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This research considers Bayesian decision-analytic approaches toward the traversal of an uncertain graph. Namely, a traveler progresses over a graph in which rewards are gained upon a node's first visit and costs are incurred for every edge…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 William N. Caballero , Phillip R. Jenkins , David Banks , Matthew Robbins

In this paper, we consider a financial market with assets exposed to some risks inducing jumps in the asset prices, and which can still be traded after default times. We use a default-intensity modeling approach, and address in this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-21 Thomas Lim , Marie-Claire Quenez

An informed seller designs a dynamic mechanism to sell an experience good. The seller has partial information about the product match, which affects the buyer's private consumption experience. We characterize equilibrium mechanisms of this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-24 Tan Gan , Nicholas Wu

We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Motion planning under uncertainty is of significant importance for safety-critical systems such as autonomous vehicles. Such systems have to satisfy necessary constraints (e.g., collision avoidance) with potential uncertainties coming from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Jianyu Chen , Yutaka Shimizu , Liting Sun , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

We tackle the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain time-varying locations. The uncertainties are modeled using widely accepted Gaussian distributions, resulting in a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-16 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

We consider amortized Bayesian inference for nonlinear inverse problems in settings where only samples from the joint distribution of parameters and observations are available. Classical methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Hojjat Kaveh , Ricardo Baptista , Andrew M. Stuart

We give a survey of the two remarkable analytical problems of quantum information theory. The main part is a detailed report of the recent (partial) solution of the quantum Gaussian optimizers problem which establishes an optimal property…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-08-04 A. S. Holevo

We develop efficient algorithms to construct utility maximizing mechanisms in the presence of risk averse players (buyers and sellers) in Bayesian settings. We model risk aversion by a concave utility function, and players play…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-28 Anand Bhalgat , Tanmoy Chakraborty , Sanjeev Khanna

We consider thin incomplete financial markets, where traders with heterogeneous preferences and risk exposures have motive to behave strategically regarding the demand schedules they submit, thereby impacting prices and allocations. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-22 Michail Anthropelos , Constantinos Kardaras , Georgios Vichos

We consider a market of risky financial assets whose participants are an informed trader, a representative uninformed trader, and noisy liquidity providers. We prove the existence of a market-clearing equilibrium when the insider…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-02 Michail Anthropelos , Scott Robertson

Model approximations are common practice when estimating structural or quasi-structural models. The paper considers the econometric properties of estimators that utilize projections to reimpose information about the exact model in the form…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-05 Andreas Tryphonides

We study a multiplicative transient price impact model for an illiquid financial market, where trading causes price impact which is multiplicative in relation to the current price, transient over time with finite rate of resilience, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Dirk Becherer , Todor Bilarev , Peter Frentrup

Let $Y$ be a Gaussian vector whose components are independent with a common unknown variance. We consider the problem of estimating the mean $\mu$ of $Y$ by model selection. More precisely, we start with a collection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-03 Yannick Baraud , Christophe Giraud , Sylvie Huet

A general information transmission model, under independent and identically distributed Gaussian codebook and nearest neighbor decoding rule with processed channel output, is investigated using the performance metric of generalized mutual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-23 Wenyi Zhang , Yizhu Wang , Cong Shen , Ning Liang

Executing even moderately large derivatives orders can be expensive and risky; it's hard to balance the uncertainty of working an order over time versus paying a liquidity premium for immediate execution. Here, we introduce the Time Is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Kevin Patrick Darby

Here we revisit the classic problem of linear quadratic estimation, i.e. estimating the trajectory of a linear dynamical system from noisy measurements. The celebrated Kalman filter gives an optimal estimator when the measurement noise is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-12 Sitan Chen , Frederic Koehler , Ankur Moitra , Morris Yau

A constrained informationally efficient market is defined to be one whose price process arises as the outcome of some equilibrium where agents face restrictions on trade. This paper investigates the case of short sale constraints, a setting…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-10 Robert A. Jarrow , Martin Larsson

Prediction markets are a popular, prominent, and successful structure for a collective intelligence platform. However the exact mechanism by which information known to the participating traders is incorporated into the market price is…

This paper is concerned with a time-inconsistent recursive stochastic control problems where the forward state process is constrained through an additional recursive utility system. By adapting the Ekeland variational principle, necessary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Elisa Mastrogiacomo , Marco Tarsia