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In this paper, we study the Galton-Watson process in the random environment for the particular case when the number of the offsprings in each generation has the fractional linear generation function with random parameters. In this case, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Dan Han , Stanislav Molchanov , Yanjmaa Jutmaan

In this work we construct individual-based models that give rise to the generalized logistic model at the mean-field deterministic level and that allow us to interpret the parameters of these models in terms of individual interactions. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-13 Vicenc Mendez , Michael Assaf , Werner Horsthemke , Daniel Campos

The first chapter concerns monotype population models. We first study general birth and death processes and we give non-explosion and extinction criteria, moment computations and a pathwise representation. We then show how different scales…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-06 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard

We examine to what extent the tempo and mode of environmental fluctuations matter for the growth of structured populations. The models are switching, linear ordinary differential equations $x'(t)=A(\sigma(\omega t))x(t)$ where…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-22 Pierre Monmarché , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Édouard Strickler

Using graphical methods based on a `lookdown' and pruned version of the {\em ancestral selection graph}, we obtain a representation of the type distribution of the ancestor in a two-type Wright-Fisher population with mutation and selection,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Ellen Baake , Ute Lenz , Anton Wakolbinger

We consider the problem of learning two families of time-evolving random measures from indirect observations. In the first model, the signal is a Fleming--Viot diffusion, which is reversible with respect to the law of a Dirichlet process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

We propose a change in focus from the prevalent paradigm based on the branching property as a tool to analyze the structure of population models, to one based on the self-similarity property, which we also introduce for the first time in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Arno Siri-Jégousse , Alejandro Hernández Wences

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We consider a variant of this process on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees, where vertices are equipped with a random fitness representing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese

We consider here multitype Bienaym\'e--Galton--Watson trees, under the conditioning that the numbers of vertices of given type satisfy some linear relations. We prove that, under some smoothness conditions on the offspring distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-20 Paul Thévenin

In subdivided populations, migration acts together with selection and genetic drift and determines their evolution. Building up on a recently proposed method, which hinges on the emergence of a time scale separation between local and global…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-24 Pierangelo Lombardo , Andrea Gambassi , Luca Dall'Asta

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

This article presents a variant of Fleming-Viot particle systems, which are a standard way to approximate the law of a Markov process with killing as well as related quantities. Classical Fleming-Viot particle systems proceed by simulating…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Frédéric Cérou , Arnaud Guyader , Mathias Rousset

This paper is concerned with exploring the microscopic basis for the discrete versions of the standard replicator equation and the adjusted replicator equation. To this end, we introduce frequency-dependent selection -- as a result of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-19 Archan Mukhopadhyay , Sagar Chakraborty

Forest-fire and avalanche models support the notion that frequent catastrophes prevent the growth of very large populations and as such prevent rare large-scale catastrophes. We show that this notion is not universal. A new model class…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-08 N. Dori , H. Behar , H. Brot , Y. Louzoun

We establish a variety of properties of the discrete time simple random walk on a Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive when the offspring distribution, $Z$ say, is in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-24 David A. Croydon , Takashi Kumagai

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

Stochastic fluctuations are central to the understanding of extinction dynamics. In the context of population models they allow for the description of the transition from the vicinity of a non-trivial fixed point of the deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-04 Claudia Cianci , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We consider stochastic dynamics of a population which starts from a small colony on a habitat with large but limited carrying capacity. A common heuristics suggests that such population grows initially as a Galton-Watson branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 N. Bauman , P. Chigansky , F. Klebaner

We model and study the genetic evolution and conservation of a population of diploid hermaphroditic organisms, evolving continuously in time and subject to resource competition. In the absence of mutations, the population follows a 3-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Camille Coron