analysis (BDA) is today used by a multitude of research disciplines. These disciplines use BDA as a way to embrace uncertainty by using multilevel models and making use of all available information at hand. In this chapter, we…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-01-03 Richard Torkar , Robert Feldt , Carlo A. Furia

We develop a framework for quantifying omitted variable bias (OVB) in nonlinear instrumental variable (IV) estimators, including the local average treatment effect (LATE), the LATE for the treated (LATT), and the partially linear IV model…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Yu-Min Yen

When teaching and discussing statistical assumptions, our focus is oftentimes placed on how to test and address potential violations rather than the effects of violating assumptions on the estimates produced by our statistical models. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-14 Ian A Silver

Background. Starting from the 1960s, practitioners and researchers have looked for ways to empirically investigate new technologies such as inspecting the effectiveness of new methods, tools, or practices. With this purpose, the empirical…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-08-14 Nyyti Saarimäki

Omitted variable bias can affect treatment effect estimates obtained from observational data due to the lack of random assignment to treatment groups. Sensitivity analyses adjust these estimates to quantify the impact of potential omitted…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-10 Carrie A. Hosman , Ben B. Hansen , Paul W. Holland

Context: A case study is a powerful research strategy for investigating complex social-technical and managerial phenomena in real life settings. However, when the phenomenon has not been fully discovered or understood, pilot case studies…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-12-05 Cleviton Monteiro , Fabio Queda Bueno da Silva , Luiz Fernando Capretz

Individual-specific, time-constant, random effects are often used to model dependence and/or to account for omitted covariates in regression models for longitudinal responses. Longitudinal studies have known a huge and widespread use in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Marco Alfo' , Roberto Rocci

Observational studies often use linear regression to assess the effect of ambient air pollution on outcomes of interest, such as human health indicators or crop yields. Yet pollution datasets are typically noisy and include only a subset of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-08 Dan M. Kluger , David B. Lobell , Art B. Owen

One source of software project challenges and failures is the systematic errors introduced by human cognitive biases. Although extensively explored in cognitive psychology, investigations concerning cognitive biases have only recently…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Rahul Mohanani , Iflaah Salman , Burak Turhan , Pilar Rodriguez , Paul Ralph

Variance theories quantify the variance that one or more independent variables cause in a dependent variable. In software engineering (SE), variance theories are used to quantify -- among others -- the impact of tools, techniques, and other…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Julian Frattini , Jannik Fischbach , Davide Fucci , Michael Unterkalmsteiner , Daniel Mendez

We study the finite sample behavior of Lasso-based inference methods such as post double Lasso and debiased Lasso. We show that these methods can exhibit substantial omitted variable biases (OVBs) due to Lasso not selecting relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Kaspar Wuthrich , Ying Zhu

The experimental evaluation of the methods and concepts covered in software engineering has been increasingly valued. This value indicates the constant search for new forms of assessment and validation of the results obtained in Software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-06-30 T. F. M. Sirqueira , M. A. Miguel , H. L. O. Dalpra , M. A. P. Araujo , J. M. N. David

Transportability provides a principled framework to address the problem of applying study results to new populations. Here, we consider the problem of selecting variables to include in transport estimators. We provide a brief overview of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-11 Megha L. Mehrotra , M. Maria Glymour , Elvin Geng , Daniel Westreich , David V. Glidden

Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza
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