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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

The use of data assimilation for the merging of observed data with dynamical models is becoming standard in modern physics. If a parametric model is known, methods such as Kalman filtering have been developed for this purpose. If no model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-17 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric method for state estimation of high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems, which evolve according to gradient flows with isotropic diffusion. We combine diffusion maps, a manifold…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-26 Tal Shnitzer , Ronen Talmon , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Data-driven hourly weather forecasting models often face the challenge of error accumulation in long-term predictions. The problem is exacerbated by non-physical temporal discontinuities present in widely-used training datasets such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Shuangshuang He , Yuanting Zhang , Hongli Liang , Qingye Meng , Xingyuan Yuan , Shuo Wang

The idea of using machine learning (ML) methods to reconstruct the dynamics of a system is the topic of recent studies in the geosciences, in which the key output is a surrogate model meant to emulate the dynamical model. In order to treat…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-22 Alban Farchi , Patrick Laloyaux , Massimo Bonavita , Marc Bocquet

Foundation models (FMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their success has not yet translated to time series forecasting. Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Lars Graf , Thomas Ortner , Stanisław Woźniak , Angeliki Pantazi

Data assimilation (DA) is widely used to combine physical knowledge and observations. It is nowadays commonly used in geosciences to perform parametric calibration. In a context of climate change, old calibrations can not necessarily be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Rem-Sophia Mouradi , Cédric Goeury , Olivier Thual , Fabrice Zaoui , Pablo Tassi

Relevant comprehension of flood hazards has emerged as a crucial necessity, especially as the severity and the occurrence of flood events intensify with climate changes. Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Anthéa Delmotte , Christophe Fatras , Peter Kettig , Andrea Piacentini , Sophie Ricci

We propose data-driven nonlinear smoother (DNS) to estimate a hidden state sequence of a complex dynamical process from a noisy, linear measurement sequence. The dynamical process is model-free, that is, we do not have any knowledge of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-10 Fredrik Cumlin , Anubhab Ghosh , Saikat Chatterjee

Modeling transformations between arbitrary data distributions is a fundamental scientific challenge, arising in applications like drug discovery and evolutionary simulation. While flow matching offers a natural framework for this task, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Shiye Su , Yuhui Zhang , Linqi Zhou , Rajesh Ranganath , Serena Yeung-Levy

Bayesian filtering and smoothing for high-dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems are fundamental yet challenging problems in many areas of science and engineering. In this work, we propose FLUID, a flow-based unified amortized inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Tiangang Cui , Xiaodong Feng , Chenlong Pei , Xiaoliang Wan , Tao Zhou

Diffusion- and flow-based policies deliver state-of-the-art performance on long-horizon robotic manipulation and imitation learning tasks. However, these controllers employ a fixed inference budget at every control step, regardless of task…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Inkook Chun , Seungjae Lee , Michael S. Albergo , Saining Xie , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

A pooling mechanism is essential for mean opinion score (MOS) prediction, facilitating the transformation of variable-length audio features into a concise fixed-size representation that effectively encodes speech quality. Existing pooling…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Cheng-Yeh Yang , Kuan-Tang Huang , Chien-Chun Wang , Hung-Shin Lee , Hsin-Min Wang , Berlin Chen

Data assimilation (DA) is a key component of many forecasting models in science and engineering. DA allows one to estimate better initial conditions using an imperfect dynamical model of the system and noisy/sparse observations available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Eviatar Bach , Pedram Hassanzadeh

This paper contains the latest installment of the authors' project on developing ensemble based data assimilation methodology for high dimensional fluid dynamics models. The algorithm presented here is a particle filter that combines model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) techniques, most notably the nudging approach proposed by Azouani, Olson, and Titi (AOT), have been shown to be very successful in deterministic frameworks for achieving long-time synchronization between…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Kush Kinra

We propose a novel learning-based surrogate data assimilation (DA) model for efficient state estimation in a limited area. Our model employs a feedforward neural network for online computation, eliminating the need for integrating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Wei Kang , Liang Xu , Hong Zhou